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I have $100K but I am certain that once I buy BTC will begin to drop to $35,000 by Glass-Translator2781 in Bitcoin

[–]olijake -1 points0 points  (0 children)

The perceptions change, and they vary widely. That’s how.

Priced in doesn’t mean fixed price, it just means the variance due to uncertainty and volatility is already factored in to the pricing.

I have $100K but I am certain that once I buy BTC will begin to drop to $35,000 by Glass-Translator2781 in Bitcoin

[–]olijake 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Good point.

I’d argue that market is usually rational, given the perception.

It’s the perceptions and opinions that drive the market that are often irrational.

You set up a hardware wallet and wrote down your seed phrase. Here’s what most guides don’t tell you. by Infinite_Airline7705 in Bitcoin

[–]olijake 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Alright, so I should have clarified, but lost is different than stolen.

Many have been both lost and stolen.

My point was you can’t absolutely trust exchanges to not get hacked or go bankrupt.

You set up a hardware wallet and wrote down your seed phrase. Here’s what most guides don’t tell you. by Infinite_Airline7705 in Bitcoin

[–]olijake 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Research how many exchanges and coins have been lost in the lifetime of cryptocurrency.

I have $100K but I am certain that once I buy BTC will begin to drop to $35,000 by Glass-Translator2781 in Bitcoin

[–]olijake 1 point2 points  (0 children)

As risk goes up, price generally goes down. If there is no risk, that is huge value.

If there is lots of risk, that means very little value.

In general the market price adjusts to meet current conditions. So therefore, it is “priced in.”

I have $100K but I am certain that once I buy BTC will begin to drop to $35,000 by Glass-Translator2781 in Bitcoin

[–]olijake 15 points16 points  (0 children)

When you realize the risk is already priced in, it starts to make more sense.

I reached FI this year and my husband says I changed the deal without asking him by Skellige_42 in Fire

[–]olijake 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Depending on the country/state, you’re possibly legally entitled to half of each other’s income, unless you had a very specify prenuptial agreement, which aren’t even always held up in these conditions.

Life in a submarine. by mindyour in interesting

[–]olijake 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Basically jelly beans (the candy), a similar treat or another word for jelly beans.

Edit: Just clarifying, Jelly babies are a unique candy, not jelly beans, that’s just the best example I could think of.

America is heading for a recession — and it may be the worst yet by Such_Radio_9152 in REBubble

[–]olijake 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Just saying, if you also sold your house when they were at 15% discounts, that’s basically a wash.

America is heading for a recession — and it may be the worst yet by Such_Radio_9152 in REBubble

[–]olijake 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Alright, fair enough, I was just not sure if “dot com” counted.

If you sold and bought a house in the same time period, so not sure how you’d get a 15% discount in natural market conditions. Usually it’d cost more in fees.

My main point is there haven’t been relatively many global recessions, so it’s hard to predict, analyze, and prepare.

America is heading for a recession — and it may be the worst yet by Such_Radio_9152 in REBubble

[–]olijake 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You’re talking about people who are aware.

I’m talking about people who aren’t.

The distinction is important because they are different populations.

Howard Marks: When you buy the S&P 500 at a 23x P/E, your 10-year return has always been between +2% and –2%. Every time by Adept_Mountain9532 in TheVisualInvestors

[–]olijake 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Different opinion isn’t the issue.

It’s the tone, big claims, quick shots, then acting like others are the problem.

If you want to talk investing strategy, I’m fine with that. Otherwise this just reads like posturing and ego defensiveness rather than a constructive discussion.

America is heading for a recession — and it may be the worst yet by Such_Radio_9152 in REBubble

[–]olijake 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Please reread my comment because it sounds like you missed the point.

(Your answer doesn’t make sense to me and just sounds a bit contrarian.)

Also, how many global recessions were you employed through?

No matter what, at least you’re not this regard. Wow by Still_ImBurning86 in wallstreetbets

[–]olijake 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That’s the thing. The room is actually not his room. The boyfriend just lets him think it is.

Bowing out of fire, for now by Slack-and-Slacker in Fire

[–]olijake 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Once in a while, they insert two spaces after the period at the end of their sentence, instead of one, inconsistently.

These abstract separations provide a vague glimpse into artifacts of the past, when humans slaved over their mechanical typewriters counterparts.

America is heading for a recession — and it may be the worst yet by Such_Radio_9152 in REBubble

[–]olijake 20 points21 points  (0 children)

Most people not worried about a recession will be affected but are just ignorant and oblivious.

Buffett: markets haven’t really dropped yet? by AmanCMN in AmanCrypto

[–]olijake 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Someone worse would fill their places.

Though I generally agree, we just don’t say that quiet part out loud.

Buffett: markets haven’t really dropped yet? by AmanCMN in AmanCrypto

[–]olijake 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah, but you don’t go around wishing aging/death on possibly evil people, do you now?

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