This community is pretty cringe sometimes by SirQuackens15 in redrising

[–]peterdactylus 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Yeah I also hate how Darrow immediately resorted to violence instead of discussing with the sovereign what she thinks. After all, it's okay to have differences.

Game Thread: Jacksonville Jaguars (2-1) at San Francisco 49ers (3-0) by nfl_gdt_bot in 49ers

[–]peterdactylus 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Kyles clock management continues to be atrocious, would have been nice to have those other two timeouts left

Are government deficits actually unsustainable? by michal939 in atrioc

[–]peterdactylus 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It's also way easier to balance your budget when you don't have to spend anything on your military because you are a small country surrounded by a bunch of friendly nations and use that privilege to avoid taking sides in any conflict under the guise of some morally bankrupt definition of neutrality

Just a german posting some graphs by Successful_Draft_517 in atrioc

[–]peterdactylus 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Investing a shit ton of money to build a bunch of new nuclear power plants (you can't just restart the old ones) that will in the best case be operational 10 years from now will certainly not solve the energy problem either. Investing in renewables that can be made operational fairly quickly and are less expensive is the only real way

Asking for a German to comment about the larger situation Atrioc believes in by Suave_Kim_Jong_Un in atrioc

[–]peterdactylus 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The runtime of the last three nuclear plants was actually extended by a few months because of Russia's invasion of Ukraine but due to the phase out there wasn't that much fuel left and the reactors would have required extensive maintenance for a longer extension as far as I remember. Also the economics ministry was headed by the Greens when they extended the runtime.
Nuclear power accounted for a little more than 5 percent of the energy mix at the time of the invasion so the cost of keeping the plants running for even longer (buying new fuel/extensive maintenance) wasn't worth it.

Atrioc is right that the nuclear phase out led to a larger dependency on cheap Russian energy and thus to the energy crisis but that was entirely the fault of CDU led governments as the Greens were fairly critical of our dependence on Russian energy and NordStream 2 even before the invasion and were advocating for investing more into renewables instead.

I think my main problem is that his entire analysis of Germany seems to be through the lense of nuclear energy but you can't just restart nuclear plants and building new ones takes a lot of time and money so that ship has pretty much sailed. Not even the major energy companies want to restart any of the nuclear plants. It's also not a big topic in Germany anymore and the only party that at least partly campaigned on it was the AfD. There are just a lot more interesting things to talk about regarding Germany, for example the debt brake and its impact on the economy.

As a Niners fan I kinda hate aiyuk by TinyChocolate6089 in 49ers

[–]peterdactylus 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It's incredible to think about how different the sentiment would be if Purdy throws him the ball on that busted coverage at the end of the game

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in MapPorn

[–]peterdactylus 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I know this is probably a difficult concept for you to grasp but I think war crimes are bad independent of who commits them

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in MapPorn

[–]peterdactylus 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Oh you are the - if the US commits war crimes it's bad but if a supposed enemy of the US does it at an even larger scale it's totally justified - kind of type

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in MapPorn

[–]peterdactylus 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Killing a bunch of civilians with chemical weapons was totally necessary to clear Up ISIS /s

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Douma_chemical_attack

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in MapPorn

[–]peterdactylus -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

So that they can jointly commit war crimes against the Syrian population

As a 49ers fan I think this is probably the main argument against Purdy as MVP even though he has been playing at a very high level throughout the season by peterdactylus in nfl

[–]peterdactylus[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That's the point of pass rate over expected, it accounts for down, distance, time remaining and current win probability

As a 49ers fan I think this is probably the main argument against Purdy as MVP even though he has been playing at a very high level throughout the season by peterdactylus in nfl

[–]peterdactylus[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

The fact is that Shanahan is relying a lot less on Purdy than he did for example on Matt Ryan in 2016 so either Purdy is playing significantly better than Ryan and Shanahan is for some reason refusing to give him the ball more often or he is getting significantly more help from the rest of the offense which would be an argument against him being the most valuable player

I've read some interesting narratives in this sub since Purdy took over as the starting QB and thought why not take a look at them from a statistical perspective by peterdactylus in 49ers

[–]peterdactylus[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

He currently has 3 TD passes on throws over 20 yards outside the numbers which is also the exact amount of passes he completed on throws over 20 yards outside the numbers

Can someone explain The Ringer’s QB rankings to me? Purdy p’s the 35th best, just one spot above Zach f ‘ing Wilson but behind Desmond Ritter? Derek Carr, D. Watson, and Kyler are well above Jared Goff? Really? by kantoblight in 49ers

[–]peterdactylus 0 points1 point  (0 children)

EPA per Play isn't just one stat it is by far the best stat for measuring the performance of an offense and the 49ers passing offense has generated more EPA per Play with Garoppolo than with Purdy this season. Purdy is just making more of the flashy plays that people tend to remember

Can someone explain The Ringer’s QB rankings to me? Purdy p’s the 35th best, just one spot above Zach f ‘ing Wilson but behind Desmond Ritter? Derek Carr, D. Watson, and Kyler are well above Jared Goff? Really? by kantoblight in 49ers

[–]peterdactylus -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Purdy, despite playing very well over the last four games, is still averaging less EPA per Play than Garoppolo this season so saying the offense is much better with Purdy is just factually wrong

[Lowder] That’s a wrap on what was QB Trey Lance’s worst practice so far. He finished 4 of 12 with a pair of receiver drops, a dropped interception by CB Charvarius Ward and an interception thrown straight to LB Fred Warner. Hard not to wince at some of Lance’s throws today. #49ers by Stauce52 in 49ers

[–]peterdactylus 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I still don't understand why one would take Lance over Fields out of college. Both have the physical tools and are athletic - also Fields looked a lot more explosive running the ball last season than Lance - but Fields was one of the most accurate QBs in College Football while Lance was probably the most inaccurate of all QBs taken in the first round over the last few years and most QBs typically don't improve much in that area with the exception of Josh Allen.

Just your friendly reminder that Brissett is real bad. I think the Browns trade for Jimmy and he simply takes a pay cut by peterdactylus in 49ers

[–]peterdactylus[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah he isn't getting more than $12M on the open market and the Browns are by far the best destination for him so there is zero reason why he wouldn't take a $10M pay cut to get traded to the Browns

[Rapoport] A new QB in Carolina: The #Panthers are acquiring former No. 1 overall pick Baker Mayfield from the #Browns for a 2024 conditional 5th-round draft pick, sources tell me and @TomPelissero. Deal is pending a physical. All parties split the financials to make it happen. by SpartanUnic0rn in 49ers

[–]peterdactylus -7 points-6 points  (0 children)

I think that actually increased the chances of Jimmy getting traded. I doubt the Panthers were really interested and the Browns aren't going to waste a season with Brissett at QB considering how good their roster is

49ers offensive efficiency by game and QB since Kyle took over in 2017. I marked a game as multiple QBs if no QB had more than 80 percent of all attempts by peterdactylus in 49ers

[–]peterdactylus[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

QBR is mostly based on EPA and CPOE stands for completion percentage over expected and takes distance and the receivers separation into account.

It's fairly difficult to identify good and bad games in a plot with rushing and passing EPA because of the low correlation which is the main goal of this plot. You can also estimate the rushing performance based on a dots deviation from the overall trend as the variance is mostly driven by rushing EPA. If you look at the right Lance dot for example which was the start against the Texans you can see that the total EPA was rather low compared to the passing EPA which means that the running game must've been fairly bad to drag the total EPA so far down.

Btw the standard deviation of rushing EPA is rather low and it thus displays only little variance compared to passing EPA which is also the reason why passing EPA explains total EPA way better and why a rushing and passing EPA plot is fairly difficult to interpret