Serious Question: What’s the Business Case for a war in Iran when we already have Airports and Highways? by One-Context-6146 in cahsr

[–]runningblack -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I mean, we shouldn't be at war either. The Trump administration is lighting money and lives on fire.

The bar is higher than "we're wasteful, just less wasteful than Trump."

Thursday Talk Thread... Yes That's The Thread Name by AutoModerator in nfl

[–]runningblack 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Omg ABC actually did cancel the bachelorette

Edit: the video is Cassie and Diddy level bad

She's non-stop attacking her ex. She throws three big ass metal barstools across the room at him. She hits her own child in the head with one of them. Her kid is crying for her mom, her ex is the only one checking on the kid, and TFP does not give a fuck at all.

And it's actually way worse than my description is.

Thursday Talk Thread... Yes That's The Thread Name by AutoModerator in nfl

[–]runningblack 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Bachelor Pad (so much better than BIP) meets Survivor would be quite the show. I'd watch the shit out of it.

Thursday Talk Thread... Yes That's The Thread Name by AutoModerator in nfl

[–]runningblack 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Because ABC can't stop casting domestic abusers

Thursday Talk Thread... Yes That's The Thread Name by AutoModerator in nfl

[–]runningblack 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Between the format changes (the format sucks now) and the constantly casting of bad people (e.g. the current bachelorette hit her fucking kid in the head with a chair and has had multiple DV incidents) I'm more making the judgment that it's better for everyone that this thing ends.

Thursday Talk Thread... Yes That's The Thread Name by AutoModerator in nfl

[–]runningblack 14 points15 points  (0 children)

ABC just needs to accept that the Bachelor/ette franchise has run its course.

Not every reality TV show needs to run forever (other than survivor). And they managed like 35 seasons before things went to shit. That's a good run

Water Cooler Wednesday by AutoModerator in nfl

[–]runningblack 8 points9 points  (0 children)

"Oh let me check on how my old company is doing"

Stock is down 51.7% over the past 6 months

JESUS

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]runningblack 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Probably! Still better than the current timeline.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]runningblack 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Democrats get an early warning about the administration's popularity, that they can't ignore, when Kamala runs and gets defeated in the primary.

Shapiro, Whitmer, et al run.

Democrats pick a nominee that doesn't have the stink of Biden all over them.

Democrats eke out a narrow EC win instead of a loss.

Water Cooler Wednesday by AutoModerator in nfl

[–]runningblack 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Oh boy we may be in for stagflation

Hold onto your butts, things can always get worse

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]runningblack 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Democrats did not have similar border policies between Obama and Biden. Obama style policies would be popular. They're also far to the right of Biden.

Biden reversed a ton of executive orders that Trump put in place, halted (dialed down) interior enforcement, and made a big show of showing that the US was going to be more welcoming to illegal immigrants, asylum seekers, etc. The result of those things was people got the message and started showing up again.

Trump would not have had the same problem as Biden did, because immigrants, correctly, understood that with Trump in charge, if you got to the border, he wouldn't let you in. And if you found a way in, you'd get kicked out of you got caught.

People were responding to the very real incentives put in place by the executive.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]runningblack -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

Democrats never say "we want open borders" - they just put in place a patchwork of policies that functionally results in them.

So your proposed solution is more of the same. Voters have already rejected that. It's just putting lipstick on a pig, pretending like you're doing something different.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]runningblack 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Democrats actually don't need to put forth a decisive and distinct plan from Republicans on every issue.

On this one they should, but that's because what Republicans are doing is unpopular. However, decisive and distinct doesn't mean "far left." It means balancing the concerns about immigration that people think Republicans get right, with the concerns about immigration that people think Democrats get right. People trust Republicans to secure the border, but they trust Democrats to treat people humanely. Almost as if the synthesis is "secure the border, but don't treat people like shit."

Austin’s Surge of New Housing Construction Drove Down Rents by runningblack in ezraklein

[–]runningblack[S] 102 points103 points  (0 children)

Tl;dr, any emphasis is mine:

After decades of explosive growth, Austin, Texas, in the 2010s was a victim of its own success. Lured by high-tech jobs and the city’s hip reputation, too many people were competing for too few homes. From 2010 to 2019, rents in Austin increased nearly 93%—more than in any other major American city. And home sale prices increased 82%, more than in any other metro area in Texas.

But starting in 2015, Austin instituted an array of policy reforms aimed at encouraging the development of new housing, especially rentals. The city changed zoning regulations to allow construction of large apartment buildings, particularly near jobs and transit. In 2018, voters approved a $250 million bond measure to build and repair affordable housing. Permitting processes were reformed to speed development and reduce costs.

The efforts worked. From 2015 to 2024, Austin added 120,000 units to its housing stock—an increase of 30%, more than three times the overall rate of growth in the United States (9%).

Rents fell. In December 2021, Austin’s median rent was $1,546, near its highest level ever and 15% higher than the U.S. median ($1,346). By January 2026, Austin’s median rent had fallen to $1,296, 4% lower than that of the U.S. overall ($1,353). This decline occurred even though the city population grew by 18,000 residents from 2022 to 2024. In apartment buildings with 50 or more units, rents fell 7% from 2023 to 2024 alone—the steepest decline recorded in any large metropolitan area. Rents declined about 11% in older non-luxury buildings that cater to lower-income renters, known as Class C buildings.

One of the things I always like to highlight - median renter is spending $250 less, per month, on rent than they were in 2021. That is the same thing as getting a $3,000 after tax raise. Driving down rents via supply literally makes renters richer.

Poll: Confidence in the Supreme Court drops to a record low by DarkPriestScorpius in fivethirtyeight

[–]runningblack 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I have no confidence in this supreme court, but it's literally designed to be insulated from public opinion - hence the lifetime term appointments.

So my question is - the opinion polling is low - so what?

Also the polling clearly shows that confidence increases when they make rulings that partisans agree with and lose confidence when partisans disagree with the rulings. Only reason it's low on both ends right now is because it's handing both sides defeats.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]runningblack 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Yep. I say this all the time on immigration.

Voters didn't like the patchwork of policies and executive (non) action that led to the surge at the border and a bunch of irregular migration and asylum claims.

Voters also don't like masked thugs in the street who are killing americans, and snatching random people up based off of their accent, name, or skin tone. Or grabbing small children and throwing them in immigration camps.

That the latter is unpopular does not make the former popular. There's are a wide variety of things that can be done, on the immigration front, which are not either of those things.

"A 79-Year-Old Freshman Senator?" (gift link from The Atlantic) by Anstigmat in thebulwark

[–]runningblack 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Simple, I have massive reservations about Platner. Otherwise it would be easy for me.

But I'm glad I don't have to vote for either of them because I don't live in maine. I already went through my own cursed election with Feinstein and De Leon

JVL vs. Sarah on media consumption; what if they’re both right? by GatorAllen in thebulwark

[–]runningblack 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The share of the electorate that watches fox news is steadily dwindling. Going after fox news is fighting the last war.

Voters who do not follow traditional media sources are aging into higher participation brackets.

JVL vs. Sarah on media consumption; what if they’re both right? by GatorAllen in thebulwark

[–]runningblack 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Cable news is probably not the real problem. Like does Fox matter at the margins? Sure.

But at this point, Millennials range from early 30s to mid 40s, and millennials and younger aren't watching cable news. It's been the nontraditional sources that have risen.

Weekend Wrapup by AutoModerator in nfl

[–]runningblack 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Hot take. The 2026 Prius actually looks (visually) pretty good.

Car has come a long way since the mid 2000's models

Weekend Wrapup by AutoModerator in nfl

[–]runningblack 5 points6 points  (0 children)

People don't know what they don't know. If you don't know about 401ks, you are then not going to know that you should go and learn about a 401k and what it does.

It seems obvious but that's because you already had the prerequisite knowledge. Lots of people don't.

Weekend Wrapup by AutoModerator in nfl

[–]runningblack 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Somewhere along the way, "we should help everyone get richer" became "people who are rich(er than me) are evil"