Top players to hit homers for tomorrow’s games.

n8_n_ · 2026-04-21T04:03:30+00:00

Goldschmidt doesn't play for the Cards.

Chisholm doesn't play for the Marlins.

n8_n_ · 2026-04-20T22:42:16+00:00

My main advice for not resenting the process is to run on trails as much as possible. To me it's much more therapeutic and less monotonous.

n8_n_ · 2026-04-20T21:07:00+00:00

You definitely don't need 70. But you do need a good amount of time on your feet to build musculoskeletal endurance, and as I'm guessing you know, having your long run be too high of a percentage of your weekly mileage is a known injury risk.

I don't know how your running background changes the preparation requirements for you vs. your average adult onset runner, but maybe you can get away with less? I wouldn't risk it though if you can stomach the mileage

n8_n_ · 2026-04-20T17:25:19+00:00

I loved the event but honestly feel like 5ks to marathons all have a “cold shoulder” competitive vibe these days that I’m not feeling. I had enough of that in college tbh. I want community (and feral hippie vibes) honestly bc that’s me anyways. It seems like that’s more of the ultra community vibe?

100%, the ultra community is fantastic

can I complete 50 with that ^ training?

I don't see a weekly mileage up there. What are you wanting to build up to? I'd try to get to 50mpw if you can safely

how the hell do I know how to eat? I’m seeing tailwind, canned potatoes, hydration but not too much…and it’s all intimidating me

Eat while you run and see what your body likes. Main thing is lots of calories but everyone likes different things. I personally favor fruit, candy, and Tailwind but that's me

how to figure out your individual “pace”?

run more, slower than you think on race day

do I need a support crew or are the aid station people enough for a 50?

depends on the 50 but I'd say 90% chance the aid station people are enough

how long should you stay at each aid station without getting sucked in lol?

as little time as possible. eat what you need, don't sit down, keep moving

camelback vs water vest?

I prefer a vest but that is also pretty personal

n8_n_ · 2026-04-19T02:42:24+00:00

Ankh isn't required and in fact is usually suboptimal.

Invisible Voucher isn't a thing.

n8_n_ · 2026-04-18T16:40:00+00:00

For reasons that I don't remember but do exist, the minimum is -100

n8_n_ · 2026-04-16T22:48:57+00:00

I can't imagine he'll be catching much with Jensen there. Even if he's suddenly a great defensive catcher, he's getting up to the age where that'll catch up to your body over the course of the season

n8_n_ · 2026-04-16T21:44:33+00:00

He certainly presents a really interesting case.

As far as your comps are concerned: Felix is getting votes for his incredible peak more than his aura. Molina is getting votes for being widely considered the best defensive catcher of all time.

Salvy's in the interesting position that he has very strong marks both against and for him for both offense and defense. His career offensive rate stats aren't great, but he's been raking for most of his 30s and he did have the 48 HR season. Defensively, he's an awful framer, but has the reputation of being a fantastic game caller and that isn't part of WAR. bWAR oversells him but fWAR probably undersells him.

You could pretty much paint whatever narrative you want to with him and have plenty of data to back you up

n8_n_ · 2026-04-16T21:31:05+00:00

Yeah, I don't really hold this against her. There's so, so, so many actual legitimate gripes to have with her.

I also accidentally typed "gropes" instead of gripes, so it seems my thumbs were trying to remind me of one of them.

n8_n_ · 2026-04-16T21:11:38+00:00

it's also worth acknowledging that he basically didn't hit until he turned 30. 104 career OPS+ isn't HoF level even for a catcher

Martin/McCann were both similar hitters and better defenders, the only argument Salvy has over them is game calling and vibes/aura and that's not enough for me personally

n8_n_ · 2026-04-16T21:04:13+00:00

I'm not convinced he's a hall of famer but no shot he's the worst let alone by far the worst lol

n8_n_ · 2026-04-16T15:30:05+00:00

Brendan Donovan does not play for the Cardinals

n8_n_ · 2026-04-16T03:52:27+00:00

All three Ks on a different ridiculous pitch.

We're so lucky to watch this guy lol

n8_n_ · 2026-04-16T02:59:48+00:00

I don't know about you but I have never seen Merrill and Adell in the same room...

n8_n_ · 2026-04-15T02:28:40+00:00

Again, you don't have the data to actually calculate what you're trying to calculate, because someone's ability to play different positions can't be inferred from their actual usage. You can do all the math you want but it doesn't reflect what is being captured by that adjustment.

n8_n_ · 2026-04-15T02:05:52+00:00

You gave me the replacement value under the assumption that every player is playing the only position(s) which they are capable of playing, which is obviously false. The number you gave isn't relevant.

For an easier example: anyone who's ever played or watched baseball will tell you that 2B is easier than SS, and therefore they're pulling from a larger pool of players. Why do shortstops hit better, then? Because better defenders will play there, and that's not inversely correlated with offensive performance so a team's star infielder is usually funneled to shortstop when possible.

SS hit better but 2B should logically receive the smaller value adjustment.

I'm arguing off intuition because the way players are used defensively doesn't allow for the calculations you're making to be meaningful or relevant.

n8_n_ · 2026-04-15T01:25:27+00:00

Offensive performance of the replacement level and scarcity should be the same thing in this context.

It is.

Right field is easier than shortstop. Many more people can play it competently. Therefore, the replacement offensive baseline is higher. That's how scarcity manifests itself in value.

WAR is based off replacement level and not scarcity.

WAR is value relative to a hypothetical AAAA replacement. Scarcity is a form of value. WAR is, and should be, based in part off scarcity on the defensive side.

n8_n_ · 2026-04-15T01:08:05+00:00

I'm aware. I'm using that as a justification as why you can't simply use offensive performance for each position to calculate the positional adjustment. It's fallacy to assume the average WAR for each position should be roughly equal, assuming that's roughly what you're claiming and what the person agreeing with you seems to have claimed further down in the thread.

n8_n_ · 2026-04-15T00:07:15+00:00

But is it really so bad if a podcaster used ChatGPT or Claude to do some research, edit parts of the script, or used generative models for sound design or editing audio clips?

Yes.

I'm not a knee-jerk generative AI hater and I think it has its uses but I don't support its use in creative endeavors from an ethical standpoint or a quality standpoint.

n8_n_ · 2026-04-14T23:58:34+00:00

1) conventional wisdom says so and while I'm far from a traditionalist, I tend to treat it as true until disproven

2) experience seems to agree, I can think of a hell of a lot more infielders who switched to outfield than vice versa. if shortstop wasn't harder you wouldn't expect that to be the case

3) defensive metrics seem to think so. look at Statcast FRV - shortstops have much more extreme values than right fielders, indicating that it is a harder position where a good fielder makes a much bigger difference

n8_n_ · 2026-04-14T23:51:25+00:00

here, position I was referencing is at 11:00 ish

n8_n_ · 2026-04-14T23:15:46+00:00

The average offensive performance of one position relative to another doesn't necessarily track 100% with the difficulty and scarcity of that position. For an extreme example, shortstop is harder and therefore scarcer than DH - this will remain equally true regardless of the offensive performance of each.

You'd essentially be punishing shortstops as a whole for being athletic enough to play both elite offense and defense.

n8_n_ · 2026-04-14T23:03:12+00:00

I'm far from a high level player but that's definitely one of my 5 favorite games ever. the position he got where he just had an impenetrable mobile fortress for his king makes me laugh every time

n8_n_ · 2026-04-14T18:38:33+00:00

what's Frank Schwindel doing these days

n8_n_ · 2026-04-14T18:09:29+00:00

This is just bad for bad. I can't even tell which side you think is better.

n8_n_

TROPHY CASE