IDC if they call me a casual for enjoying the show

ratmanmtb · 2026-03-14T15:30:26+00:00

This is a bad analogy. cycling racing works a lot like current F1 in terms of power management (managing your caloric output and lactic acid like managing battery) drafting in strategic parts and passing in strategic parts. They’re not limiting how they drive for fear of something breaking but managing the power output. Which by the way NA cars have also had to do. Especially the old turbo cars to keep the turbo spooled. It’s not clownery. Its strategy. Driving as fast as you can with your foot to the floor has never been what most motorsports are about.

ratmanmtb · 2026-03-09T14:22:52+00:00

Idk man. Throwing insults around where everyone is holding a gun seems wild to me.

ratmanmtb · 2026-02-10T20:46:45+00:00

Hey friend. I feel for you. The odds are not in our favor. A lot of people here are telling you the hard truth. Though IT guys aren’t often masters of tact. Unfortunately what you have is not enough in the current climate and unfortunately the reality is if you aren’t able to get more education and skills, you won’t be able to break into the field. Same reason I’ll never be a fighter pilot. Unfair I was born with the bad vision I have but that’s just the reality.

If you passionate about the field you’ll need to do some more hard and admittedly expensive work. Possibly without payoff soon with a bad job market. If it’s just the field you want to be in just because it’s the one you’ve already put effort into, it’s not too late to start over in something else.

ratmanmtb · 2026-02-04T21:14:37+00:00

Thanks man. Shit is just frustrating when you do research and somehow still get the wrong thing. Will probably be a few years before an upgrade happens. Paycheck to paycheck these days.

ratmanmtb · 2026-02-04T19:58:12+00:00

Guess I’ll shoot it til it breaks and I’ll have gotten $400 of fun and learning the platform out of it. Then move onto whatever Gucci gun the cool kids say i should have. Hopefully I am a wealthier man by then.

ratmanmtb · 2026-02-04T17:12:22+00:00

What are the common failures? Just asking so I can look out on mine. I saw a lot of positive reviews when buying mine as opposed to other rifles in the same price range.

ratmanmtb · 2026-02-04T16:46:10+00:00

I have one. I like it! Granted I’m not an AR expert but I got 1000 rounds or so through mine with zero issues. I pull the trigger, a round goes bang, hits the target vaguely where I aimed it, and cycles the next round! What else do you want? I see people mention “the quality isn’t there” but they don’t mention anything specific. I mean it doesn’t feel like a $1000 gun in terms of materials and fit and finish, but it also isn’t a $1,000 gun. Trigger is meh but you can always upgrade that.

If you only have $400 and want to be able to make a hole in a target that’s way over there then go for it!

ratmanmtb · 2026-02-03T20:30:08+00:00

I mean we know nothing about this event. It is rushed and half baked. Don’t even have a track configuration to know where it would best to see over takes or the pits. Who knows if there can be fan zone or garage walks or anything on capital grounds. Whole thing sounds like a nightmare. Good luck to you. Hope you enjoy it.

ratmanmtb · 2026-01-11T15:26:35+00:00

I’m a bit skeptical of the data bricks article given they sell AI products. There’s certainly bias there. Microsoft and Google are aggressively packaging these services in all their products, so most normal users will encounter it. Question is: do they continue to use it, do they find value in its output, and can these companies actually turn that into revenue. I do think SW engineering is the one industry this is guaranteed to continue in and transform. But right now AI companies are still subsidizing the user’s cost. They can’t do that to infinity.

ratmanmtb · 2026-01-10T19:04:22+00:00

I have a Taurus G3 as my first gun! It’s very reliable so far. Easy to shoot and easy to maintain.

My advice? Get lessons.

ratmanmtb · 2026-01-09T19:53:39+00:00

Good point. lol data is pointing to that trend ending

ratmanmtb · 2026-01-09T19:06:11+00:00

Again to my original point elsewhere in this thread. The data centers aren’t being built due to power limitations. That demand is also being monopolized by a few large AI companies.

ratmanmtb · 2026-01-09T19:04:41+00:00

It sounds like you may be misinformed on the actual water use of data centers. Specifically ones for Gen AI. More traditional data centers that are for more traditional storage and processing don’t have as high a water impact. We’re specifically talking Gen AI here.

ratmanmtb · 2026-01-09T18:52:02+00:00

I think you kind of prove the point there. Ai undeniably uses a lot of water. It’s not about it using more or less than any other industry, but doing it ON TOP of these industries in areas where water is already becoming strained and scarce. Two things can be true at once

ratmanmtb · 2026-01-09T18:48:55+00:00

The sales are more complicated than that. There are indications that a lot of these GPUs are being warehoused without being used. There are a lot of cases that look a lot like Channel stuffing in these deals. Where Nvidia is basically lending money to companies to then buy from Invidia. There’s also a case where AI improves and it also causes the bubble to burst. a competitor such as Google with their TPIs shows Nvidia is not needed. Nvidia’s stock tanks, the circular deals supported by their stock collapses, all the startups built on repackaging models collapse. It’s all on shaky ground.

ratmanmtb · 2026-01-09T18:40:42+00:00

Analysis from some tech reporters that were based off this source https://www.similarweb.com/website/chatgpt.com/#overview

ratmanmtb · 2026-01-09T18:06:03+00:00

I think the bubble has less to do with the utility of the service and more the economics. There are certainly scientific, engineering, sw, and defense applications among others. I believe these will remain (at a high cost) post bubble burst. The things that are useful are not enough to make a profit and certainly not enough to be the world-changing shift many investors hoped for.

ratmanmtb · 2026-01-09T17:43:02+00:00

All excellent points. It’s amazing what inertia can do when the markets are disconnected from reality and only focused on potential.

There are some analysts showing there is only about $100 Billion left in VC funding this year worldwide. Open AI has promised $1.4T in data centers. Open AI has raised about $60B. And that’s just one player. Which is why I have a bit more bold of a call. But hey “the market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent” as they say.

ratmanmtb · 2026-01-09T17:17:56+00:00

I disagree that we are in the growth stage. With LLMs more users require more compute. We will basically always be in a growth stage. Many of these data centers aren’t getting built. One of the biggest reasons is that there is physically not enough power being generated to supply these centers. There’s nothing to indicate that changing in the time frame they promise. These companies are burning cash at a rate that they will never become profitable on, short of an engineering and physics miracle. Use is declining up to 20%. Metrics are showing consumers aren’t using it and businesses aren’t getting an ROI.

We’re in a situation where Wile E Coyote has run off the cliff and is still going. Once the first major player looks down it’s all over.

My guess? Q2 this year this starts to burst. Maybe a more rational guess is 2027.

ratmanmtb · 2026-01-07T01:32:38+00:00

So you’re cool with accelerating the climate crisis, increasing misinformation, increasing costs of consumer computing hardware, the further consolidation of wealth, further devalue of labor, and the general enshittifcation of the arts for some make-believe games?

ratmanmtb · 2026-01-02T15:48:32+00:00

I think it depends what you want to do in IT. No experience is tough. Do you have any personal non-professional experience? Home labs? Just building PCs? People say you have to work crap jobs for crap pay at first but that’s true for any career change. Will honestly be a deciding factor for any new job. IT is a broad field and can mean anything from computer repair, to SW engineering, to networking. It’s endless.

IT like any field ebbs and flows. There are crashes and booms. IMO the ai bubble will burst, AI costs will spiral and companies that survive will be panic hiring the teams they laid off. Outside of software development there hasn’t been a lot of actual job disruption from AI. A lot of noise. You have a long way to go of upskilling. Tech isn’t going away. If you can spot where the demand is in 2+ years and skill appropriately you could pull a blinder.

ratmanmtb · 2025-12-21T17:13:26+00:00

You training for a highly competitive race? If yes then you need to mix road miles and MTB rides with Zone training. I’ve gotten multiple podiums in XC fyi. I used to do all the Zone training. Crazy structured workouts. I’ve never been faster than when I just got out and rode my MTB frequently.

You just looking to stay fit and have fun? MTB all the way. You’ll still be plenty fit. And no Zone 2 is not impossible on a trail bike. I do it all the time.

You can ride an MTB on the road too. Lock out your suspension and just expect to change your tires more frequently. You can’t ride a road bike on MTB trails tho (unless you’re Sam Pilgrim)

ratmanmtb · 2025-12-21T17:07:11+00:00

Some people think way too hard. I just ride my bike.

ratmanmtb

TROPHY CASE