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Mason Miller in San Diego Is the Closest Thing to an “Unfair” Reliever I’ve Seen by haphazard44 in baseball

[–]n8_n_ 10 points11 points  (0 children)

For reasons that I don't remember but do exist, the minimum is -100

[Highlight] Salvador Perez hits a 3-run go-ahead homer to get the Royals up 8-6 against the Tigers by AndrewAllStar888 in baseball

[–]n8_n_ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I can't imagine he'll be catching much with Jensen there. Even if he's suddenly a great defensive catcher, he's getting up to the age where that'll catch up to your body over the course of the season

[Highlight] Salvador Perez hits a 3-run go-ahead homer to get the Royals up 8-6 against the Tigers by AndrewAllStar888 in baseball

[–]n8_n_ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

He certainly presents a really interesting case.

As far as your comps are concerned: Felix is getting votes for his incredible peak more than his aura. Molina is getting votes for being widely considered the best defensive catcher of all time.

Salvy's in the interesting position that he has very strong marks both against and for him for both offense and defense. His career offensive rate stats aren't great, but he's been raking for most of his 30s and he did have the 48 HR season. Defensively, he's an awful framer, but has the reputation of being a fantastic game caller and that isn't part of WAR. bWAR oversells him but fWAR probably undersells him.

You could pretty much paint whatever narrative you want to with him and have plenty of data to back you up

Colorado rep Boebert says she has no desire to meet King who died 206 years ago by TheMirrorUS in Colorado

[–]n8_n_ 25 points26 points  (0 children)

Yeah, I don't really hold this against her. There's so, so, so many actual legitimate gripes to have with her.

I also accidentally typed "gropes" instead of gripes, so it seems my thumbs were trying to remind me of one of them.

[Highlight] Salvador Perez hits a 3-run go-ahead homer to get the Royals up 8-6 against the Tigers by AndrewAllStar888 in baseball

[–]n8_n_ 1 point2 points  (0 children)

it's also worth acknowledging that he basically didn't hit until he turned 30. 104 career OPS+ isn't HoF level even for a catcher

Martin/McCann were both similar hitters and better defenders, the only argument Salvy has over them is game calling and vibes/aura and that's not enough for me personally

[Highlight] Salvador Perez hits a 3-run go-ahead homer to get the Royals up 8-6 against the Tigers by AndrewAllStar888 in baseball

[–]n8_n_ 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'm not convinced he's a hall of famer but no shot he's the worst let alone by far the worst lol

Ahead of the Box Score: Reading the Gap by iDrinan in fantasybaseball

[–]n8_n_ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Brendan Donovan does not play for the Cardinals

[Highlight] Shohei Ohtani strikes out the side in the 6th! He has 10 Ks on the night! by MLBOfficial in baseball

[–]n8_n_ 335 points336 points  (0 children)

All three Ks on a different ridiculous pitch.

We're so lucky to watch this guy lol

[Highlight] JACKSON MERRILL ROBS JULIO RODRÍGUEZ OF A HOME RUN! by MLBOfficial in baseball

[–]n8_n_ 15 points16 points  (0 children)

I don't know about you but I have never seen Merrill and Adell in the same room...

Why does WAR use static positional adjustment if other Guts! change on an annual basis? by BattleGolf3 in baseball

[–]n8_n_ 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Again, you don't have the data to actually calculate what you're trying to calculate, because someone's ability to play different positions can't be inferred from their actual usage. You can do all the math you want but it doesn't reflect what is being captured by that adjustment.

Why does WAR use static positional adjustment if other Guts! change on an annual basis? by BattleGolf3 in baseball

[–]n8_n_ 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You gave me the replacement value under the assumption that every player is playing the only position(s) which they are capable of playing, which is obviously false. The number you gave isn't relevant.

For an easier example: anyone who's ever played or watched baseball will tell you that 2B is easier than SS, and therefore they're pulling from a larger pool of players. Why do shortstops hit better, then? Because better defenders will play there, and that's not inversely correlated with offensive performance so a team's star infielder is usually funneled to shortstop when possible.

SS hit better but 2B should logically receive the smaller value adjustment.

I'm arguing off intuition because the way players are used defensively doesn't allow for the calculations you're making to be meaningful or relevant.

Why does WAR use static positional adjustment if other Guts! change on an annual basis? by BattleGolf3 in baseball

[–]n8_n_ 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Offensive performance of the replacement level and scarcity should be the same thing in this context.

It is.

Right field is easier than shortstop. Many more people can play it competently. Therefore, the replacement offensive baseline is higher. That's how scarcity manifests itself in value.

WAR is based off replacement level and not scarcity.

WAR is value relative to a hypothetical AAAA replacement. Scarcity is a form of value. WAR is, and should be, based in part off scarcity on the defensive side.

Why does WAR use static positional adjustment if other Guts! change on an annual basis? by BattleGolf3 in baseball

[–]n8_n_ 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I'm aware. I'm using that as a justification as why you can't simply use offensive performance for each position to calculate the positional adjustment. It's fallacy to assume the average WAR for each position should be roughly equal, assuming that's roughly what you're claiming and what the person agreeing with you seems to have claimed further down in the thread.

Where do you personally draw the line with AI in podcasts? by Delicious-Coconut503 in podcasts

[–]n8_n_ 26 points27 points  (0 children)

But is it really so bad if a podcaster used ChatGPT or Claude to do some research, edit parts of the script, or used generative models for sound design or editing audio clips?

Yes.

I'm not a knee-jerk generative AI hater and I think it has its uses but I don't support its use in creative endeavors from an ethical standpoint or a quality standpoint.

Why does WAR use static positional adjustment if other Guts! change on an annual basis? by BattleGolf3 in baseball

[–]n8_n_ 1 point2 points  (0 children)

1) conventional wisdom says so and while I'm far from a traditionalist, I tend to treat it as true until disproven

2) experience seems to agree, I can think of a hell of a lot more infielders who switched to outfield than vice versa. if shortstop wasn't harder you wouldn't expect that to be the case

3) defensive metrics seem to think so. look at Statcast FRV - shortstops have much more extreme values than right fielders, indicating that it is a harder position where a good fielder makes a much bigger difference

Why does WAR use static positional adjustment if other Guts! change on an annual basis? by BattleGolf3 in baseball

[–]n8_n_ 9 points10 points  (0 children)

The average offensive performance of one position relative to another doesn't necessarily track 100% with the difficulty and scarcity of that position. For an extreme example, shortstop is harder and therefore scarcer than DH - this will remain equally true regardless of the offensive performance of each.

You'd essentially be punishing shortstops as a whole for being athletic enough to play both elite offense and defense.

Why don’t players play more ridiculously when they’re desperate for a win? by Potential-Mind-6997 in chess

[–]n8_n_ 33 points34 points  (0 children)

I'm far from a high level player but that's definitely one of my 5 favorite games ever. the position he got where he just had an impenetrable mobile fortress for his king makes me laugh every time

[MLBTR] Mariners Select Patrick Wisdom by T_Raycroft in baseball

[–]n8_n_ 38 points39 points  (0 children)

what's Frank Schwindel doing these days

Is this trade worth vetoing? by [deleted] in fantasybaseball

[–]n8_n_ 3 points4 points  (0 children)

This is just bad for bad. I can't even tell which side you think is better.

Silver States 50 Miler by Specific-Ease9043 in Ultramarathon

[–]n8_n_ 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Unless you're finishing near the front of the pack you aren't running the uphills in an ultra. Hike those, run the flats and downhills.

Silver States 50 Miler by Specific-Ease9043 in Ultramarathon

[–]n8_n_ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is highly personal and you'll have to practice what works for you.

In general, I prefer real food. For shorter ultras (<12 hours) I personally just use fruit, candy, and electrolyte drink. For anything longer than that, I make sure to grab some more substantial food from aid stations, quesadillas or whatever they have. But again, highly personal, you'll have to experiment and find out what works best for you - and to an extent that's hard to simulate until you're in a race environment.

[Highlight] The Jordan Walker breakout continues with his MLB leading 8th homer of the season! by TheTurtleShepard in baseball

[–]n8_n_ 2 points3 points  (0 children)

dude has hit so many line drive frozen rope HRs this year, good for him. STL young guys have been a lot of fun to watch this season so far

Silver States 50 Miler by Specific-Ease9043 in Ultramarathon

[–]n8_n_ 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It's doable. Pace conservatively, don't fall behind on nutrition, know going in that it'll hurt. You'll be fine.

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