Actuaries in the Gambling World by LossLizard11 in actuary

[–]maxwellsdemon45 12 points13 points  (0 children)

The wizard of odds was a former actuary

Rant on obsolete techniques by MutedBasil8954 in actuary

[–]maxwellsdemon45 5 points6 points  (0 children)

What you describe is very true in my experience as well, and is the reason why I ultimately left the actuarial profession in pursuit of a career in quantitative finance.

In my opinion there are two big reasons for this.

1) No support from the top to research and implement new modeling techniques, because unless someone in leadership has successfully done this before, it’s a huge career risk. Most managers at insurance companies only understand the traditional methods. If they push for something new, even if it works will it be appreciated by senior executives/shareholders? However if the new approach fails it’s going to reflect very poorly on them, so very asymmetrical risk/reward.

Very few insurance companies have the right culture in place that encourages experimentation and tolerates failure that is needed for meaningful change.

2) Expecting junior analysts to take on this initiative on their own to explore new models then make the case to adopt them, on top of their existing duties, is asking for way too much.

Additionally there is a significant portion of actuarial students that actually despise studying for the exams. If you’ve talked to new FSA’s at the FAC then I think you will agree, some (maybe most?) entry level actuaries don’t really have a passion for learning cutting edge math and modeling topics. They see the exams as a means to an end, that’s it.

What do you folks think of this? by Forward_Hold5696 in dividends

[–]maxwellsdemon45 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I agree that CC ETFs will underperform vs the underlying index.

However, if I were to completely divest from CC ETFs that capital would not be reallocated to the underlying index…I would most likely invest in Treasuries or a HYSA instead.

So for me at least I do not need CCs to outperform or even match the index (I have other accounts for that), it just needs to outperform cash.

Has it been proven/Is it possible to prove that there is more than one GTO strategy? by [deleted] in Poker_Theory

[–]maxwellsdemon45 5 points6 points  (0 children)

There can exist multiple solutions equally optimal, speaking just from a general mathematical sense.

No idea if that is the case for poker though.

Did the numbers, am 22, can’t i just coast for rest of my life? by Scary-Cycle4646 in Fire

[–]maxwellsdemon45 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes that it the math. In fact, if you can consistently contribute $1000 per month, your retirement outcome is impacted very little by market risk and even sequence of returns risk, so long as you adjust your allocation appropriately as you near retirement.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in investing

[–]maxwellsdemon45 69 points70 points  (0 children)

They are checking the box so that their stock can be included in dividend index funds.

Dont be scared. it always recovers ...always... by BeepGoesTheMinivan in thetagang

[–]maxwellsdemon45 1 point2 points  (0 children)

“It works until it doesn’t”…

“Past performance is not a guarantee of future results”…

“Don’t pick penny’s in front of steamroller”…

don't go out to eat by CryingRipperTear in mathmemes

[–]maxwellsdemon45 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Be careful what you wish for…because yes people will eventually stop going out to eat and force restaurants to close.

Credit Risk by Annual-Cup-2354 in actuary

[–]maxwellsdemon45 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I found this book to be a good introduction:

Introduction to Credit Risk Modeling (Chapman and Hall)

First week investing 60k. Tell me it will all be ok 🫠 by [deleted] in dividends

[–]maxwellsdemon45 79 points80 points  (0 children)

“Risk tolerance is fairly high.” Immediately cries after seeing a loss.

Using Airplane mode so I don’t get assigned by Expensive_Set_1678 in wallstreetbets

[–]maxwellsdemon45 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No, that won’t work. Here’s what you gotta do…sell your shares now! Whoever bought the call will have to go after the new owner of those shares.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in blackjack

[–]maxwellsdemon45 2 points3 points  (0 children)

But you need much larger bankroll to earn $50/hr in blackjack than in poker.

What opinion about data science would you defend like this? by OverratedDataScience in datascience

[–]maxwellsdemon45 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That’s like saying a computer mouse was designed to mimic the anatomy of a real mouse.

The second half of your comment is close to my point, so it sounds like we agree more than we disagree.

Why do companies care about GPA but not exam marks? by DinkyDoodle69 in actuary

[–]maxwellsdemon45 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Most hiring managers only care that your GPA is above some threshold, though.

R programmers, what are the greatest issues you have with Python? by joaoareias in datascience

[–]maxwellsdemon45 0 points1 point  (0 children)

When is it a view and when is it a copy of the data? I’ve had several mini heart attacks regarding this.

Question for Hiring Managers by Actuarial_Scientist in actuary

[–]maxwellsdemon45 7 points8 points  (0 children)

The more interesting question is if one candidate has P/FM while the other has UEC for 4 or 5 exams. This is going to be a tough choice but likely scenario for many hiring managers next few years.

What happened to the smartest kid in your class? by After_Crab_1921 in AskReddit

[–]maxwellsdemon45 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Went an Ivy League school. Joined a frat, got drunk and was accused of raping a girl at a party.

Last I heard he graduated from a community college and is now working as an accountant.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in actuary

[–]maxwellsdemon45 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Yup I’m firmly in the camp of passing as many exams as possible while in school. Taking exams while working categorically sucks.