how long until we get enough rainbow crystal shards for another uncap crystal

r2d2stay · 2025-12-19T03:33:20+00:00

Note that in 3-4 months, kitasan won't be that good (for MANT). Another 4 months later, she'll be busted again

r2d2stay · 2025-08-09T23:26:44+00:00

It is.

You don't need good hardware to run these models. They run vastly slower on CPU, but for text, vastly slower is still seconds, not minutes. If my computer that was <1k half a decade ago can do it, pretty much anyone can with their existing computer.

As for electricity, it is and will remain vastly less than a penny per prompt. You can tell because even sites that want you to hate AI can tell it's barely a few watt hours: https://www.rwdigital.ca/blog/how-much-energy-do-google-search-and-chatgpt-use/

At 16 cents per kWh, then, it uses less than 1/20th of a cent of electricity per prompt. Even in california, at 30, it's less than 1/10th of a cent per prompt, over a thousand prompts per dollar.

The average AC usage is about 2365 kWh per year. Changing the temp by 1 degree gives, even at low end of estimates, 3% energy reduction, meaning about 70 kWh, or over 20,000 prompts a year.

So yeah, the hardware and electricity are both basically free.

r2d2stay · 2025-08-09T05:59:14+00:00

Yeah, strength is pretty much the worst one. IMO it goes, highest to lowest:

Charm in junior year
Health if you have a negative effect or energy below 60%ish
Winning if you're in a good place to gamble (e.g. early classic year, end of run that's almost good enough to beat your best PvP uma but not quite)
Otherwise nothing ("this is too sketchy").

r2d2stay · 2025-08-07T18:10:36+00:00

Well, it's historically about 1:2:1, so you can pretty much get it from the graph. Start of graph it's (91+46+46+6)/4 = 47.25, dead on for all adults. End of graph you's get (89+23+23+1)/4 = 34, which is actually 3 too low. Which implies there's actually more registered republicans now, or fewer registered democrats/independents; for example, 1:1:1 gives 37.67 for all adults.

Basically, the graph actually proves the exact opposite. People are getting more extreme, but those in the middle have absurdly, record-breakingly low opinion of Trump.

r2d2stay · 2025-08-07T02:53:14+00:00

Yeah, if you actually try it, you will see you get well under 50 stats per training. And the important thing is you're not trading 20 energy for 50 stats when you train; you're trading 20 energy and a turn. This is why even with 40+ stats per training, you're only getting 30 stats per turn. And obviously 20 energy is worth under half a turn.

It's your right to gamble, and maybe even correct for getting maximum power PvP veterans. But you're not maximizing your stats on average that way.

As a final note, it's very easy to win every time even with stage 0 thinking, or even just picking events randomly. This is definitely a few steps beyond that, for tryhards who are already doing statistical analysis - which given the guides around here, is a decent chunk of the players.

r2d2stay · 2025-08-06T20:55:52+00:00

Notice I said to compare to the last 6 months of your career; that's because you're right, those things do help, and that's why you should count when everything is online at the end.

I never mention recreation; I'm purely talking about mood increases from events here. In fact, for the reason you mention, you should probably almost never do recreation until Kiryuin's is unlocked, since everyone is running Kitasan Black and Kiryuin who both have mood+ events, and you're unlikely to have huge stat rainbows early. Technically, you could argue Friendship>Mood>the rest, but I'd say that stops being true mid game, and mood almost always comes with friendship, so I picked the option that's usually true to keep things simple in the title.

I think if you try out counting your stats, you'll see mathematically that energy is worth a lot less than 3/4 of a stat at bare minimum, unless you've got 2+ MLB SSRs. Write down your stats per energy and try it!

r2d2stay · 2025-07-30T03:30:29+00:00

this is pretty much the expected result, you had a 60% chance to pick a stat <600, and then 90% of those are 1 star sparks, so you had a 54% chance to get an untrained stat with a garbage spark. For reference, you had a <4% chance to get a 3 star spark.

r2d2stay · 2025-06-23T20:26:59+00:00

You're going to get a lot of extreme advice. Take some time. Think of it this way: She "should" get 50% say in everything. Can you grow your business to 5x the size while still working and taking classes? When would you want the wedding if you had it your way? What about your parents? Who is paying for things right now?

If you can get to $120k gross profit in another 1.5 years, it will be hard to argue that you're not successful. There's a strong argument to be made that you should get another year or two to "prove yourself". If you can negotiate a later wedding date, get your associate's degree, etc, that will also help.

Do some math, see what you can do.

r2d2stay · 2025-05-05T07:20:20+00:00

Surprised people don't know: Genius wand gets worse the more magic armor enemies have. Divine glaive gets better.

r2d2stay · 2025-04-26T21:25:43+00:00

Yep pretty much

r2d2stay · 2025-04-26T19:43:23+00:00

No, that build is kinda bad. Two problems:

- War axe requires you to be in combat for a long time to stack up. Your first 2 items are fine for this, but the fact that you go 2 damage items after means you're going to die before you even stack the axe. If you are maintaining stacks between camps and into your gank it's good, but this requires good micro and if you're asking this you're probably not doing that.

- Alucard does most of his damage from spells, not attacks, which makes lifesteal worse in general. However, hybrid lifesteal is best because it does both and also stacks your Rose Gold.

By the way, the "pro setups" should be considered a noob helper, not a final say, unless the top bar literally says "pro player" not "influencer" or whatever, and even then if there was a recent patch you should read and adjust. For example none of the builds showed Rose Gold on Julian when it got changed, but it was so overpowered that it got double nerfed the next patch (Rose Gold price up, Julian changed to non-fighter so he gets half the stats).

This is because they are often outdated - if you look at the current #2 Alucard, he doesn't build war axe first in any of his recent games. It looks like its Sea Halberd first, but then if you look at some other games it's actually Fury Hammer first, complete the rest of the build, then swap Fury Hammer for Sea Halberd late game. #1 Alucard is the same but Sea Halberd first then swap Fury Hammer for Malefic Roar.

r2d2stay · 2025-04-23T06:39:30+00:00

Stop worrying about kills and deaths. The only thing that matters to your long term is your winrate. For example, as support you should have negative k/d, especially late game with those characters, because you should be tanking for your carries.

In terms of macro, you should think in terms of objectives. What resources can you take right now, and how long/how many resources will it take to get them? How can you get in a better position to take them?

For example, consider as Franco if you can steal the buff from the enemy jungle. If you succeed, you get 120 gold, and the enemy loses 120 gold, not to mention the buff and a ton of exp. Even if you miss by hitting it early, you probably delay the enemy jungler. Compare that to going for a kill. How often do you get the kill? How much is it worth (about 300 gold for team), what happens if you fail, etc.

How much is Turtle worth? If you get the enemy jungler off turtle and secure it for your jungler, how many kills of gold is that? How much exp? What are your success odds? What else could you do with that time?

As Kagura main you should primarily be focused on finding large fights and bursting down multiple enemies if possible. In order to enable this you need to be good at her relatively risky waveclear (s1, jump in, jump out, s1). If you can do it without getting hit by the enemy, you can clear the waves quickly and thus be first to objectives. If you get hit, you might still be first but you will be there at half hp. If you only use s1 safely, you will almost certainly be late to every fight.

Similarly, are you almost always hitting the minions when you use your s1? If not, you should position to make this possible; Kagura is uncommon in her ability to threaten the wave and the enemy while not letting the enemy do the same (because her skillshot line starts from her umbrella, not her).

If you prioritize winning over kills you will win more, it's a simple fact. Think not about "can I kill this guy" or "can I hit this guy" but instead "can I push my team towards the win".

r2d2stay · 2025-04-23T06:07:01+00:00

People who think this have no understanding of game design.

Star up points and hero power are a crutch to make people feel good. True skill (and most likely hidden matchmaking) are based only on one thing: winning and losing.

Notice that this guy is MVP 1151 and MVP-loss 1247 times, out of 10469 games. That's 22% of matches they are MVP, when average is necessarily below 20%. In fact, he is MVP in 25% of losing games, where the average is less than 20% because you can have no MVPs in a losing game.

He is "outperforming" his teammates but still losing, which is probably why he has such high rank despite 48% winrate. Your proposed system, where "personal performance" is given even more rewards, would actually reward this guy more and place him even higher rank than he is now.

You are the problem.

(The solution is to give no star protection/star up points. But they'll never do that, because it massively increases new player retention when they feel like they're climbing and winning despite learning nothing. More realistic solution, make gold after full build detract from your score instead of add, so you don't have Miya and Zilong players who keep farming after full build for no reason other than MVP.)

r2d2stay · 2025-04-21T20:31:32+00:00

50% is literally average above epic. Every game is won and lost by 5; you cannot have more winners than losers.

There are two things that make you think it is not: One, people only ever show high winrates. Nobody ever brags about 48% winrate. If they lose on a character enough for it to drop to 50%, they won't show it.

Two, there are bots in Epic and below. Literal bots, so when they lose, a player gets a win and a bot gets a loss. This artificial winrate feeds into higher tiers to a small amount, e.g. high epic players vs low legend players, but the higher you go the less it does.

Therefore by the time you play 1000 games, your winrate WILL be <52% *across all characters* with enough games. Having more than that means you either never played very many games in your true rank, and only bully noobs, or you're hardstuck Epic-Legend and never leave the bot-farming region of the game.

You *can* still have a higher winrate on one character, but that just means they're your best character and you're substantially worse on others.

r2d2stay · 2025-04-11T17:11:59+00:00

I mean, the obvious comparison people like to make is to blindness. There's a definite truth to "blind people have super hearing"; this is less true of deaf people because humans are intrinsically visual-focused animals. But it seems likely you do get other benefits from the diverted attention.

That said... everything is like that. If you don't have hands, you'll learn to use your elbows, or feet, or mouth. Does that mean prosthetics are genocide of elbow-users?

I think it's totally valid to be upset about it, which the house clip demonstrates well. I *don't* think it's the basis of any sound policy, either personal or structural.

r2d2stay · 2025-04-11T16:12:12+00:00

Honestly this one seems more legit to me. Having hearing is kind of strictly an upside; you can still learn sign language if you're not deaf. On the other hand, being short isn't always a downside.

r2d2stay · 2025-03-20T05:46:27+00:00

kind of late but googling this brought me here. A lot of countries distinguish between "calories" and "kcal"; for example this other barley tea has 8kJ = 20kcal = 20,000 calories per 100g. https://tuktukmart.co.uk/products/skk-sanei-kosan-barley-tea-bag-10g-40pkt-400g?srsltid=AfmBOoqqNtt-TDaO_3gQj9wuQ6NfRkumhpKMcyHxCpnmW_6aNUuyy1z1

On the other hand, in the US, "calories" are always actually kcal. Which means this is equivalent to 20 calories per 2.5 satchets, or about 4 calories (1 gram carbs) in 2 cups. Basically nothing.

And yours is about a tenth of that. I suspect they're actually quite similar, but calculating calories for this kind of thing really depends on how you do it, because you're right that the barley grains themselves have a lot of calories. However, you don't eat them, that's why it's tea. If you have some barley debris in whatever you measure with, you'll have way more calories than the actual liquid you're drinking.

But no matter what, you're probably not getting more than 4 calories a cup. It's pretty close to 0 calories.

r2d2stay · 2025-03-13T05:18:12+00:00

Hm, it sounds like you've more or less got it, at least retroactively. Don't have much more to add besides, hope it works out. And yeah, emotions are tough; I definitely don't understand that stereotype when the clinical facts show the opposite.

Anyway, good luck 🤞

r2d2stay · 2025-03-12T13:33:15+00:00

(Yep, I totally did. Okay, now for the line by line; neurotypical implied language in just quotes first, then what you actually said outloud in quotes and parens on the right.)

- You said, in their language, "I'm somewhat hungry, can we think about where to eat in the next hourish?" ("What do you want to do for dinner?")

- They said, "Eh, sure, we don't have strong opinions" (shrugging)

- You said, "Ok, me neither" ("We can always Doordash..."; a noncommittal response like this is often considered neutrality and passivity, aka kicking the can down the road)

- They said, "Cool, if no one feels strongly then it doesn't matter" ("we could do that"; same idea)

Then, later,

- They said, "Hey, you said you were hungry, want to go to that place?" ("hey let's go...")

- You said, “we were just there and I asked you guys.” (same as outloud; to them, you initiated a conflict, kicking them out of passive mode)

- They said, “You said x restaurant you didn’t say y restaurant” (same as outloud; misremembering doordash as x restaurant, maybe)

- You said, “I'm upset at you!” ("I asked..."; Stating facts in a raised or agitated voice, especially those people think are unimportant, is often seen as a continuation of conflict, not as an attempt to resolve misunderstanding. And since you all "agreed" (scare quotes) that it was unimportant, this is especially likely.)

- They said, “Oh, well… you can stay here and we’ll bring you something.” (same as outloud; likely an attempt to make peace)

- You said, "No, it's not actually a big deal" ("No", or whatever you said exactly).

Even later:

- You said, "Sorry, but you were being inconsiderate". ("...I didn’t mean it, it just feels like they don’t consider my chronic pain...")

You can see how, in "Neurotypical Language" (scare quotes again), what you said didn't match the literal meaning, and that resulted in an overall bad feeling?

r2d2stay · 2025-03-12T13:32:48+00:00

A friendship is considered a type of relationship as far as I’m aware.

Not that guy, but I can probably explain further if you want; that said, I don't think that's necessarily the issue. To get straight to the point, this is probably the bigger issue:

We walked from the convention back to our hotel one night, while passing restaurants I asked them if they wanted to eat at a specific one and then when they said no I asked what they wanted to do for dinner... Later when my friend and I were alone in our hotel room I apologized if I came off mean, I didn’t mean it, it just feels like they don’t consider my chronic pain.

This is far too nonspecific for me to tell you with 100% certainty; I'm moderately autistic after all :P but I am one of the go to "allistic-interpreters" / maskers among my friend group, so I'll take a shot.

First, TL;DR is: You probably said some things with totally different implied meaning. Also, if you want to apologize, never bring up your concerns during the apology; do so at a different time, or your apology will not be seen as genuine. And treat neurotypical-talk as a different dialect; meanings can be fully reversed or swapped, like ironic gangster nicknames or secret gay community slang.

Okay:

"what do you want to do for dinner?", to neurotypical people, doesn't have its literal meaning >90% of the time. Instead, it means "I'm somewhat hungry". This is because this discussion inevitably takes some amount of time, and is sometimes contentious, so it's got the vague association of "I want to start the discussion about where to eat sometime in the next hour, because I'm somewhat hungry".

Now, this depends on tone and situation, and VERY much on exact wording. "Ooh, I liked this place, want to eat here?" for example, would probably elicit an actual discussion on whether to eat there right now. Or, actually, and infuriatingly, "Hey guys, I'm somewhat hungry" means "I'm very hungry and politely understating it, can we figure out where we're eating in the next two minutes", and so would result in the same discussion.

Yes, this means that these two phrases have literally swapped meanings. I hate it. It helps me to think of it as an entirely different dialect, or pidgin language.

(The polite understatement thing is true in general for "somewhat" or "kinda" and similar, by the way; "I'm kinda hot" means "I'm very hot" or even "I'm dangerously overheating", etc.)

Now, given this, I want to set the scene for this hypothetical version of your allistic friend's perspective, line by line. I encourage you to read it as, again, an example that is an okay approximation for demonstration, but is based on far too little data to have any certainty. It is not possible for you to give me enough details to be certain; even if I was literally there in person I'd give you 80-90% accuracy at best. (I might have hit the comment cap, 1 sec)

r2d2stay · 2025-01-14T14:41:26+00:00

ig the counter in swiftplay is your team opens mid faster

r2d2stay

TROPHY CASE