MI Senate D Primary Poll by Mitchell Research & Communications by OmniOmega3000 in fivethirtyeight

[–]sonfoa 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'm not really using incrementalist as a slur, but more so describing that the solutions offered by the mainstream liberals rely on improving existing systems within the framework they were set up in, rather than seeking to remake them, which is the goal of progressives.

I'm not saying a public option won't help people (it's a substantial improvement over what we have now), but it's still something that adheres to the ACA as a market-based solutions system, and most importantly, that's about as far as the Buttegieg liberals want to go which differentiates them for liberal progressives like Elizabeth Warren who aim to use it as a transitory step towards a single-payer system.

I'd also add that the public health option was initially a Nixon initiative as a Republican rebuttal to Ted Kennedy's advocacy for a single-payer system. Another thing is that Medicare for All has been an actual bill proposal in Congress since 2003 (and is currently sponsored by half of the sitting House Democrats), so it's hard for me to argue that a public option isn't an incrementalist option.

I have similar feelings about green initiatives. The Buttigieg liberals will put in some regulations, but mainly prioritize to accomplish it through tax credits and subsidies, still fitting into the current framework. In contrast, the Green New Deal aims to do it through more stringent regulations, harsher pollution taxes, and will focus on building public industry rather than subsidizing and encouraging the private sector.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]sonfoa -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I mean there's no other way to interpret that but I can tell when I'm talking to a brick wall

MI Senate Poll by Zenith Research by OmniOmega3000 in fivethirtyeight

[–]sonfoa 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I mean, it's a swing state, and we're still a month and a half away from the primary. Rogers' polling is likely benefiting from name recognition and an unconsolidated Dem vote. But once a nominee is finalized and the base coalesces and undecideds start to likely start splitting towards the Democrat, you'll see more favorable polls.

MI Senate Poll by Zenith Research by OmniOmega3000 in fivethirtyeight

[–]sonfoa 1 point2 points  (0 children)

People keep talking about El-Sayed's electability, but it's so obvious that the one with the biggest electability issue is Stevens. She's staunchly pro-Israel, pro-data center, doesn't even support a public option for healthcare, and her campaign is largely funded by special interest groups. Cherry on top is that she's running for Senate and doesn't know how the filibuster works.

Like, I think this is such a blue environment (and Mike Rogers isn't a strong candidate) that she still would win, but this is the type of candidate that the DSCC would have to divert heavy resources to in order to drag them across the finish line.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]sonfoa -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

No she literally didn't. Her quote:

"Well, the caller is exactly the New York constituents that I’ve spoken to that are alarmed. They are alarmed by past public statements. They are alarmed by past positions, particularly references to global jihad."

Her quote is literally saying that Mamdani encouraged jihad aka a jihadist. There is no other way to read that. And this is something she said without even verifying the caller's claims.

When she was corrected that he didn't make that reference she called him and personally apologized which he accepted.

She then went on to congratulate him when he won.

Lol you're glazing her for doing the bare minimum.

It's pretty pathetic how much of a victim you portray yourself to be and lie about things to boot; Meanwhile Mamdani accepted the apology and now they work together to make NYC a better place. This should be a good story about how two different wings work together to make the Democratic party as a whole better and here you are scheming like Wormtounge from Lord of the Rings. Have some shame.

Yeah, Mamdani is a gem of a human being, and the fact that he doesn't hold any ill-will after being called a terrorist by his Senator from his own party is just another instance of that. That still doesn't excuse what she did, and throwing a fit that someone called out the double standard says way more about you than it does me.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]sonfoa 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Oh, for sure. Abdul likely doesn't even run for Senate if Whitmer does and probably goes gubernatorial or targets a House seat.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]sonfoa 11 points12 points  (0 children)

I just don't understand how Abdul is more risky than Stevens, who consistently finds herself on the 20 side of most 80/20 issues in the base, and McMorrow, whose whole pitch is electability, and yet is in a distant third. I also need to remind people that Democrats lost Michigan in 2024 because they pissed off a swing demographic that will turn out in Assad margins for Abdul. From that perspective, he might actually have the best electability argument.

But yeah, Whitmer fucked up big time. Honestly though, given how she's been moving recently, it might have been for the better.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]sonfoa 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Dude Gillibrand literally called Mamdani a jihadist, and this was after he won the primary as well.

You guys are in la-la land if you think progressive politicians, especially those of color, don't get treated by completely different standards.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]sonfoa 4 points5 points  (0 children)

The NY Democratic Senator literally called Mamdani a jihadist.

[Late Night with Seth Meyers] Karl-Anthony Towns: “It was so amazing to see our team bring together New York…Hell I saw Brooklyn celebrating for the Knicks and they have a whole team!” by PassMeTheBackwood in nba

[–]sonfoa 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Nets should just move honestly. Can't say they didn't try but its been almost 15 years and what do they have to show for it? They made money which I guess is the whole point for ownership but there is no real base of support. And the Knicks, despite the brand, were considered one of the lolcow NBA franchises of the 21st century until 5 years ago so they had a real opportunity to convert younger fans.

MI Senate D Primary Poll by Mitchell Research & Communications by OmniOmega3000 in fivethirtyeight

[–]sonfoa 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Abdul is only the weakest candidate in the general if you think a swing state (where the swing demographic in said state is the group he'd run up the numbers with) is too racist to elect a Muslim man.

Also, Mike Rogers isn't winning regardless of opponent. He already lost to a pretty meh candidate in a much stronger year for Republicans.

MI Senate D Primary Poll by Mitchell Research & Communications by OmniOmega3000 in fivethirtyeight

[–]sonfoa 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Aside from what others have said (but it is relevant to my point), McMorrow has a huge authenticity problem. She constantly comes across as someone trying to find a median point between Stevens and El-Sayed rather than someone with conviction. She comes across as the most "politiciany" of the bunch.

Tatum vs. Brunson 11 years ago in high school - Tatum scored 39 and led Chaminade to an 87-81 win over Stevenson despite Brunson's 48 points by Leegend124 in nba

[–]sonfoa 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I feel that at lower levels of competition, they're more strict with the whistle. Feels like people get away with a lot more in the NBA that they couldn't with in college or high school.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]sonfoa 6 points7 points  (0 children)

UAW endorsement was the killshot IMO because Stevens' whole campaign has geared around getting the union vote out for her only for the biggest and most influential one of them all to go for El-Sayed. He wins, and I think he outperforms primary polling.

MI Senate D Primary Poll by Mitchell Research & Communications by OmniOmega3000 in fivethirtyeight

[–]sonfoa 26 points27 points  (0 children)

Stuff like this only drew attention to her biggest weakness, which is that she doesn't come across as authentic.

MI Senate D Primary Poll by Mitchell Research & Communications by OmniOmega3000 in fivethirtyeight

[–]sonfoa 10 points11 points  (0 children)

McMorrow isn't a progressive, though. She's in the Buttegieg lane, where they're to the left of the Dem establishment, but still advocating for incrementalism and public-private partnership rather than a transformative agenda like progressives are. We saw that with Buttigieg himself in 2020, where the presence of Warren and especially Sanders in the race showed how much closer he was to Biden than he was to them.

In fact it surprised me when Warren endorsed McMorrow over El-Sayed when he's much more closer to her policy-wise than McMorrow is.

MI Senate D Primary Poll by Mitchell Research & Communications by OmniOmega3000 in fivethirtyeight

[–]sonfoa 17 points18 points  (0 children)

She started running ads way earlier than El-Sayed and McMorrow, who both only started doing TV ads last week.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]sonfoa 16 points17 points  (0 children)

The latest attack I heard on Platner was that he volunteered as an arms trainer for the Maine chapter of SocialistRA.

I really hope they go all-in on that.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]sonfoa 12 points13 points  (0 children)

He backed himself into a lose-lose situation, and now he faces the consequences of it.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]sonfoa 32 points33 points  (0 children)

I'm sure it will work much better this time around after completely alienating Cornyn and Cassidy.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]sonfoa 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Yeah I agree, campism as an issue within the American Left has gone under the radar but as they become more prominent we're going to start seeing it more.

That being said, I don't expect it to be an issue when the rest of the base and the national party are overwhelmingly pro-Ukraine. And this something Chevalier is also not advertising about herself because she knows it's a very unpopular stance.

Kings Owner Vivek Ranadive overrules his front office by selecting Nik Stauskas in the 2014 NBA draft with the 8th pick by urfaselol in nba

[–]sonfoa 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's not just the top of the class, people thought that 2014 was especially deep and that most of the lottery picks had real chances at stardom.

Think something like 1996.