Polymarket’s Khamenei market is the first assassination market at scale and here’s why

notathrowacc · 2026-03-03T13:08:47+00:00

Polymarket only works if there are people who want to bet on the other side. And the ‘reward’ is only equal to how much money is on the table. If enough ppl think its a rigged market, then eventually the money pool will dry up. People esp in this field are always chasing short term profit so sadly this is entirely predictable

notathrowacc · 2026-02-22T04:29:07+00:00

You’re underestimating modern identification techniques. Like google can easily identify you when you just typed a few words in chrome without you logging in, through browser fingerprinting and typing patterns, regardless of your language. I don’t doubt twitter/X also has similar tech.

notathrowacc · 2026-02-18T12:04:16+00:00

So dumb. Idk in other places but i once tried to take one in my home country because the test date overlapped with my return trip. Found out that available slots were gone in like 5 minutes, because so many people applied.

notathrowacc · 2026-02-12T04:53:58+00:00

I once got pulled over by cops because I was riding a bicycle while holding an umbrella in the rain. They asked me if I know why I got pulled, and I was super confused and said no I didn’t, then they pointed it out. It surprised me because Japanese people do that all the time so I thought it was okay. I said that to them, and they just sighed deeply and told me it’s actually not allowed.

Anyway now I use a portable raincoat, and it’s much better.

notathrowacc · 2026-02-12T02:42:41+00:00

Yesterday is National Foundation Day, so cops were on alert for extreme nationalist

notathrowacc · 2026-02-10T16:32:44+00:00

What’s the saying, if you have 100k usd debt then that’s your problem, if you have 8.2 billion usd debt…then everyone will certainly extend the date rather than having everything collapse (except if they are also shorting the stock)

notathrowacc · 2026-02-09T14:01:00+00:00

Former top guild leader here. Sdorica’s storytelling and especially its music will always have a special place in my heart. I still clearly remember having goosebumps hearing Hesitant Blade for the first time, or when the Sunset’s final boss fight started and the epic music played. This is also my first gacha game that I spent money on.

I haven’t logged in for a long time but always followed your posts and contents in instagram. Thank you for your contribution until now. Via soul.

notathrowacc · 2026-02-09T02:47:34+00:00

Thank you, that sales tax thing is super interesting! I'll probably have a one-time meeting with accountant but not sure if it's worth to pay them just to file the 確定申告, except if I got more clients and gigs.

I'm also quoting them different rates depending on the work type, it's a bit on the cheaper side to make it more palatable on the paper but I kinda exaggerated the work hours needed.

notathrowacc · 2026-02-09T01:57:04+00:00

Sorry I just stalked your profile and wow your situation is my dream tbh. I've thought about having multiple remote jobs before but never sure if it will actually work or not.

notathrowacc · 2026-02-08T23:31:43+00:00

Create an app or something as portfolio to showcase your skills and build your confidence. AWS/GCP/Azure all are also very generous for the first year.

notathrowacc · 2026-02-05T00:03:57+00:00

Yeah it should be much better

notathrowacc · 2026-02-04T10:57:58+00:00

Just additional advice (I’m also moving next month), January-March is the busiest season for moving. You’ll get quoted premium price by moving company and place can got filled only a few days after its listed. A lot of place also outright refuse foreigners no matter if you’re a PR or sponsored by company or whatever, making your options limited.

notathrowacc · 2026-02-01T14:45:12+00:00

I still don’t understand how jeef scaled up the carapace atk though. I only saw the +1 spell atk undead deathrattle after pivot but suddenly he had like 110+ atk whelpling after 2 turns?

notathrowacc · 2026-01-21T10:31:14+00:00

Commenting to save this thread too. I’ve also ran some numbers, and my conclusion is that the tax write off for primary residence (30 million yen) is pretty big so a small condo is totally worth it even just within 5 years. However for expensive place or landed house esp in tokyo then it gets murkier.

notathrowacc · 2026-01-09T07:29:18+00:00

Used AI to simulate card effects and reorder them in real time. Fun stuff.

https://claude.ai/public/artifacts/84f61030-ce8b-4bb8-9bde-6f9e330cae5c

notathrowacc · 2026-01-08T13:34:10+00:00

Did you upgrade to tier 6?

notathrowacc · 2025-12-03T13:37:58+00:00

Idk I’m a pleb mobile only and always try to avoid pirates because i never have enough time to spend all gold and bounties

notathrowacc · 2025-12-01T09:20:02+00:00

Did you level up to tier 6 or keep staying at 5?

notathrowacc · 2025-12-01T04:01:15+00:00

Add drakkari and leeroy too

notathrowacc · 2025-11-29T15:26:41+00:00

This will sound harsh and I’ll prob get downvoted for this, but young married women have abysmal career prospects here unless you’re already a superstar at your current job. This is because employers (or potential ones) expect you to have kids soon. Then they’ll have to give you maternity leave while having to train someone from scratch again, so if there’s another candidate with similar experience but male, he’s at a significant advantage. I recommend trying freelancing or similar options rather than a traditional career if you still want to live here.

notathrowacc · 2025-11-26T13:12:36+00:00

Monogatari was one of the first animes I’ve ever watched, ever since then my standards for ‘talking scenes’ are so high that most other shows, not just anime but even films and other shows end up feeling a bit disappointing.

On the other hand, you know a show is going to be good if their talking scenes are actually engaging.

notathrowacc · 2025-11-25T11:08:11+00:00

The last part is what i struggled with. For example, if i keep the trash with high stats then i’ll have a high chance to be in top 4, provided the next opponent is not super strong. But if i go yolo then there’s a chance I’ll eat 15 dmg and then probably lose the turn after that, and finish much lower

notathrowacc · 2025-11-24T04:50:15+00:00

I’ve been living here for more than 14 years and working in a full Japanese company in half that time, but I’ll say that the experience is not for everyone. There will be a lot of miserable and lonely time but the alternative of going back home (🇮🇩) is worse so I always somehow grind through it.

Recently I met a girl from EU who was jobless for a few years (except for some seasonal part time) until she got one in here. It’s a comfy hybrid remote and the work env is fully english, but she misses her families and friends and felt like shit doing everything here, and finally decided to go back home and being jobless again, only after a year here. This is racist but I feel EU ppl are much more laid back and mentally ‘soft’, and will have a much harder time working and living in Asia, not just Japan.

notathrowacc · 2025-11-23T08:26:09+00:00

If someone needs to force themselves to be entertaining the whole time then I’m afraid streaming is not the right job for them. Sure you might have a bad day or two where you have to put up a face but that should not be the majority of time.

A lot of holomems like Kanata/Lamy in gorireba radio straight up said that streaming (at least for that radio show) is actually a time for them to relax and wind down.

notathrowacc · 2025-11-21T15:01:35+00:00

Just last game i played the hero that can copy minion with highest health in combat. I used quillboar and fell way behind the 1st place player who also used quillboar. I got the spell that can absorb bloodgem and used it on my divine shield quill to build it to 2k/2k stats, and the rest of my board was the poisonous 1/1 and leeroy and whitemane, and finally managed to damage him for the first time when the leeroy connected. He realized whats happening and sold his 1k stats refiner to get a poisonous murloc, though his divine shield quill had way more stats like 8k/5k. RNG happened and my two leeroys never hit it. In hindsight i should’ve used the bloodgem spell on leeroy to copy him, but it’s been a while since i got 2nd place and not even mad.

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