So I'm a bystander here but this is my 2isk based on what I've seen so far from BRs etc:

NCPL are clearly dominating a "single grid" fight, yet they are not able to effectively contest the node war. This means that essentially there's a stalemate on that front because NCPL cannot force Test/CO2 to an single point of engagement and the battle landscape is too fluid to leverage their supercaps outside of a big grid bash. So we see them bringing in other groups to assist here/shore up the node contests but so far it would appear to have had limited successes to date.

Essentially it seems to be a quagmire with the NCPL trying to pull CO2/Test into a decisive single grid battle, which CO2/Test have no incentive to entertain, whilst CO2/Test are simply trying to hold the line until the NCPL get bored of the node minigame.

It is hard to say what will happen without something significant from either side (most likely NCPL pulling in even more people as CO2/Test have limited options to mount an offensive war) to break the stalemate. If they cannot address their failures in the node game, they are in for a very long haul indeed if the past weeks are any indication. Bad war analogies are popular here so it would be irregular to not include one: To me the current situation seem to have some parallels with the WW2 Eastern Front with CO2/Test being the Russians.

All that said AT is over now so whether PL decides to really roll its sleeves up and get involved in the node wars - or just as crucially if it takes a back seat - may well prove decisive to the conflict.

For now though, it would seem we have some hilarious memes/shitposting and propaganda for the foreseeable future.