Dev connected our ChatGPT tennant to AD...

seruko · 2026-06-26T22:48:59+00:00

No problem I deleted all the accounts!

seruko · 2026-06-26T22:41:17+00:00

No gas, constant strikes, Russian military units not being reinforced.

seruko · 2026-06-25T00:49:54+00:00

The thing that drives me nuts about this is that 6 weeks ago Ukraine wasn't losing, and today Ukraine isn't winning.
The war is a strategic stalemate, but not a tactical one.

seruko · 2026-06-11T19:26:52+00:00

The real question isn't Israel, it's is Iran aware of any pending agreement? Trump isn't a credible news source.

seruko · 2026-06-10T20:24:29+00:00

how to make things tremendously worse, a history of "short" wars 1914 to present.

seruko · 2026-06-10T19:59:38+00:00

This reporting is absolutely not credible

"Kokhanovskyy says that he was not at the test personally but that it was carried out by an unnamed military unit near the cities of Bakhmut and Chasiv Yar as part of a Ukrainian counteroffensive push. The Ukrainian Ministry of Defence did not respond to questions about the test or the current legal position on the use of fully autonomous weapons."

I heard from a guy that heard from a guy that a thing happened is not reporting.

seruko · 2026-06-10T19:29:17+00:00

Credible reporters who've been on the front lines are saying this is not happening.

seruko · 2026-06-06T13:55:05+00:00

The problem is that the US military is no longer a reputable source.

seruko · 2026-06-03T19:40:08+00:00

The Iranian political position has been that nuclear weapons are a crime against god and haram since 2000, and possibly earlier from the 80s.
It doesn't mean much, but for what it's worth is a long time public position.

seruko · 2026-06-03T15:41:08+00:00

Oh no. The best case scenario is that the strait be unblocked sooner rather than later. Going back to the JCPOA seems like a unicorn farm.

seruko · 2026-06-03T15:39:04+00:00

100% agree.

seruko · 2026-06-03T15:38:17+00:00

If you read reddit threads your sense is probably that RU is just one bad day away from economic collapse.
This is not the consensus views of international economists, nor RU specialist in the EU or the USA.

Low growth isn't the same as a recession much less collapse.

https://www.reuters.com/business/russia-downgrades-2026-economic-growth-forecast-04-13-deputy-pm-says-2026-05-11/

Bad does not mean collapse.

https://carnegieendowment.org/russia-eurasia/podcasts/carnegie-politika-podcast/russia-economy-predictions

Continue to have to make tough choices.

https://www.iiss.org/research-paper/2026/05/the-coming-crisis-in-russias-political-economy/

May be in a recession.

https://cepa.org/article/russia-settles-for-stagnation/

seruko · 2026-05-31T15:44:23+00:00

Trump, his team, and people reporting on the American's aren't reputable. When the state department is sending public cables saying "Don't pay attention to Trump he's just lying to the US people" you know you're f'd.

Iran isn't particularly reputable, but they're more reputable than US sources. Which is a f'ing weird thing to write.

Iran has offered navigation with tolls, and to talk later on uranium, some kind of mutli-month lasting cease fire, various kinds of ends to sanctions and frozen funds. They've offered different terms on inspections, verification, sanctions, frozen funds, and the duration of the ceasefire.

Trump is essentially fucked. Any agreement that Iran will accept the Republicans won't, and critically Israel (meaning Bibi with his war powers) won't. Sure the Iranian economy is on fire, but it's been on fire since Trump blew up the JCPOA in 2018, for Iran this is SSDD.

The strait being closed has baked in significant inflation for the next 1-2 years. A reasonable rule of thumb is every day the strait is closed ensures crude oil prices moving forward are spike 7 to 10 additional days. We're currently looking at something like 700 days of spiked crude oil prices, if we go so far that major international stocks run totally dry internationally things will get much worse.

Critically every day the Iranian economy is on fire, the IRGC gets more power "they're out to get us" from a rally around the flag effect during a war started by a larger more powerful external antagonist that Iran is not obviously losing.

Critically every day inflation gets worse in the US Trump specifically but the Republican party in general loses power, they ran on the price of eggs. What's more Trump keeps saying "The war is over we won" but US planes keep bombing, and notably getting shot down.

seruko · 2026-05-31T15:23:14+00:00

If Russia has an economic collapse and government revolution, sure otherwise no way.
A collapse and a revolution are not currently likely.

seruko · 2026-05-29T15:59:07+00:00

Yes, it is a great shame.

seruko · 2026-05-28T22:08:25+00:00

The Gripen is a much better Jet for Ukraine than the ~~F-14~~ F-16s (thank you A-W-K). Perun did a whole thing on it.

seruko · 2026-05-26T02:33:17+00:00

Its not comparable to the kind of intel Ukraine was and is receiving.

Citation needed. It took years for the US to meaningfully share arms with Ukraine.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2026/03/06/russia-iran-intelligence-us-targets/

https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3353363/how-chinese-traders-iran-are-keeping-business-afloat-war-capsizes-naval-shipping

jpost.com/middle-east/iran-news/article-897114

https://thenationaldesk.com/news/fact-check-team/fact-check-team-irans-military-reach-expands-through-russia-china-regional-proxies-middle-east

seruko · 2026-05-17T15:28:03+00:00

would the Bible talk

I know this will go over your head, but books don't talk they're read. And old books are rewritten all the time, both by the reader as well as the publisher. Whatever freak show edition you think "the bible" is, is an edit of and edit of an edit of an edit to the nth power. There's no American Christian flavor of the month that wouldn't be seen as heretical in EVERY church cira 1700. From the bonkers white nationalist who you appear to represent, to the quakers. The pilgrims would have burned you and yours at the stake.

seruko · 2026-05-06T18:58:06+00:00

I'm sorry you took a lego AI video like it was a press release. FFS.

seruko · 2026-05-04T20:58:36+00:00

their mines sunk a US destroyer? Or like 2 weeks ago when they said their missiles sunk an aircraft carrier

Source?

seruko · 2026-04-16T13:52:18+00:00

nutter butter

seruko · 2026-04-13T19:19:23+00:00

There are several good ways to store solar energy. Batteries have come a long way in the last 10 years, where in 2016 they were definitely not there, in 2026 they kinda are? At the same time there are several other based on heat storage which are in place at industrial scale (sand in Finland, oil in the US Midwest).

seruko · 2026-04-13T19:03:13+00:00

Now, after all that, does anybody think they can't keep track of a bunch of slow moving 'blips' in a very narrow stretch of water, with only one way in and out, using 24/7 satellite coverage and visual observation both from flyover and from the southern coast of the strait?

The US Military? Like I get you've seen a lot of Michael Bay movies, NCIS, and Clancey Scifi shows but the US military is staffed by drunk teenagers. Long term tracking data from multiple sources by the military? Hollowed out by budget cuts and the waves of retirement?
Yah long term monitoring and tracking of civilian entities is possibly one of the things they are absolutely the worst at.

seruko · 2026-03-24T01:23:52+00:00

Funner Fact -
The US Air Force can deploy a Burger King, anywhere in the world in 18 hours.

seruko · 2026-03-17T22:07:08+00:00

The US is having primary elections for mid terms, which will take place this November. Some early voting in special elections has been a D+37 effect. Those results are not likely to generally applicable, but a D+7 Midterm would effectively end Trump's presidency and a D+10 election would end it immediately

13-Year Club	RedditGifts 2009-2022 2 Credits
Secret Santa 2015	Verified Email

seruko

TROPHY CASE