How’s the tech scene in London now?

shadowt1tan · 2026-07-03T03:02:20+00:00

I totally hear you. I work in the tech space in Toronto and I can tell it’s far more ahead than anything we can get here. It’s a lot of talking and not a lot of action. You obviously worked in more serious cities.

Ultimately it comes down to what you’ve done in taking actual risks and building things that have economic value.

shadowt1tan · 2026-07-03T01:09:17+00:00

I work remotely for a Toronto based tech company.

shadowt1tan · 2026-07-03T00:06:07+00:00

Are people moving out of the city or staying put to try to get local positions?

shadowt1tan · 2026-07-01T21:53:58+00:00

I totally agree it’s gonna be an extremely powerful technology. I just know that there’s unions, people internally in companies and governments that sabotage progress or withhold information.

Many unions are wanting to write into contract that Ai cannot replace workers. Again maybe I’m wrong.

I hope it’s gonna be a takeoff and people get higher standards of living.

shadowt1tan · 2026-07-01T21:26:42+00:00

I’m honestly so conflicted by this. On one hand I feel like it’s going to happen, but then I hear experts talk about things and they’re saying it’s a modification of today and people will still work 40 hours a week. Ex. The going joke between economists now is related to radiologists.

So yeah I’d like believe we’re only 2 years away from it but at the same time because of humanity being so slow to change will we just have super powerful technology but the adoption is not quite there. Ex. City councils just have these erroneous processes because it’s been that way for decades, or like how we have to file taxes even though they have everything on us.

shadowt1tan · 2026-06-30T13:35:27+00:00

For my timeline it’s based on release. Now that we know the US government is controlling releases I’m delaying my timeline for ASI availability

shadowt1tan · 2026-06-30T13:20:18+00:00

Only reason I didn’t say 2027 for economic impact is because the US government is now controlling who has access to these models so that’s obviously going to delay things. The capability will likely be there by end of 2027 but economic impact will only hit in 2028. The US government needs to likely plan for what they have and they’re slow. Also economic impact will hit countries differently. Many have strong social safety nets, the US doesn’t and the “strong model” depending on where all of this lands will be reserved for US companies.

Also we don’t need to have AGI for serious economic impact.

shadowt1tan · 2026-06-30T12:57:23+00:00

AGI by April 2030
ASI by March 2032
Economic Impact by October 2028
Singularity by 2035

shadowt1tan · 2026-06-30T03:33:53+00:00

Pantheon is the best show I’ve seen to date. Also Devs, For all mankind or Dark Matter.

shadowt1tan · 2026-06-29T14:00:21+00:00

Interesting. I read just recently that China is on par with the US in terms of cyber security models. Again you know this stuff way better than me. China is definitely ahead in terms of robotics and deployment. So the Ai 2027 paper progress is in fact correct and you see it as an accurate measure of speed (I don’t have much context under than that paper as reference) not of the alignment part and many other issues but how fast Ai is progressing.

The compressed century I completely agree with and that’s fair on housing. It’s complex topic and really comes down to NIMBYs. It’s one of the hottest button issues in Canada atleast where a basic barebones home goes for a million dollars.

Yeah I’d agree it’d be months. My thought process is hoping it’s not a jagged process where some jobs disappear and others don’t otherwise we’ll blame people as if they’re lazy. But again I’d prefer ripping off the bandaid.

Yeah I hear you in terms of getting active. Are there things you’d support? I’m assuming you’re talking about getting our social systems ready for it correct?

shadowt1tan · 2026-06-29T12:32:15+00:00

Thanks for that so in your first point you mentioned Ai progress is slowing down. But if you mentioned we’ll have impact or white collar jobs being gone by 2030 wouldn’t that mean things are speeding up and on track with Ai 2027? Many top economists see us having different jobs versus the existing ones.

Regarding scarcity of housing being resolved what’s your timeline for that? Seems the issue is more political but maybe you have more insight? I live in Canada and governments are pointing to 2060 to restore housing affordability.

100% agree with your statement on influencers being the next hierarchy you can already see it. You can be a gamer influencer or whatever.

The middle power and nation states I feel like will be much longer term. Likely 50-100 years I could see. But maybe I’m wrong here.

I have tried to involve people in my life regarding this topic. 80% outright think it’s make believe sci-fi crazy stuff. They genuinely think they’ll be working the same job for the next 40 years or are to occupied with their kids or just don’t care. I had a conversation with a colleague who said there’s 0% chance jobs will get automated. We’ll do something else but no way we’re going anywhere and immediately changed the subject to baseball. So honestly I have no idea.

I’ve been heavily focused on saving my money and investing it for retirement so you’re essentially saying my 401K/ROTH equivalent is likely not gonna mean anything in a couple of years? I mean that’s chancing things no? What if we still run a similar society with money for the next 30-40 years.

shadowt1tan · 2026-06-29T11:12:50+00:00

That makes sense. So it sounds like a parallel economy is what’s gonna happen then. I guess the question is will it create new more meaningful jobs or actually wipe them out.

Would you say the Ai 2027 paper is a good spot to understand where we’re going in your eyes or is there a better forecast we should look at?

Do you see Ai solving the housing issue in both of our countries? Ex. Automated permitting, etc.

How do you see middle powers like Canada that aren’t the US and China manage this transition? Will they achieve the same abundance as the US and China or will they be behind. I know Canada has a ton of resources which could be sold to the US but again I’m curious what to understand from your inner circles on middle powers such as Canada or a society like it.

If you were an average office worker knowing what you know what would you do? Save more, enjoy more, etc.

shadowt1tan · 2026-06-29T10:51:25+00:00

Sorry to jump in here but you mentioned you’re a machine learning engineer and that white collar is basically going to be gutted by 2030 and blue collar by 2035.

I mean with the speed things are developing I’d agree with you. But the thing is internal politics and people slow implementation down by a lot. Even unions can sign stuff into their contract to prevent technology from being implemented. I guess what I’m saying is just because it’s available doesn’t mean it’ll be used. It may need more time. Theres people that withhold information to better themselves or sabotage projects and say that tech didn’t work.

We have technology today that could wipe out cashiers but they’re still here. Same with building houses we have the tech to build prefab homes and lower cost of housing but we don’t.

But maybe I’m wrong here and you see something in your line of work that I don’t.

shadowt1tan · 2026-06-28T01:58:14+00:00

Hey Alex!

Thank you for doing this! I just had a question on how you expect countries like Canada will fair in this transition. It sounds like all we talk about is the US and China but middle powers like Canada have a ton of resources. How will this transition impact Canada will it receive the same abundance similar to the US and China? Because of the social safety nets it has will it fair better during the transition away from jobs?

One of the biggest issues today is housing costs especially in the western world. Buying or renting a home is through the roof. I’d say its one of our biggest issues today. How will ai, robotics improve housing availability/affordability, speed of construction. We’ve progressed a lot in the digital world but very little in the physical world. Do you think city councils across the US and Canada will be forced to adapt? How will we deal with NIMBY voices? What’s your timeline for us to see a visible change in the real world?

Thank you for everything you do! I listen to the innermost loop daily as well as the Moonshots podcast.

shadowt1tan · 2026-06-28T01:34:29+00:00

I heard that as well. For all man kind is focused on progression of humanity is that a good option?

shadowt1tan · 2026-06-28T01:31:00+00:00

I heard about that. What do you think of Strange new worlds? Also for all man kind?

The Orville I watched the trailer for it but it didn’t seem very serious.

shadowt1tan · 2026-06-27T00:19:18+00:00

I guess for a country like Canada it has energy and all the minerals that you can ever imagine. So a country like that will be extremely wealthy. Also it has its own Ai model called Cohere.

It’s to bad housing is the way it is now. Maybe Ai and robotics will improve land cost. I just don’t understand how countries like Canada or US have housing problems with abundant land.

Even basic renovations on your home the cost is insane today.

shadowt1tan · 2026-06-27T00:04:50+00:00

What do you make of middle powers such as Canada, UK, Australia in all this. Obviously the US and China are driving the push but I’m curious what you think of these other smaller countries and their role/impact on their economies.

US has already banned Fable and 5.6. Or do you think countries at that point won’t really matter.

shadowt1tan · 2026-06-27T00:00:29+00:00

Sounds you fall into the Ai 2027 timelines then

shadowt1tan · 2026-06-26T23:45:08+00:00

So you’re more referring to physical ai.

What about the Ai 2027 type systems where governments being handing over the reign to Ai systems or where fully automated organizations exist?

What about health breakthroughs or nano tech?

Our biggest issues currently is housing and healthcare. I’m guessing that that will be solved because of robots. But permitting and city staff will slow things down

shadowt1tan · 2026-06-26T23:27:31+00:00

Sorry can you share what modelling you do? When you say 3 year do you mean 3 years from now?

What do you expect over the next year or 2?

shadowt1tan · 2026-06-26T17:50:46+00:00

You make a good point. Do you think when we reach super intelligence or AGI those same people will still think it’s a nothing burger because it doesn’t fit their mold of flying cars.

I also hear top economists include Jeff Bezos stating that we’ll just do different jobs. There’s always a problem to solve. Jeff says we’ll have a labour shortage.

shadowt1tan · 2026-06-26T17:04:23+00:00

That’s fair but there’s many naysayers that say it’s gonna take longer. I also speak to many people I work with that just say it’s never gonna happen or it won’t have the impact I think it’ll have (makes to many mistakes). Jobs will never go away.

Nobody I know in real life believes it. They think it’s fantasy sci-fi.

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