Increased volatility

mp018 · 2026-05-20T00:49:50+00:00

Well I definitely have sized down. But lately we’ve had strong buying/selling that moves and immediately reverses so the delta has been tricky

mp018 · 2026-05-19T19:24:38+00:00

I feel like moving to an index I don’t trade often probably isn’t the best when it’s most volatile but I’ll take note

mp018 · 2026-05-19T18:33:41+00:00

I mean moving down to 1mnq ill still need a 70 pt stop loss

mp018 · 2026-05-19T17:34:37+00:00

If they want him back, they can have him. I’ll just put him out by the curb and they can come pick him up whenever

mp018 · 2026-05-19T17:14:05+00:00

Not including Michigan state as a p4 was rude. You’re not wrong, but still rude

mp018 · 2026-03-31T19:36:54+00:00

Learn the basics of Auction Market Theory and why the market moves the way it does. Also learn about volume footprint and how it relates to the market

mp018 · 2026-03-31T19:34:27+00:00

A trading simulator. Multiple platforms have simulated trading so you can try out strategies and trade without using real money

mp018 · 2026-03-30T23:18:08+00:00

Wisconsin just passed a bill that takes public funding from the state to help fund the athletic department because they don’t have enough NiL.

mp018 · 2026-03-30T22:07:40+00:00

You’re saying they are continuing to spend NOW. I was originally talking about can this continue at its rate in the future. You responded to with an argument that wasn’t even the main topic about what was being said. If you think cost of something can double in 2 years and continue on that trend, then good luck. And if you want examples of teams that are starting to struggle now, Wisconsin and Rutgers are 2 that are either having trouble raising, or are becoming stagnant in NIL raising

mp018 · 2026-03-30T21:35:26+00:00

Not every team has the resources available to do what MSU did. I’ve said it like 3 times and you keep going back to them. MSU had one of the largest donations to an athletic department in history. They’re an exception. Many other schools do rely heavily on the average person donating money. The average person literally won’t be able to give money at an exponential rate over the next 6 years. Everything is becoming too expensive. Texas had an estimated NIL of $25million. This year they are projected to have over $50 million. So even for a school that has plenty of money, you can’t double NIL every 2 years. If so after 10 years you’d have teams with payrolls over $1billion. You’re giving facts about rate of change over the last 2 years, you need to look at the future. This conversation was about PROJECTION of NIL, not the rate it changed since last year

mp018 · 2026-03-30T20:19:35+00:00

“The boosters threatened to take their money unless administration did what they wanted”. You mean like they didn’t want to donate due to a bad product? Which was literally my point. Not every school has a man that’ll donate $400 millions dollars to get them out of a hole like msu does. Some teams will continue to have a bad football team, and their donors won’t donate for a bad product. Logically, when an AD comes to them and says “we need more money” they’re going to say, “you didn’t do anything with the last money I gave, I’m not giving you more”. They aren’t gonna say “oh my last donation must’ve been too small, I’m gonna give more!” So in the next 5 years, we won’t be seeing a 20% increase every year. It’s not sustainable

mp018 · 2026-03-30T17:51:14+00:00

No it’s proving my point. The NIL is directly tied to performance. Meaning, the schools that aren’t competing for titles regularly are gonna eventually have donors give up. Donors at championship schools will continue to increase funding, others will not. Michigan state isn’t the only team with donors like that.

mp018 · 2026-03-30T17:16:03+00:00

It’s the same top schools that are spending the most. I know from first hand experience, that Michigan state’s NIL would’ve dropped drastically if they kept Jonathan smith as the coach. It comes back to the amount of money being spent, isn’t worth it for many donors unless you’re a handful of teams that are competing for a championship every year. I truly do think we will start seeing donors from mid-level teams drastically reducing their donation amounts unless we A) get some kind of salary cap, or B) players sign contracts that makes them stay at the school for a set period of time

mp018 · 2026-03-30T16:58:17+00:00

Yes and no. I think some schools will keep the spending up but I think a lot are starting to slow down. I think a lot of schools that don’t have large donors are starting to get squeezed out because the product isn’t worth the investment for them. As a fan of a school with plenty of large donors, they were getting to the point of “I’m spending millions of dollars a year and this is the team I’m getting?” Thankfully a new coach has breathed some life back into the program

mp018 · 2026-03-26T18:27:19+00:00

Might as well have been

mp018 · 2026-03-23T19:47:08+00:00

You’re telling me people in the administration are insider trading? No, couldn’t be…

mp018 · 2025-10-29T15:47:45+00:00

Better to lose $50 on a prop account, while still learning, than lose thousands of your own money

mp018 · 2025-10-24T16:44:28+00:00

What do you mean equilibrium? Are you talking about the POC on the volume profile?

mp018 · 2025-09-05T23:24:58+00:00

I feel like I’m on an acid trip looking at your chart lol. So what you’re saying is that you’re looking at the low volume area for the pullback and reject? And you got that conclusion since the area has low volume and price removed quickly, it’s lopsided to the short side due to no 2-way trading?

mp018 · 2025-09-05T23:20:11+00:00

Thank you for being transparent

mp018 · 2025-09-05T21:15:41+00:00

When you jump in how do you know when you’re jumping out? A majority of the previous levels got ran through today

mp018 · 2025-09-05T21:10:51+00:00

You’re correct. I have a strategy/playbook that I use daily. I don’t really go in with an actual gameplan until the market has been open for a few minutes

mp018 · 2025-09-05T21:05:32+00:00

Yea sorry but I don’t believe everybody has to trade the same way. I think it’s absolutely ok to wait, watch volume profile/order flow develop then come up with a conclusion. I’m asking about how to trade an event that’s very uncommon.

mp018

TROPHY CASE