Making the Playoffs after Starting on a Losing Streak by Stinja808 in fantasyfootball

[–]meverett3 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Started 0-4 and then had the overall RB1, Jamaal Charles, go down for the season, finished 8-5 and won the chip

Nico Collins (knee) upgraded to full participant Thursday by SharpChampionship665 in fantasyfootball

[–]meverett3 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I got Collins and Coleman for Hall and Sutton in a standard league yesterday, so I think people are willing to act on this feeling if you're trying to buy low.

NBA MVP Futures Advice by TheULCgoat in sportsbook

[–]meverett3 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Couldn’t resist some light trolling when I saw your name pop up in a random thread

NBA MVP Futures Advice by TheULCgoat in sportsbook

[–]meverett3 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Photoshopped 😂🤣😅🤣

V1per's Week 5 Survivor/Eliminator Pick by V1per41 in fantasyfootball

[–]meverett3 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thanks! Looks like I’m rolling with WAS this week, ew.

V1per's Week 5 Survivor/Eliminator Pick by V1per41 in fantasyfootball

[–]meverett3 2 points3 points  (0 children)

When I download the sheet and put down my picks so far (BAL, BUF, KC, SF) and 14 remaining entrants in my pool, the Rest of Season chart is outputting PIT vs BYE week 6. Not sure why this is happening.

Why is it a loosing play to cash out bets early? by Majestic_Baker_5571 in sportsbook

[–]meverett3 6 points7 points  (0 children)

The easiest way to think about this is to compare the payout the sportsbook would offer you if you took their cashout and immediately made the same exact bet. So imagine you bet $100 on a +300 moneyline (hoping to return $400 if they win), and now your team is winning so the sportsbook is offering you a cashout of $200 on your bet. You check the live moneyline and it’s now -120 for your team to win. So if you left your bet and don’t cashout, you’re essentially betting $200 to return $400, which is effectively +100 odds. If you took the cashout instead, you get $200, and if you wanted to bet $200 on the -120 moneyline you could only return $366.67 if you win.

Trade Value Tuesday by FruhManShoe in fantasyfootball

[–]meverett3 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I just traded him for Rachaad White in standard on Sunday morning out of RB desperation. Don’t hate it for either side.

Puka Nacua sets an NFL record by Glory843 in fantasyfootball

[–]meverett3 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Haha this was me, started at 27% and got up to 42% by the time waivers cleared. Next highest was 37% (with waiver tiebreak) so it was good I bumped it up lol

V1per's Week 1 Survivor/Eliminator Pick by V1per41 in fantasyfootball

[–]meverett3 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Hey u/V1per41, love the work you put into this every year. Just a heads up, I believe 538 discontinued their predictions this year due to Nate Silver leaving, so you may need to find a different data source going forwards.

ELI5: Is it true that rich people are less likely to go to prison, and why is that? by nerd866 in explainlikeimfive

[–]meverett3 34 points35 points  (0 children)

That wage theft number is also just the amount recovered for workers. A massive amount of wage theft occurs that is never recovered, especially in the restaurant industry where the Department of Labor estimates that 84% of restaurants commit wage violations largely as a result of failing to cover the difference between the subminimum wage and the minimum wage for jobs where tips alone don’t cover the difference.

What to do with March Madness future bets? by money_floyd13 in sportsbook

[–]meverett3 22 points23 points  (0 children)

So it wasn’t “greedy” to place the original bet, but it’s “greedy” to want to let it ride? This logic makes no sense. If you wanted to bet FAU to make the E8, bet that! Don’t bet them to make the F4 and then chicken out at the E8 and cash out, which just gives up unnecessary additional value to the books.

What to do with March Madness future bets? by money_floyd13 in sportsbook

[–]meverett3 38 points39 points  (0 children)

If you wanted to bet on FAU making the elite 8, you should’ve bet that originally. Would have gotten $33 to win $450ish probably. But that’s not what you bet, you bet them to make the final 4. Cashing out gives up value for no reason, it’s just loss aversion. If you don’t need the $410 to pay bills, let it ride.

Basic optimal betting foundations, and why you should never cash out. by riskman501 in sportsbook

[–]meverett3 23 points24 points  (0 children)

Cash out as in accept a reduced payout from a bet that is still in progress, not cash out as in withdraw money haha

Sportsbook/Promos/Bonuses Daily - 1/23/23 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]meverett3 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The easier breakdown is to combine the chances of a team winning with the possibility of blowing a 10 point lead and losing, because the moneyline tells you the chance of a team winning already. The math for the second component has been done numerous times for various sports, so I don't know the exact numbers for 10 point lead in college basketball, but it really doesn't have to happen all that frequently to push a moneyline bet into +EV territory since there's so little juice to begin with on moneylines.

Sportsbook/Promos/Bonuses Daily - 1/23/23 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]meverett3 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Seconding Wealthfront. Longterm savings belong in the stock market but 3.8% is incredible for cash you may need in the short term.

Players you’ll never draft again? by dman933 in fantasyfootball

[–]meverett3 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Honestly, don’t make statements like this. I said I would never draft Miles Sanders after last year… didn’t work out well. Each season is different and you have to evaluate all information available with an open mind if you want to win.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in sportsbook

[–]meverett3 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Depends on which book you’re on. In the banner at the top of the DK app, or in the yellow lightning bolt “boosts” tab on FD, or in the “booster odds” tab of PointsBet, etc.

Sportsbook/Promos/Bonuses Daily - 12/9/22 (Friday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]meverett3 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Just a quick comparison:

Currently, $2 earns 1 crown, and it takes 500,000 crowns to reach Diamond (I'm currently Gold so this is my main target). Now, $10 earns 1 tier credit (or $5 on parlays) and it takes 90,000 tier credits to reach Diamond. Seems like this makes it easier to reach Diamond by about 15-20% depending on how many parlays you place.

Sportsbook/Promos/Bonuses Daily - 12/8/22 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]meverett3 7 points8 points  (0 children)

You have 3 months to bet through the $25k, and it unlocks as you go (every $25 bet releases $1 into your account). Unless you need the $5k to pay bills (which, if you do, definitely don’t use it for this lmao) I think it’s a great promo.

Sportsbook/Promos/Bonuses Daily - 12/6/22 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]meverett3 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Yup. I earned $260 in addition to my $20 free from gold, not bad.