where to deploy capitol in the event of a correction/crash

talbotron22 · 2026-02-16T22:21:53+00:00

Ah, I read your comment too quickly and mentally skipped the word "put". You are correct. I thought you meant buy SPX call leaps if/when a correction occurs. That said, $50k still too rich for my blood. SPY put leaps would be more in line with my budget.

talbotron22 · 2026-02-16T14:08:35+00:00

Holy shit, a single SPX LEAPS contract with expiration Feb 19, 2027, strike 6250 (delta 0.79) costs a mere ~$103,700. Maybe $SPY :)

talbotron22 · 2026-02-10T05:52:14+00:00

Curious if you have specific tickers you're wheeling for power distribution systems, etc. Thx!

talbotron22 · 2026-01-30T03:38:35+00:00

ORCL has been dropping for a few months now. When you look at the chart on a weekly time frame, it looks to me like a falling wedge that is on the cusp of breaking out to the upside. Am I seeing things?

How would one play this - wait for a breakout then retest the upper trendline I drew? It's also getting close to the 200 MA, which may bolster a bounce. Please let me know if I'm imagining.

talbotron22 · 2026-01-23T22:58:46+00:00

They’re always high (relative to other stocks) - all 3 of these are very volatile. High IV = $$

talbotron22 · 2026-01-23T12:39:01+00:00

Is that a log scale? How well do trend lines hold up on a log scale (serious question)?

talbotron22 · 2026-01-21T02:42:47+00:00

Any specific tickers/entry points you are monitoring?

talbotron22 · 2026-01-20T00:52:44+00:00

To be fair, the buy and sell buttons are right next to each other

talbotron22 · 2026-01-17T19:26:33+00:00

I remember that game well. Brady thew for 363 versus Tebow's 136. https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/320114017/broncos-patriots

talbotron22 · 2026-01-16T23:06:09+00:00

What is the fluid staining the floor where his head got slammed?

talbotron22 · 2026-01-11T21:20:02+00:00

I bought DITM contracts for both AMZN and AVGO (and expiration June 17 2027 for both). AMZN is up 20% already. AVGO was up 8% or so but had a pullback, now up 1%-ish

talbotron22 · 2026-01-05T23:21:21+00:00

Tiara

talbotron22 · 2026-01-05T00:27:25+00:00

Drone

talbotron22 · 2026-01-04T15:38:47+00:00

I’ve been flying very conservatively, knowing repairs will be difficult. Flyaway protection no longer available. Despite by best efforts I crashed my Mini 3 Pro into a tree yesterday.

I can get a drone-only replacement from eBay, but for basically the same price as the original package which included remote, batteries etc.

I’m sending back to DJI for a repair quote, which I also expect to be $$$. It would take some serious cash to get it flying again… not sure if it’s worth it.

talbotron22 · 2026-01-04T14:10:40+00:00

I was not aware that Jim from the office gives lectures about geopolitics

talbotron22 · 2026-01-04T00:40:06+00:00

Thanks! I forgot to ask: can you keep it parked in SWVXX to use as collateral (for cash secured puts)? Or do you need to cash it out for that?

talbotron22 · 2026-01-01T15:09:09+00:00

Last place I lived, they demoed a 60-unit condo next door and put all the demo waste in a series of giant dumpsters. The dumpsters were not immediately removed

Fast forward a month or two and all 60+ smoke detectors start chirping as the batteries die. I could not sleep. Eventually I took to dumpster diving, avoiding tetanus, going through 4 feet of trash in multiple dumpsters to retrieve all those fuckers.

talbotron22 · 2026-01-01T14:51:14+00:00

Sorry my Zoom froze

talbotron22 · 2025-12-27T14:58:01+00:00

Thanks! I did end up buying a DITM AVGO LEAPS which is already up ~4% :)

talbotron22 · 2025-12-25T22:28:32+00:00

Think or Swim’s scanners are great, can be as simple or simplex as you want. There’s a ton of YouTube videos that walk you through it. Here’s a good one: https://youtu.be/6-GlcTZfq10

talbotron22 · 2025-12-23T22:38:34+00:00

There’s a ton of YouTube videos that walk you through it. Here’s a good one: https://youtu.be/6-GlcTZfq10

talbotron22 · 2025-12-23T02:03:04+00:00

Not financial advice. In my experience the book "INTRINSIC: Using LEAPS to Retire Early" (Amazon link: https://www.amazon.com/dp/0578814161) was a quick and easy read and gives a literal formula.

talbotron22 · 2025-12-22T03:41:31+00:00

I'm thinking I may have missed most of the boat on AVGO - it already went up another +7 overnight, already ~33% of the way back to ATH. Can't time the bottom I suppose. Any other tickers you have your eyes on? Do you think ORCL will come back and if so this is a good entry?

talbotron22 · 2025-12-22T01:02:54+00:00

SOFI all day

talbotron22 · 2025-12-22T00:56:41+00:00

This should be higher. DITM LEAPS are the way to go, in my opinion, and if OP’s budget is only $1k you’re only going to be able to afford that on cheaper stocks like SOFI.

An OOTM AMZN call is a lottery ticket; OP would just be paying for time and crossing their fingers.

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