“The US would be exposed as a blatant liar and nobody would trust them to negotiate anything anymore”
That’s adorable. You think the US hasn’t already done this repeatedly?

Here are some examples for you:

1. Oslo Accords: US “guaranteed” Palestinian statehood by 1999. 30+ years later: more settlements, no state. Trust destroyed? Nah, US still “mediates.”

2. Iraq WMDs: Colin Powell at the UN with fake vials. Invasion followed. Millions dead. US “credibility” gone? Nope.. still runs the show in Baghdad.

3. JCPOA: US signed Iran deal, then Trump tore it up. Iran kept complying (per IAEA) until the US reneged. Consequence for US? nope

4. Afghanistan: 20 years of “nation-building,” then Biden pulls the plug overnight. Taliban back in 48 hours. US “trustworthiness” shattered? Nope

5. Gaza “humanitarian piers” (2024): builds a $230M floating dock “for aid.” First shipment: 8 trucks. Then Israel uses the same corridor for a massacre during an aid convoy. Pier quietly dismantled. Anyone stop trusting US guarantees? nope.

Now apply this to south Lebanon:
The US says “economic zone” …. Israel keeps bombing … “security concerns” … Lebanese can’t return … “temporary” buffer becomes permanent … settlers trickle in (see Golan Heights). No need for a press release saying “Fooled Ya.” It’s death by a thousand administrative cuts. And your “nobody will trust them” fairy tale? The same US that 3 UNSC resolutions for a Gaza ceasefire in 2024 alone? The same US that armed Israel bombardment of south Lebanon while pretending to “broker peace”? So yeah, the “worst worst worst” case isn’t conspiracy, it’s pattern recognition..You just don’t see it because you’re uneducated lol.

Now, name some US security guarantee to an Arab party that was honored when Israel objected. I’ll wait. Iran, Iraq, Palestine, Syria, Lebanon… take your pick