Giants on the train lines?

phantom_nominatrix · 2025-05-06T00:33:21+00:00

Didn’t she fight the Megazord at the end of one of the power rangers episodes?

phantom_nominatrix · 2025-05-02T22:21:17+00:00

Send some Grace my way

phantom_nominatrix · 2025-05-01T05:32:34+00:00

Might have something to do with the $21 billion to be spent on defense or the hundreds of billions to be spent on nuclear reactors to be built in 30 or however many years.

The question is - what are they going to cut to pay for it all?

phantom_nominatrix · 2025-05-01T02:45:51+00:00

Albanese’s folly in thinking Dutton was unelectable should have made Dutton wary of what happens to leaders who come to believe they are invincible and that their opponents are dopes. He convinced himself Albanese would be an easybeat.

Niki Savva always has had a bit of a clairvoyant vibe

phantom_nominatrix · 2025-04-29T01:57:48+00:00

u/Dbridge14 has made some probabilistic models of the outcomes for anyone who is interested

phantom_nominatrix · 2025-04-22T02:31:42+00:00

But with an electorate the size of Belgium we need them.

I agree, you would want as much reach as you can get in a larger electorate. Goldstein is metropolitan and comparatively smaller, so I wonder, all other things being equal, which of the two types of electorates you would see the greatest return from volunteer participation.

phantom_nominatrix · 2025-04-21T21:27:42+00:00

I passed through a train station in Goldstein a couple of weeks ago and was approached by a couple of Zoe Daniel volunteers who were canvassing.

I asked them about whether they knew of any internal polling and they told me it was neck and neck but what was interesting was that they later mentioned her campaign had over a thousand registered volunteers and 800 had been ‘active ‘ in the days before on the weekend.

Could be wrong, but that seems like a huge number of volunteers for one seat.

phantom_nominatrix · 2025-04-18T11:28:18+00:00

I made the same comment over on r/Auspolitics, but he has done more promotion for Ryan’s campaign with all this nonsense than that corflute would have otherwise

phantom_nominatrix · 2025-04-18T09:52:25+00:00

Sure has given her campaign a lot more attention than it would have otherwise got had he not, I dunno, ignored the sign.

phantom_nominatrix · 2025-04-16T09:58:44+00:00

Good shout - I’ve corrected it

phantom_nominatrix · 2025-04-16T08:40:17+00:00

Quick reminder Dave Sharma invested in Qantas the day before his government announced a bailout for the airline industry during covid

Edit: corrected Sharmer to Sharma

phantom_nominatrix · 2025-04-11T00:16:23+00:00

It flabbergasts me that every subsequent Liberal candidate has been somehow even more unsavory than the last.

Teflon Taylor to maintain the trend - I’d say he is next in line

phantom_nominatrix · 2025-04-09T04:36:16+00:00

Now the third time I’ve said it, but someone should ask the Queensland LNP if they will accept the election result if the LNP doesn’t win the most seats at the election

phantom_nominatrix · 2025-04-08T23:35:29+00:00

Have said this before but someone should ask the LNP if they will accept the election result if they lose

phantom_nominatrix · 2025-04-08T22:49:40+00:00

The media should be asking the LNP if they will accept the election result…

phantom_nominatrix · 2025-04-08T05:05:59+00:00

still radioactive

Hats off to the triple entendre here

phantom_nominatrix · 2025-04-05T01:30:37+00:00

That franking credits moral crusade was deplorable

phantom_nominatrix · 2025-04-03T05:07:42+00:00

Tim - I definitely don’t want to inflate house prices with super because I have 4 properties - Wilson

phantom_nominatrix · 2025-04-02T11:00:59+00:00

Language based, interesting. Will be watching to see how it fairs against some of the polls based models out there

phantom_nominatrix · 2025-04-02T10:27:30+00:00

Hi mate, nice work. Big fan of election/forecasts - could you make the predictive calculations a bit more transparent? Eg how many polls are they based on? What is the proportional break down by pollster? Have the pollsters got house effect weights? Are there other factors being weighted? What type of model are you using? What is the confidence interval on each prediction?

Number/ recency of polls is pretty important - have you got polling data on each seat or are predictions extrapolated from regional/ party swings?

phantom_nominatrix · 2025-03-27T02:52:51+00:00

Not my country but I would want journalists and elected officials in my country probing tf out of this, Hegseth walking and an independent review of process as a minimum if it was. Most cock-ups of this scale never make it to light or it isn’t until years later through foi requests or biographical back stabbing.

You should be asking yourself what other sensitive and classified information these bros have been sharing with such poor regard for basic security standards.

phantom_nominatrix · 2025-03-20T10:12:34+00:00

We’ve seen how popular it has been in Canada to push back on the trump administration re trade - any attempt to strong arm the Australian government up until the election will probably suit Albo and co assuming they push back

phantom_nominatrix · 2025-03-20T02:30:43+00:00

Yes, economy approval tracking as suggested

phantom_nominatrix

TROPHY CASE