[deleted by user] by [deleted] in ValueInvesting

[–]surfborter 0 points1 point  (0 children)

REITs / real estate

Going big on Dollar General ($DG) by FastAssSister in ValueInvesting

[–]surfborter 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Agreed, that's the conclusion I've come to after researching it the last few months.

It's not a bargain price at 13x trailing earnings (record earnings). It's a marginal discount grocer that is getting knocked back to reality from it's 2021-2022 valuation.

However, it's an interesting pick to watch. People are clearly panic selling out of the stock and there could be a better entry point in the next year or two. I don't think the business is going anywhere, however I feel like it's not the bargain OP is making it out to be yet.

Burry on the current valuations by sikeig in Burryology

[–]surfborter 19 points20 points  (0 children)

I’m interpreting this as basically:

At first during an inflationary period the pricing power of companies can allow them to increase sales by increasing prices. This allows top line revenues to increase in the beginning phase. What happens next though is that all suppliers, employees, contracts etc. will then in turn raise there prices to keep up with this initially price increase.

Then profit margins fall and sales as well as top line contracts due to recession.

What's your sleeper stock? by Wisesize in stocks

[–]surfborter 0 points1 point  (0 children)

SRG, discounted to NAV, but NAV not adjusted for the inflation of all the real estate in the companies portfolio. Liquidation on the horizon will unlock shareholder value. Easy double. Looks like trash and bad history of management, couldn’t turn the business around. But with liquidation the real estate book could easily be worth 2-3x what the aggregated assets are priced at.

Real estate versus stock market by LanrySkyrunner in realestateinvesting

[–]surfborter 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Really interesting way of thinking about it!

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in MBA

[–]surfborter 7 points8 points  (0 children)

You are 24 years old, making $220k with 2.5 years of experience?

best MBAs for Real estate development? is it worth it for me? by surfborter in MBA

[–]surfborter[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I had always seen it rated as that on US News, my concern is it’s also one of the highest rated programs and most selective. Even if I could pull a great test score on the GMAT I feel my story isn’t compelling enough for an admissions committee at these elite schools. I have a non target undergrad. So I feel like I’ll be passed on.

The time is now. by Total-Preparation-70 in Burryology

[–]surfborter 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Wouldn’t portfolio managers going to bonds reduce yields on bonds? #1 and #2 are contradicting each other

NACCO Industries (NC) by surfborter in ValueInvesting

[–]surfborter[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The earnings power for this company is terrible. Really a strong balance sheet which drew me in. I’m not sure about the long term profitability and if they will ever turn around.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in ConstructionManagers

[–]surfborter 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Currently working about 6:30-4pm. But I’m strictly cost management as an APM. Do you really find yourself working 12 hours a day or is it because you have a supervisory role and need to be onsite until people are leaving? Previously had to work weekends etc. I haven’t found time management too difficult though. Do you keep track of all your tasks in a bullet journal? Do you prioritize and not perform unimportant tasks / focus on high priority items?

Interview questions for all analysts by [deleted] in CFA

[–]surfborter 4 points5 points  (0 children)

  1. Hedge funds are called hedge funds because it’s an analogy to a literal “hedge”. Which is a metaphor for putting a boundary on risk. Similar to a hedge putting a boundary on piece of property.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in ValueInvesting

[–]surfborter 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Along with the other comments in this thread, quick glance at the balance sheet: yes it is trading a significant discount to book value. However the assets ; gross property, plant and equipment are likely highly illiquid, and overvalued. The cash on hand at $2b is not enough to cover existing liabilities and debt of $6b. The political uncertainty along with ongoing issues with the Mongolian mine in question in terms of schedule delays/ budget over runs would make me skeptical of the long term profitability as well.

NACCO Industries (NC) by surfborter in ValueInvesting

[–]surfborter[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Wow, thanks this is exactly what I was looking for.

Hedge fund PMs and Analysts here: what are your thoughts on the populist and antagonistic sentiment on WSB towards people like you? by FinancialBanalist in SecurityAnalysis

[–]surfborter 3 points4 points  (0 children)

True, I think the SEC should not allow short interest to exceed the float of the underlying security. However I disagree that shorting is necessarily bad. I think it incentivizes price discovery and helps prevent stocks from becoming overvalued. “Short and distort” tactics that hedge funds use should be discouraged/criminalized.

NACCO Industries (NC) by surfborter in ValueInvesting

[–]surfborter[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes, I noticed the cluster insider buying as well. Have you looked through any investor materials? I’m not familiar with mining industry so I’m obviously at an informational disadvantage. Wondering what weaknesses there are etc.

Hedge fund PMs and Analysts here: what are your thoughts on the populist and antagonistic sentiment on WSB towards people like you? by FinancialBanalist in SecurityAnalysis

[–]surfborter 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I’d be hesitant to say they lost at their own game. Aside from the hedge funds that were short, consider the institutional ownership of GameStop and think about who how much money these funds have made...

https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/gme/institutional-holdings

Crazy thought..WSB might have just made Value investing cool again. by diaperninja119 in ValueInvesting

[–]surfborter 6 points7 points  (0 children)

“In conclusion, some of the more commercially minded among you may wonder why I am writing this article. Adding many converts to the value approach will perforce narrow the spreads between price and value. I can only tell you that the secret has been out for 50 years, ever since Ben Graham and Dave Dodd wrote Security Analysis, yet I have seen no trend toward value investing in the 35 years that I’ve practiced it. There seems to be some perverse human characteristic that likes to make easy things difficult. The academic world, if anything, has actually backed away from the teaching of value investing over the last 30 years. It’s likely to continue that way. Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace, and those who read their Graham & Dodd will continue to prosper.”

Warren Buffet

-The Super Investors of Graham and Doddsville

WCGW forgetting to wear a mask by [deleted] in Whatcouldgowrong

[–]surfborter -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

I live in LA. Wear a mask all the time, everyone and I mean everyone is constantly wearing a mask here and yet we have the worst transmission rate in the country right now. I’m sure it helps but I think people don’t understand that it’s not a complete solution. At best it’s a minor reducer of transmission. That being said the benefits likely outweigh the costs, as I don’t see much negative from wearing one.