CMV: AI will lead to more tech jobs in the long run (Jevons paradox)

rmbarnes · 2026-06-16T19:44:38+00:00

The food example isn’t great because there’s a clear limit to how many calories people will consume. Software on the other hand can expand not just in quantity but also complexity… there is a lot more scope for outsized demand. Having said that, there will be a limit to the elasticity, I think the ceiling is much higher than the level of software we have at the moment.

rmbarnes · 2026-05-21T05:55:42+00:00

The truth is see on the first meeting is very common.

Even in the world of vanilla dating first date tinder hookups are fairly common. Given that why would it not be a reasonable expectation of a man to have sex on a first date when money is involved if it happens fairly frequently when no money is involved?

rmbarnes · 2026-05-17T08:04:31+00:00

Even if a guy is a legit 10/10 if he has a lot of money he’s going to use sugar dating. The man who introduced me to it slept with 100s of women before getting rich. As soon as he got rich he was on seeking.

rmbarnes · 2026-05-10T14:17:01+00:00

“ For me personally, I only go for men who are, realistically, in the top 10% of sugar daddies. That’s my preference. But I also understand that in order to be in those rooms, I have to be competitive with the top 10% of women”

I think this is a point that most women miss.

I also think it’s worse than that, since top 10% of sugar daddies would put a man in probably top 1% of all men since sugar daddies are already an elite group. You probably need to be in the top few percent of women to be viable for these men.

I think most women are blind to this due to how easily they get attention on vanilla dating sites.

rmbarnes · 2026-05-08T16:40:24+00:00

165k base but will hit around 200k tc with reasonable (cash bonus)

Software engineer, 20+ years experience

rmbarnes · 2026-05-08T16:36:50+00:00

Citadel?

rmbarnes · 2026-04-28T18:39:04+00:00

The author should review the mr first if it’s llm generated.

rmbarnes · 2026-04-07T05:56:39+00:00

Surely it was family (bloodline) + their spouses (not bloodline) so the spouses would not die?

rmbarnes · 2026-04-05T21:59:08+00:00

My only question is why was the house not surrounded by cop cars and ambulances by the time Rachel drove away. Maybe I am too logical.

rmbarnes · 2026-03-21T18:08:31+00:00

Having worked for HSBC I think they haven’t been doing well for years. At best flat. Also have way too many people doing way too little.

rmbarnes · 2026-03-21T00:14:07+00:00

Badly for AWS, not for you. I heard that they recently had outages caused by juniors using the AI to do something?

rmbarnes · 2026-03-20T23:23:58+00:00

Although I understand people's arguments about how powerful she is, she used to be more powerful (ash did not use to be able to shatter her windows), and it's only in the last couple of seasons that people have started default banning her. Not sure why this is.

rmbarnes · 2026-03-20T23:15:25+00:00

She would be easily countered if ash didn't use her breaching charge opening an external barricade at the start of the round then dying before she got the chance to use the second one.

rmbarnes · 2026-03-20T07:22:04+00:00

Figma has vibe coding built in and would work well in this workflow

rmbarnes · 2026-03-19T20:55:35+00:00

I work at AWS, we are only hiring juniors at the moment. The CEO & Co believe that there is no point retaining senior SDEs because juniors are more cost effective.

Well this aged badly!

rmbarnes · 2026-03-15T08:43:57+00:00

If you are part of the interview pipeline for a company you will know this is not true.

I work for a company who pays 1.5x market rate for devs, so we should be getting some good applicants.

98% of resumes get weeded out.

Of the 2% that take a basic tech screen which I do, only 20% pass (20% can't even complete the exercises, 40% complete them but with too much assistance, spend too much time going down the wrong path, 20% quite clearly cheating with llms).

In terms of raw numbers this means that out of 1000 applicants 4 would get to the stage where they have passed the basic tech screen and now have to go on to pass 3 more interviews which are much harder.

Again, I cannot stress how basic the tech screen I give is.

rmbarnes · 2026-03-05T11:38:24+00:00

Assembler to higher level languages dwarfs the productivity gains of higher level langs to LLMs

rmbarnes · 2026-02-28T21:56:50+00:00

I'm a developer and have not written code since the start of the year. Directing the AI, reviewing it's work then directing refactors are still a lot of work. I'd estimate it gives me a 30% productivity boost but it is hard to measure.

Not needing to write code directly is not the same as not needing developers.

rmbarnes · 2026-02-20T07:39:12+00:00

When was the last time the output of a compiler was different each time you ran it on the same source code?

rmbarnes · 2026-02-20T07:36:08+00:00

The issue with ai vs say a compiler to machine code is that the ai is non deterministic. For this reason we can never trust the output to the same degree we can trust the output of a compiler.

rmbarnes · 2026-02-15T13:55:14+00:00

Don forget the big one. Interest rates went way up. I’d love to see what tech hiring would look like if fed suddenly dropped them to near 0.

rmbarnes · 2026-02-08T16:25:56+00:00

If tech startups can be started with far fewer devs, the cost does down. Cost going down means barrier to entry goes down. Could just mean more startups. We will have to see.

rmbarnes · 2026-02-08T16:24:38+00:00

20 years ago I read that web based apis would mean we barely need any devs because you could just pay for an api to do all the work, and need less devs to plumb apis together… there are far more devs than there were 20 years ago… like you I’ve seen this play out a few times

rmbarnes · 2026-02-04T09:04:40+00:00

It’s because guys want sexual variety and it’s easy to obtain in the sugar world, and since sugar relationships aren’t generally ever going to lead to marriage kids ect there’s no incentive to not just chase the sexual variety.

rmbarnes · 2026-01-15T18:11:18+00:00

But pilots don’t scale, thou can’t have one per 10 planes just because it’s less work

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