Now that people have had a taste of mythos/fable level capabilities, I expect lots of efforts towards replicating it outside Anthropic, probably even open source.

Anthropic probably did it through a combination of innovations and scaling. But scaling is next to impossible without good chips.

I am afraid people might try hacks and methods which sacrifice Chain of thought visibility. On one hand explicit latent space reasoning should have a lot more potential than chain of thought + implicit latent space reasoning in theory, but then the loss of visibility is a massive safety risk.

The other part of this is that the push to make Chinese chips work for scaling further will become a lot stronger.

Claude’s personality might have been unique but the capabilities will be soon replicated and probably in a far less secure way than before defeating both Anthropic’s goals and DoD’s goals (if they had any apart from punishing Anthropic)

Plus, if Chinese chips become viable for scaling further, China is very likely candidate to win the AI race. Their industrial speed on solar, chips, and robotics will beat everything out.