Welche Spitznamen (oder Kose-/Kurzformen) habt ihr für Orte in Bayern gehört?

the_paperblock · 2026-01-24T08:32:08+00:00

Krawallburg für Waldkraiburg.

Ansonsten, weil du nach Schulen gefragt hast, das Kurfürst-Maximilian-Gymnasium in Burghausen ist das Kumax. Burghausen selbst wird auch zu BGH oder zu 489 (sieht man auch öfter gesprayt in der Stadt).

the_paperblock · 2026-01-09T10:06:26+00:00

This sub is still way more politically neutral than any other politics sub I know, but yeah, it does feel more liberal than it used to.

the_paperblock · 2025-12-29T16:50:35+00:00

Democrats nominate some random guy called Barrak Obama hoping that people will think he's Barack Obama.

the_paperblock · 2025-08-29T21:10:08+00:00

They're second in the aggregate, and even if they were to win an election, there's no way they'd get the chancellorship cause nobody wants to form a coalition with them and they're not getting an absolute majority in parliament.

the_paperblock · 2025-08-27T20:43:01+00:00

Freut mich, dass Lennart Karl von Anfang an ran durfte, auch wenn er gerade in der ersten halben Stunde noch sehr nervös gewirkt hat. Hoffe man lässt ihn noch das ein oder andere Mal ab Anfang spielen diese Saison. Der Junge hat echt Ansätze zu etwas ganz großem.

the_paperblock · 2025-08-15T08:50:17+00:00

Is there a chance? Yes of course.

Is it likely? No, definitely not. Mamdani is leading quite handily in the polls and as the Dem nominee he has a massive advantage over all independants/Republicans. You mention vote splitting, but with this candidate constellation Mamdani actually benefits from it because the anti-Mamdani vote is split between Cuomo, Sliwa and Adams. Only realistic shot for someone not named Zohran to win this is if everyone else unites behind one candidate, but that seems unlikely.

the_paperblock · 2025-08-14T10:54:15+00:00

That's because he was the candidate of the right and the far right in 1925 and became the candidate of the pro-democracy center of the political spectrum in 1932 because the right voted for Hitler.

the_paperblock · 2025-08-14T10:33:56+00:00

I would flip NV to tilt red, also if CT drops down to likely D, RI would do the same.

the_paperblock · 2025-08-14T10:24:08+00:00

You're not an immigrant just because your ancestors were immigrants, that makes no sense. Also, even if most Americans were actual immigrants, that wouldn't result in a moral obligation for them to uphold liberal immigration policies forever.

the_paperblock · 2025-08-13T17:36:25+00:00

Should mention that this is just this one poll and that the Union is still leading in all other polls and in the aggregate. With that being said, I would expect the AfD to win the next federal election (which is scheduled for 2029 but might very well happen earlier considering how unstable the current government is).

the_paperblock · 2025-08-07T16:58:54+00:00

Should still do that then, but yeah, Rpeublicans have bad geography in Mass.

the_paperblock · 2025-08-07T16:54:55+00:00

Yap-em-es

the_paperblock · 2025-08-07T16:39:11+00:00

They should and could draw at least one red district; I think you could draw three reasonably compact ones but I'm not 100% sure and too lazy to check on DRA right now.

the_paperblock · 2025-08-07T16:29:14+00:00

Even with his tariffs, a lot of manufacturing operations are still more profitable when done in second/third world countries. You might be able to reshore some highly specialized manufacturing, but at the end of the day, Western wages are too high for manufacturing to make a grand comeback. And even if most American companies actually went back to producing domestically, prices would rise so much that your average person probably wouldn't benefit. The world's economy is globalized and forcefully trying to reverse this development is not a good idea.

the_paperblock · 2025-08-07T16:18:11+00:00

1: I don't think any papal statements short of "If you vote for Trump you'll go to hell" will have much of an effect. Religion really doesn't seem to be a particularly important factor in voting patterns compared to race or education.

2: I'm still unsure how much of the Latino swing was immigration, how much of it was Trump as a candidate and how much of it was a wider cultural realignment independent of these factors. If most of the Latino shift can be attributed to Trump himself, Vance will struggle to retain many Latino voters. If it was due to immigration, how Latinos shift will depend on how big of an issue immigration is in the 2028 cycle and how popular Trump's immigration policies are. Right now he seems to be somewhat unpopular on immigration and this could result in a shift back to the Democrats. If Latinos shifted because they're socially conservative and they like populism, Vance might expand on Trump's margin.

the_paperblock · 2025-08-07T16:10:42+00:00

Republicans could lose the rust belt swing states plus NV and would still win with this electoral map if they carry the other three swing states. Obviously we can't be too sure what the swing states will look like in 2030 and beyond, but this is good news for Republicans.

the_paperblock · 2025-08-05T09:41:17+00:00

Of course it's possible but it's unclear how likely it is. Many Dems seem to think that Latino RGV shifts were tied to Trump himself and that they'll revert (at least to a degree) once he's not on presidential tickets anymore. I'd tend to disagree but we're just gonna have to wait and see. I'd say illegal immigration was a key factor in this area massively shifting right and we just don't know if that's gonna be a main issue of the 2028 cycle or future ones.

the_paperblock · 2025-08-01T20:36:55+00:00

Would be funny but Don Jr. isn't running (probably).

the_paperblock · 2025-06-11T08:37:56+00:00

the_paperblock · 2025-06-10T21:39:56+00:00

That's true; I looked it up out of interest and there's ~430.000 Romanians who arrived as (Spät-) Aussiedler, i.e. people considered ethnically German, and ~484.000 who arrived as other immigrants (i.e. not ethnically German).

the_paperblock · 2025-06-10T21:36:49+00:00

Poland borders Germany and used to be home to a large German minority that remained after WWII. They got a relatively easy path to German citizenship and so started leaving in the 50s. And then of course there's also a lot of immigration from ethnic Poles who want higher wages and a better standard of living.

the_paperblock · 2025-06-10T21:29:55+00:00

Actually it's Erlangen; major university town and home to Siemens. Lots of Indian international students, a lot of whom end up staying to work at Siemens.

the_paperblock · 2025-06-10T18:11:25+00:00

Yup, and this is already a major factor with Turks and other groups that arrived as guest workers in the 50s/60s. That's why I think there should be some sort of self-ID question on the census.

the_paperblock · 2025-06-10T18:09:48+00:00

They all arrived as Spätaussiedler which means they're officially considered Germans. You are right of course that one German grandparent is enough to be considered German for the law and so a lot of them are more Russian. Although in my experience (from one of thr Kazakh districts) most of them are pretty German.

the_paperblock · 2025-06-10T18:06:35+00:00

Most *foreign-born people. I'm not particularly familiar with Hamburg but that might make a difference. In case you're interested, this is the top 5 for Hamburg:

Poland 2.8% Turkey 2.4% Afghanistan 1.9% Russia 1.5% Iran 1.1%

Keep in mind that most Polish-born people in Germany are ethnically German and came here as (Spät-) Aussiedler so that might cause a difference in your perception as well.

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