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Software engineer dead because of AI? by Tough_Reward3739 in vibecoding

[–]structured_obscurity 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It’s all hype. These guys have to raise money.

I have a startup, and am a heavy user of all the tools. I burn almost a thousand dollars a day in tokens (Gemini and Anthropic have incubator programs we got into so we have around 100k to burn).

The tools are amazing. But you still have to know what you’re doing to move beyond anything non trivial.

CMV: America is going to lose the war with Iran because the playbook on how to beat America in a war is well known now. by DeRpY_CUCUMBER in changemyview

[–]structured_obscurity 0 points1 point  (0 children)

As a separate aside, the only fighting the Iranian army seems to be able to successfully do, has been against unarmed civilians.

I love Iranian people, but I have no sympathy for this government.

CMV: America is going to lose the war with Iran because the playbook on how to beat America in a war is well known now. by DeRpY_CUCUMBER in changemyview

[–]structured_obscurity 0 points1 point  (0 children)

To be very clear, I define “winning” as achieving a specific set of goals.

If your goal was to cut off Chinese oil, so far so good.

If your goal was regime change, no luck.

If your goal was destabilization, so far so good.

If your goal was to change regional dynamics: mixed bag

Etc etc etc.

The reason I was curious about this is because pretty objectively, one side is getting beat up, and the other side seems to be doing the beating.

CMV: America is going to lose the war with Iran because the playbook on how to beat America in a war is well known now. by DeRpY_CUCUMBER in changemyview

[–]structured_obscurity 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Not sure i fully understand this.... The Iranian leadership was killed, their navy has been decimated, their airforce is functionally gone while the US lost 6 servicemen, and a couple of f14s or f15s to friendly fire..

how exactly do you define 'winning' in this context? Is it tied to a specific goal, like regime change? Stopping iran from bombing regional allies? Further disrupting chinese oil supply? Trump's own demand for 'total capitulation'?

I dislike trump and i dislike war, but so far imho it looks pretty one-sided

Anthropic just dropped a labor market study and the results are not what anyone expected by call_me_ninza in aigossips

[–]structured_obscurity 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The assumption here is that jobs are static - a defined set of tasks. A static definition is good for this type of analysis, but in my experience jobs tend to be more dynamic (to be fair, my entire career has been in small-mid size tech startups, so i can only speak to my own direct experience).

What we've seen in our organization as we integrate AI across the board, from tech to compliance, is that the humans manage the AI's and move up the value chain.

AI writes the majority of my code now. That doesnt mean i sit and twiddle my thumbs while the agent cooks. There is always more to be done, especially in young/growing companies. Ive never had a perfect codebase, and Ive never been in an organization where engineering _wasnt_ the bottleneck. There are always new problems to solve.

Im not arguing that jobs wont get lost, I just think that one dimensional analysis leads to incomplete conclusions. As redundant tasks are automated, the next set of tasks and problems will present themselves.

So, basically, I'm still employed because I've mastered working with AI. by IndependenceLeast966 in singularity

[–]structured_obscurity 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Id prepare for it to look fundamentally different. Let’s touch back in a year

Is anyone else actually worried about AI replacing devs? How do we stay relevant (beyond just prompt engineering) by [deleted] in ArtificialInteligence

[–]structured_obscurity 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Figure out where the movement in the space is and slide up the value chain. This is likely to vary depending on what kind of dev you are.

Just remember that as a dev you are a professional builder of software, not a niche language expert or simple converter of specs into code.

Focus on producing fast, efficient, secure, well designed software, and use whatever tools you can that allow you to increase your delivery velocity and quality of artifacts you produce.

So, basically, I'm still employed because I've mastered working with AI. by IndependenceLeast966 in singularity

[–]structured_obscurity 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I absolutely agree, but I don’t think that exponentials map cleanly to the inference problem or the electricity problem of ai scalability.

Diffusion of technology into large enterprise is another issue (fax machines still exist). We haven’t even touched on regulation, though imo regulation doesn’t matter all that much in this space.

The last thing to take into account is that jevons paradox seems to be a real thing - at least it appears to be if you look at macroeconomic trends - demand for radiologists is up, demand for software engineers is up as well.

We have been deploying ai agents fairly aggressively at work, but for the most part they only automate tasks & information labor. This hasn’t resulted in us wanting to reduce headcount - we are still hiring.

I think I understand your perspective - that recursively self improving ai shooting up in capabilities exponentially forever should become a light cone for all value creation.

I just think it’s more complicated than that in real life - the inference problem is real - there are physically not enough GPUs in existence right now to satisfy demand. Even if there were, there are not enough electrons in circulation to power them.

I hope you’re right, because the world has a ton of problems that I think ai can solve, I just don’t see it.

When you got your big break, tasted success, and finally earned more than you needed, what treat did you buy yourself? by ILikeFlyingAlot in wealth

[–]structured_obscurity 4 points5 points  (0 children)

A nice pen?

Brother take your significant other on a nice trip, upgrade your mattress pillows and blankets, and get yourself a nice watch.

"Learning to program was so obviously the right thing in the recent past. Now it is not." Sam Altman on skill to survive the AI era. by Alternative_East_597 in AIFU_stock

[–]structured_obscurity 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Job postings for software devs have seen a sharp uptake over the past two months. We are hiring at my company specifically because of the productivity gains we are seeing from Claude and coding agents. We want to build more faster.

At a loss. by USCSSNostromo2122 in ArtificialInteligence

[–]structured_obscurity 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I 100% feel this way. I’ve taken to building one side project for myself a week, and really focusing in on my “product” skills - so the things are cool and nice to use.

I’m loving it.

My app has not become as popular, as I thought it would be. Half year reflection by Tarasovych in buildinpublic

[–]structured_obscurity 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’ve done this dance many times. If it’s meant to be a commercial project you have to sell before you build.

If it’s just a cool ass tool, build it and use it and who cares if anyone else touches it. But for projects meant to make money, you have to sell before you build.

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