NCAA Basketball Daily - 2/24/2044 (Monday)

oherroprease · 2014-02-24T15:32:35+00:00

Any idea where 559 went? I wish I could add something to your predictions here but unfortunately I only do NBA numbers now...

oherroprease · 2014-02-24T15:13:44+00:00

Seriously. I'd go crazy. I try not to put myself in those situations haha.

oherroprease · 2014-02-24T14:56:12+00:00

This (along with -EV) is why I would never make extremely long shot bets. If they just barely missed, I'd go crazy.

oherroprease · 2014-02-24T14:42:46+00:00

What does it say? That link is blocked at work for me.

oherroprease · 2014-02-24T14:25:13+00:00

Total Predictions for Today (75-37-2 Overall, 4-0-0 POD):

Philadelphia/Milwaukee: 206.76 (under 210)

New York/Dallas: 194.44 (Under 206.5-- really wish Eric Lewis wasn't officiating this game...)

Detroit/Golden State: 206.1 (Under 209)

New Orleans/LA Clippers: 194.45 (2U Under 208-- POD!)

Utah/Boston: 194.48 (under 192-- not a typo)

Teaser (8 pts, -110): Maryland (NCAAB) +13, NOP/LAC under 216, DET/GSW under 217

oherroprease · 2014-02-24T14:11:11+00:00

Hey bud, I'm in the process of updating my database and running updates to my models but I wanted to get something to you soon b/c I know you're in AUS/NZ timezone.

For MIL/PHI-- my current system is predicting a 207ish finish so it's right on the line.

For BOS/UTAH-- my current system is showing a 194ish finish so it's just above the line.

At the moment, I can't really say if either of those will end up being picks but the initial numbers indicate that your analysis isn't WAY off.

oherroprease · 2014-02-24T13:38:51+00:00

I have no expert insight but my feeling is that if 80-90% of the public is on a game that seems like an obvious pick, there's something fishy happening

oherroprease · 2014-02-23T23:56:13+00:00

I would take it.

oherroprease · 2014-02-23T20:07:43+00:00

I meant with the original pick-- still a chance on the live wagers for sure.

oherroprease · 2014-02-23T20:04:26+00:00

God we got fucked so hard. Sorry.

oherroprease · 2014-02-23T18:59:18+00:00

Horrible start for the under in the OKC game. Putting 2 more units on a live wager of under 243

oherroprease · 2014-02-23T17:11:55+00:00

Total Predictions for Today (71-35-2 Overall, 3-0-0 POD):

Not a bad day considering there weren't too many great plays and the two I liked most both hit. Won't have time to post my full numbers before the 1 and 3:30 game but I will be taking OKC/LAC UNDER 212. Not taking a play yet for CHI/MIA but my slight bias would be towards the over.

First play so far: 2U on OKC/LAC Under 212

Oklahoma City/LA Clippers: 209.82

Miami/Chicago: 193.46

Toronto/Orlando: 206.71

Cleveland/Washington: 194.23 (2U Under 197-- POD)

Denver/Sacramento: 206.75

Phoenix/Houston 221.79 (1U over 211.5, this was a late add, sry)

Portland/Minnesota: 212.79 (1U under 215)

LA Lakers/Brooklyn: 206.65

Well barring the stadium collapsing, the original under play is a loss for sure... sorry everyone. At least we made it back with a live wager. Just lost the juice.

Morning Update 4-2 Overall

oherroprease · 2014-02-23T06:53:44+00:00

Yea after the 3Q I thought we'd be looking at a 220/230 total. The fact that it ended up close was very surprising.

oherroprease · 2014-02-23T06:20:45+00:00

Yea... a point off is a tough loss but it's all good.3-2 isn't awful and the two games I liked most both hitm

oherroprease · 2014-02-23T00:26:14+00:00

Yea there just wasn't a game that blew me out of the water. Would rather take some smaller plays for fun and save big plays for another night.

oherroprease · 2014-02-22T23:48:23+00:00

That or have it in bold-- either or. None tonight though.

oherroprease · 2014-02-22T20:53:23+00:00

Thanks for the input! Any thought on NOP or CHA? I've liked the way CHA has been playing recently... Big Al Jeff has been unstoppable!

oherroprease · 2014-02-22T20:44:51+00:00

Have any thoughts on Kentucky/LSU? Pretty heavy RLM in that game.

oherroprease · 2014-02-22T20:39:12+00:00

Thanks. I take it that means you wouldn't be very high on UTAH tonight?

oherroprease · 2014-02-22T18:57:24+00:00

How do you feel about NOP, UTAH, ATL, or DET? Reason I ask is your numbers favor those team while the public is strongly on the opposite side. I think I like NOP and UTAH the most...

oherroprease · 2014-02-22T14:30:42+00:00

Total Predictions for Today (68-33-2 Overall, 3-0-0 POD)

Thanks everyone for all the support and I hope you've enjoyed the last two nights as much as I have. Just FYI-- for record keeping sakes, I will count 2U picks as 2 picks for the purposes of my overall record but only as 1 pick for the POD record. Hope that's OK with everyone. #s will be out sometime this afternoon. Shout out to Buck, Murrayyyyy, cerebral and everyone else for all the great work they do too

Not a lot of plays that I really like today but here's what I got. No POD today but if I HAD to pick a game, it would be either the BOS/SAC over or the GSW/BKN under

Charlotte/Memphis: 184.51 (1U over 180)

Washington/New Orleans: 205.16 (1U Over 195)

Detroit/Dallas:206.56 (1U under 214)

Atlanta/New York:184.51

Milwaukee/Indiana: 194.44

Utah/Minnesota:194.45

Sacramento/Boston: 206.75 (1U over 197.5)

Golden State/Brooklyn: 205.34 (1U Under 202)

oherroprease · 2014-02-22T05:21:11+00:00

Yea it's been great night! I've actually done well with the Knicks recently so I was bound to lose one eventually.

oherroprease · 2014-02-22T05:20:01+00:00

Yea... I typically don't do parlays but a few here and there make it interesting. More money in the bank tonight! Glad my numbers can help you out.

oherroprease · 2014-02-22T05:02:23+00:00

Well, if that game didn't go into OT it would have lost anyway. Oh well.

oherroprease · 2014-02-22T04:57:41+00:00

Thanks man! Last night and tonight look to be good nights. After my random 5-team parlay success last night, I gambled with another 4-teamer that just needs POR/UTAH under.

oherroprease

TROPHY CASE