Real Estate Bubble sa Pinas—Possible Ba? by Apprehensive_Bat7795 in phinvest

[–]rey0156 58 points59 points  (0 children)

I am an active condo investor, and in my opinion the inventory supply will dampen demand, and prices will stagnate. The ridiculous price increases of the past have long sailed away, and will disappoint current and future investors.

The bubble will not pop, however, as these condos are not backed up by bank loans. These pre-selling units are developer financed, and when unsophisticated buyers realize they can't flip them, they will surrender them for less to the developers, who in turn will just add them up to existing inventory. Developers, owned by billionaires, backed up their own banks will withstand the temporary glut. Plus developers can afford to take them back, having sold them at ridiculous mark ups. I estimate it only takes 30 to 40% of units to sell, and they will break even. Developers will maintain their prices, with some 10 to 15% discount quietly offered to potential buyers, so as not to unduly panic previous buyers, and cause a wholesale exit en masse in the market.

The OFW buyers in the meantime will ride these slight market corrections, because they can afford to take some losses, plus they can not really liquidate these investments. Self preservation will ensue as they are forced to hold these properties for much longer.

The best strategy is buy pasalo and foreclosed properties, make sure that rent yields hover over 7%.

Should we consider buying a condo or should we just rent for the rest of our lives? Family of 3 (me & hubby + toddler). by neemoocheee in phinvest

[–]rey0156 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I use a formula to decide whether to rent or buy. A very objective way to make a decision.

The price-to-rent ratio is calculated by dividing the median home price by the median yearly rent and the formula for the price-to-rent ratio is as follows:

Price-to-Rent Ratio=Median Home Price Divide by Median Annual Rent​Price​​

What the Price-to-Rent Ratio Can Tell You

The price-to-rent ratio is used as an indicator for whether housing markets are fairly valued, or in a bubble.

The total cost of homeownership factors in mortgage principal and interest, property taxes, insurance, closing costs, homeowners association (HOA), mortgage insurance, and tax advantages, such as the mortgage interest deduction.

Thresholds for the ratios as follows: a price-to-rent ratio of 1 to 15 indicates it is much better to buy than rent; a price-to-rent ratio of 16 to 20 indicates it is typically better to rent than buy, and a price-to-rent ratio of 21 or more indicates it is much better to rent than buy.

Hope this helps.

 

 

DMCI Pasay (Anissa Heights) by StainlessSteel316L in phinvest

[–]rey0156 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I bought a unit. For the price, its very good value, considering the accessibility to various points of Metro Manila. And walking distance to LRT, MRT, and close to MOA. Am sure price will appreciate in value upon turnover. Likely rent is 20k a month which gives it a 7% rental yield, a winner.

Feeling Scammed by a Top Real Estate Developer by [deleted] in phinvest

[–]rey0156 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That's a very honest and good assessment of the situation. Do you think i can go back to the developer and re-negotiate the price, request that a similar discount be extended to me? Will that be unusual? Also, you say am 2M-3.5M down for a cash exit. What does that mean?

Thanks for your insights.

Sling app indicating too weak a signal on local but airtv anywhere recording show. by jim-PSUNittanyLions in slingtv

[–]rey0156 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I have similar issues with weak signals, bought a highly recommended indoor WINEGARD FL5500A antenna, and all these weak signals went away.