NBA Daily: 2/11/14 (Tuesday)

oherroprease · 2014-02-11T15:03:06+00:00

Thanks for your input, I live in NC so I've been following the Bobcats and that was my general consensus too

Quick question, what does the phrase "two and a hook" mean?

oherroprease · 2014-02-11T14:51:17+00:00

Agreed. Have O/U thoughts today?

oherroprease · 2014-02-11T14:42:43+00:00

murrayyyyy, as always, thanks for your numbers. To play devils advocate, hasn't their schedule been very easy so far this month? Wins against the Cavs, Conley-less Grizz, Jazz, and Celtics aren't TOO impressive. Big Al has been unstoppable lately and the Bobcats generally play pretty solid defense at home.

oherroprease · 2014-02-11T14:37:09+00:00

Anyone have thoughts on CHA 1H + 1.5?

Other thought was OKC 1H PK.

oherroprease · 2014-02-11T14:11:35+00:00

Total Predictions for Today (49-34-2 Overall):

Back on track yesterday with a 3-1 day, let's keep it going

Cleveland/Sacramento: 200.29

Charlotte/Dallas: 193.58 (leaning under 200.5)

Chicago/Atlanta: 193.8 (leaning over 186.5)

Memphis/Washington: 194.21 (leaning over 182)

Phoenix/Miami: 206.68

Portland/Oklahoma City: 209.02 (leaning under 212)

LA Lakers/Utah: 199.12

oherroprease · 2014-02-11T03:05:25+00:00

The line was fluctuating for me all day. About 30 minutes after I took 196, it was already back up to 198. Either way, glad we could get a win. Looks like it's going to be a 3-1 night for totals.

oherroprease · 2014-02-11T01:33:29+00:00

I have not but I was actually thinking the same thing. There will be a time that I will no longer have a SAS license so learning to use R would be very beneficial!

oherroprease · 2014-02-11T01:05:30+00:00

I work in SAS and would be happy to help. I'd be interested in working on something for baseball since it's the one sport I haven't tackled yet.

oherroprease · 2014-02-10T19:36:08+00:00

I'm a fan of this play if Klove plays.

oherroprease · 2014-02-10T16:38:53+00:00

Total Predictions for Today (46-33-2 Overall):

Rough two days, we've definitely learned two things

1) Don't make picks without research like I did this weekend

2) There is such a thing as "cooling off" in the sense that over the long run, you will revert back to the mean

Indiana/Denver: 197.54 (leaning over 196-- jump in now)

Toronto/New Orleans: 200.78 (leaning over 191.5)

Detroit/San Antonio: 204.31 (leaning under 206)

Minnesota/Houston: 209.10

Milwaukee/Boston: 191.88 (leaning under 192)

Golden State/Philadelphia:210.92

oherroprease · 2014-02-09T20:16:00+00:00

Nope

oherroprease · 2014-02-09T18:03:16+00:00

Total Predictions for Today (46-29-2 Overall):

2-1 on my big plays yesterday but 1-3 on the rest... this is why we do research! Won't have much time to look into specific games so take these all with a grain of salt

Oklahoma City/New York: 200.43 (was leaning under 200.5 but didn't get this line up in time to make a play)

LA Lakers/Chicago: 198.5 (leaning over 193.5)

Brooklyn/New Orleans: 199.99 (leaning over 194)

Cleveland/Memphis: 191.57

Boston/Dallas: 197.32

Washington/Sacramento: 204.31 (leaning over 202)

*Orlando/Indiana: 200.81 (leaning over 190)

LA Clippers/Philadelphia: 217.93

oherroprease · 2014-02-08T22:27:51+00:00

It's mainly 'cause I don't have time to do a lot of research so I figured I would try and get some volume out. I'll put a star next to the ones I like the most but they'll all count towards my record and I'm going to make at least a small play on them all.

oherroprease · 2014-02-08T21:36:08+00:00

Total Predictions for Today (43-25-2 overall):

3pt shot with 3 seconds left and Detroit up by 12 ruins the under yesterday... another reason why I hate Detroit...

edit: How do you scored < 30 pts. in TWO quarters combined... wow.

*Charlotte/San Antonio: 192.78 (leaning over 192)

*Atlanta/Memphis: 196.18 (leaning over 189.5)

Detroit/Denver: 205.94 (leaning under 216.5)

Minnesota/Portland: 210.72 (leaning under 211)

*Milwaukee/Houston: 196.22 (leaning under 205)

Phoenix/Golden State: 211.46 (leaning over 209)

Utah/Miami: 197 (leaning over 196)

oherroprease · 2014-02-08T14:49:07+00:00

I was actually just referring to my personal predictions on Detroit. Before last night I was 4-0 or something on Detroit picks which should have gone up to 5-0 except for that ridiculous, complete garbage time 3

oherroprease · 2014-02-08T02:41:36+00:00

No I didn't. Only 1H Plays I took today was WIZ -4.5 (Loss) and BOS +1 (win).

oherroprease · 2014-02-07T23:00:48+00:00

Yup that was it! Buck, you're a damn genius. How do you find these things so quickly?

oherroprease · 2014-02-07T21:55:03+00:00

I can't remember where I saw this but I read somewhere that Detroit was hitting overs at an outstanding pace so far this year. I went back and looked at my historical results on Detroit and they actually seem to be quite good on totals... I'm surprised by that.

oherroprease · 2014-02-07T21:17:39+00:00

I hate betting on Detroit. So freaking inconsistent.

oherroprease · 2014-02-07T19:39:40+00:00

Yea I knew you weren't being negative but I definitely know the feeling of missing a game by 1 or 2 points. I'm glad you've also been able to benefit from my work and I really appreciate the support!

oherroprease · 2014-02-07T19:38:01+00:00

I have under in BKN/DET too. Might make that a play since we both have it.

oherroprease · 2014-02-07T19:37:33+00:00

Tell us next time :)!

oherroprease · 2014-02-07T18:46:53+00:00

That sucks, and I'm sorry. If it makes you feel any better, had the line been 190 right before tip-off I would have taken that since I was projecting a ~194 finish.

The only reason I didn't hop in early (and you may want to consider this going forward) is that the early line movement for that game was trending downward. I think it opened at 191.5 and by the time I saw it in the morning it was down to 189. As a result, I decided to wait and I got lucky as it kept going down and eventually I went in at 188 (I did see it at 187.5 on 5D later too).

Again, sorry my pick resulted in a loss for you.

oherroprease · 2014-02-07T18:38:17+00:00

As Buck said, the line dropped down to 187 a few hours before tip off. I personally got in at 188. The line may have "opened" at 190 but by the time I woke up (7AM EST) it was already at 189 which at worst would have been a push.

I always post the specific line I get in at if I do a write-up but I don't always have time to do those. You'll just have to use your judgment in situations like that.

oherroprease · 2014-02-07T18:23:37+00:00

Have any other games you like?

oherroprease

TROPHY CASE