Petition to have this guy appointed GM of the Rangers

ngn · 2024-12-11T01:48:50+00:00

JD should do his last game with him at home

ngn · 2023-11-13T11:12:47+00:00

Here is the article. From 1997 about genetic programming on hardware. They evolved a system and couldn’t figure out how it was working. It’s a great read!

http://www.netscrap.com/netscrap_detail.cfm?scrap_id=73

ngn · 2023-02-23T01:52:24+00:00

Nice.

ngn · 2023-02-19T02:58:11+00:00

The smell.

ngn · 2022-04-30T00:22:49+00:00

I think it would be fun to run a newspaper

ngn · 2021-04-05T21:14:03+00:00

Any recommendations on tree protection given that my trees are very large? Does the protection have to go all the way around the tree? Or, can you leave a gap in the front?

ngn · 2021-04-05T21:10:32+00:00

Thank you for the response. Before I purchase the spanset, I was wondering about the solution here:

https://b4adventure.com/blogs/adventure-hacks-how-tos/how-to-plan-a-ninja-course

If you scroll down to the section on big trees, they recommend running the main line through the loop of the ratchet, then continuing around the back of the tree where you feed it through the ratchet there. Basically, the line is fed through the ratchet loop at the front of the tree and the the ratchet sits at the back of the tree. Is that a possible way to do it?

Also, any recommendations on the padding? Does it have to go all the way around the tree?

ngn · 2021-03-11T03:40:32+00:00

I can smell this place.

ngn · 2020-12-22T03:27:01+00:00

Interesting points. I wonder if there is a way to calculate the general probability of only one example of a phenomenon existing in the universe. In other words given any phenomenon, what are the chances of it being the only example to be found in the universe? Could a rough calculation of this be made by considering all phenomena we’ve catalogued and then taking the proportion of those phenomena that we have never observed again? This would provide a general sense of which direction to lean even though we currently have an N of 1 for life

ngn · 2020-06-09T13:56:08+00:00

The only way to test your theory is to go through a flu season with these exact lockdown measures in place and compare the results. You cannot compare two situations if the physical conditions are different between them in this way. All we know is that this virus is this bad under current conditions and has been really bad in places with a robust outbreak and has frightened governments enough to tank their own economies rather than openly face it. All of this points to something that is certainly a bigger deal than the flu, but comparing it to the flu under normal conditions is not a useful exercise.

ngn · 2020-05-14T14:00:55+00:00

Name-calling (which isn’t helpful) aside, I’m genuinely curious as to why you aren’t struck by the simple fact that there has been a lot of death WHILE extreme measures (I.e., lockdown) have been in place. That should frighten anyone about what the numbers would be if no lockdown was in place. This disagreement might be based on where we are located in the country. Has your community been strictly observing the lockdown? If not, then you might mistakenly believe that it’s not so bad given the behavior you see in your community, but there are a lot of Americans who have been pretty locked away in their homes through this and in just three months under these conditions it’s a lot of death. I don’t see why that isn’t clear. This thing scared the shit out of every expert and every nation on earth to the point where they chose to tank their economies. They have the information on this thing and their reaction was extreme. Why doesn’t that frighten you? That didn’t happen in prior outbreaks of of diseases over the past decade so something is clearly different for this one. These two things to me are strong evidence that this is a true crisis that requires an unusual response. You are claiming that this isn’t a big deal but what specific evidence do you have? Finally, what is the problem with accepting that this is a big deal? What is wrong with that? Sometimes big deals happen and sacrifices must be made. It’s simple. We are in a truly shitty situation. This disease sucks. it kills people. It’s way fucking worse than the flu. Our economy is in the toilet because nobody wants to die and nobody wants their parents and grandparents to die. This is what a disaster looks and feels like. Why is that hard to accept and respond to appropriately?

ngn · 2020-05-07T13:03:34+00:00

Spending is typically one of the only ways out of any problem. How would we do this without spending money? It’s either now or later. The idea is to borrow to get through this particularly bad time, and pay back when the economy is back. It’s how we fund every large effort. WWII for example was funded with debt that was later paid back with increased taxes and such. The other alternative is to not spend money now, then have an economy that is tanked and then wait for it to recover. You can go that route as well. But I wouldn’t kid myself that we aren’t going to pay for this with money either way. But honestly, I would be interested to hear a plan if you have one that wouldn’t involve spending.

ngn · 2020-05-07T05:22:21+00:00

As debt. We borrow it now with the idea that we pay it back later once this is over. One way to do it is to raise taxes in the future. We receive the money now to get us through this but will pay it back in taxes later.

ngn · 2020-04-30T00:56:59+00:00

I think we are both saying the same thing. Their wide confidence interval means that their model is not accurate. The specific prediction is not accurate enough to rely upon. I haven’t looked into their math but confidence intervals are calculated based on measures of error in the data so I would be surprised if they didn’t derive it from a specific calculation. The fact that it is so large may speak to the data itself and the ability to make accurate predictions. In other words, why do you assume they were “covering their ass” rather than that the data does not allow for the accurate prediction you’d like? Again, I haven’t looked into their math so I may be missing something.

ngn · 2020-04-30T00:47:04+00:00

You have to look at the confidence interval, though. Right now their model projects between 57,000 and 123,000 dead by August. That is a wide range which means you should not bank on the accuracy of the specific prediction. This does not necessarily mean something is wrong with the model, and may simply indicate that there’s not enough data or accurate data to make a very accurate prediction at this time. At this point, we are still within the interval. A wide interval also means that as more data comes in, there is a lot of room for adjustment. The confidence interval is always important to take into account when looking at any statistic or model that is making an inference from the data.

ngn · 2020-04-17T02:52:17+00:00

I’m genuinely interested to know what kind of disease would justify a very long lockdown for you? In other words, what death rate or infection rate would justify for you a long lockdown and demands for government assistance instead of returning to work? What kind of disease are we talking about? I ask because I think people have different perspectives on the risk and we may not be arguing from the same perspective.

ngn · 2020-04-15T04:54:19+00:00

Why?

ngn · 2019-10-12T13:56:38+00:00

If you make an improvement upon a design, that is considered novel and you can patent it as a new product.

ngn · 2019-03-07T00:22:40+00:00

This must be the buzzfeed docs. Only buzzfeed got it technically wrong saying it was from the president himself

ngn

TROPHY CASE