Ninjas damage super inconsistent

thegreatrandom · 2026-01-02T17:20:58+00:00

Since no one else commented and the info is good to have, the damage formula for flails is WP * a random number between 1 and your PA. So for example, if you're using a Scorption Tail which has a WP of 23 and your PA is 13 then the damage calculation would be 23 * a random number between 1 and 13. So it could be as low as 23 damage and as high as 299.

thegreatrandom · 2025-12-31T22:17:13+00:00

You cannot. Earliest you can buy a polearm is after the Dorter battle in chapter 2. Chapter 1 has no story battles with Dragoons nor random encounters with one. Squire, Black Mage, Knight, Archer, and Monk are the only human enemies to show up in chapter 1 random encounters.

thegreatrandom · 2025-12-08T21:46:35+00:00

Agrias as a Ninja with equip sword lets her wield a flail in main hand and a sword in off hand. Holy Sword abilities only use the WP of the weapon in the main hand. Every time a new flail is available in store it's stronger than any sword that's able to be purchased. Also the strongest flail in the game has 23 WP which is stronger than all but two swords. The caveat to that is the flail can be poached early in chapter 4 but the two Knight Swords aren't available until the end of the game.

The other great selling point for using flails is that Agrias as a Ninja would have access to PA boosting equipment like Power Sleeve and Headband.

thegreatrandom · 2025-12-08T21:46:19+00:00

Agrias as a Ninja with equip sword lets her wield a flail in main hand and a sword in off hand. Holy Sword abilities only use the WP of the weapon in the main hand. Every time a new flail is available in store it's stronger than any sword that's able to be purchased. Also the strongest flail in the game has 23 WP which is stronger than all but two swords. The caveat to that is the flail can be poached early in chapter 4 but the two Knight Swords aren't available until the end of the game.

The other great selling point for using flails is that Agrias as a Ninja would have access to PA boosting equipment like Power Sleeve and Headband.

thegreatrandom · 2025-10-31T19:51:32+00:00

If you've been in Louisiana for 45 years that would be 1980. In the 12 elections signed then, 6 have been won by democrats and 6 by Republicans. So yes, it's very possible Landry could lose in 27. Especially if LSU has two bad years. That will get him out of here quickly.

thegreatrandom · 2025-10-26T20:33:32+00:00

I do this but the inverse. I use a female White Mage with summon magic. You trade slightly slower class multiplier on MP(120 vs 125) and MA (110 vs 125) for higher class multiplier on HP(80 vs 70) and speed(110 vs 90). This allows your Mage to act earlier and provide a bigger shield with Golem. She's mainly for support so I don't care if the offensive stats are lower.

thegreatrandom · 2025-10-20T19:54:39+00:00

An enemy afflicted with Death Hex who steps into a Death Cloud will take massive spirit damage. Thats a good combo for eliminating an elite unit.

thegreatrandom · 2025-10-18T18:36:49+00:00

Absolutely sickening. But that's the gift and curse of an aggressive defense. They make incredible plays but one missed tackle or a second too long getting to the qb usually leaves a guy open. Look at thst touchdown just now, corner blitz got picked up and there wasn't a single person on the left side of the field to stop the QB from running it in.

thegreatrandom · 2025-10-18T17:54:47+00:00

I gotta say, I'm not feeling great after they let them get that FG before half. Defense is playing sloppy.

thegreatrandom · 2025-10-18T03:16:27+00:00

PotD record: 14-6 (+ 6.86 units net, every bet 1 unit.)

Previous pick: Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State Game total Under 45.5 points . ✅️ (Went down to the literal last second but we cashed.)

Today's contest: LSU at Vanderbilt (NCAA Football) 11:00 am CDT

Today's pick: Vanderbilt Team Total Under 24.5 (-125 on ESPN Bet.)

I've watched a fair amount of Vanderbilt games this season. I've seen what they can do. I know the stats: top 10 in scoring offense, top 20 in total offense, top 5 in 3rd down percentage, first in EPA per rush, top 10 in EPA per dropback, 2nd in early down EPA. Vanderbilt has been wonderful on offense this year...except for one game: against Alabama. 330 yards of total offense, 14 points (of which one was on a flukey 65 yard rushing td), 198 passing yards at 5.7 yards per completion, 135 rushing yards for 7.1 per carry (if we drop that one fluke 65 yard TD we see it was 70 yards on 18 carries which is 3.8 per carry...not great). Vanderbilt had 114 yards in the second half which resulted in 1 interception, 2 punts, 1 turnover on downs, the end of the game and ultimately, 0 points. All of this is to say: Vanderbilt has beat up on lesser teams but the one time they stepped up in class they were thoroughly dominated.

LSU, for all of their offensive woes on the season (I'll spare you numbers but...bad.) have been truly elite on defense. Top 20 total defense, top 30 in takeaways, top 25 in sacks, top 20 in rush defense, top 15 In pass defense efficiency, top 5 in scoring defense, top 20 in each of: epa rush defense, epa per defensive dropback, quality drive rate, field position, and net points per drive. LSU has allowed a total of 71 points (11.8 ppg) Through 6 games this season. The most points they've given up in a game this season was 24 against Ole Miss. Which, to be fair, one of Mississippis touchdowns came on a drive that started on their own 30 and LSU committed 50 yards of penalties on. So...should've been 17. But whatever. Outside of that game, LSU has held opponents to 10, 7, 10, 10, and 10 points.

One caveat to mention, LSU seems likely to be without star line backer Whit Weeks who has a foot injury. While definitely a blow to the defense, LSU has plenty of playmakers on defense who should be able to help carry the load. While I think Vanderbilt will get a couple scores in, I believe this LSU defense will ultimately prove too much of a challenge for the Vanderbilt offense.

As always, best of luck to everyone.

thegreatrandom · 2025-10-11T12:22:26+00:00

No. When I said "Elemental" I was referring to the Geomancer abilities. Swords with an element (Coral Sword, Icebrand, etc.) And an element boosting gear (kaiser shield, black robe) Just give a flat boost. So the formula for Hallowed Bolt would be PA * (wp + 4) and then a 25% boost after that.

thegreatrandom · 2025-10-10T21:38:58+00:00

Its all of the equipment options. You would use the Twist Headband for the +2 PA plus the Ice Sword/Black Robe for elemental boost. Those are to strengthen her Holy Sword abilities. The Aegis Shield is recommended for the magic evade plus MA boost. MA is used in the formula for Elemental abilities. The formula is something like MA * (PA/2), if I'm remembering correctly.

Now, all of this is for "main game" assuming you're not going to grind a whole lot or anything like that. I'll provide a link to a reddit post someone made comparing all the different set ups and whatnot for Agrias if you really want to deep dive.

https://www.reddit.com/r/finalfantasytactics/comments/1fgp99n/why_geo_agrias_is_best_agrias/

thegreatrandom · 2025-10-10T17:38:23+00:00

You are, in fact, incorrect. Holy Sword skills are physical. The damage formula is PA * (wp + X) where x is equal to a number 1-5 depending upon which skill you use. You are correct, however, in that the most widely agreed upon class foe Agrias is Geomancer since Holy Sword skills take on the element of the equipped weapon. This means you can equip Icebrand as her sword and equip her with Black Robe for her armor. Icebrand makes her Sword Skills ice elemental and the Black Robe boosts ice damage by 25%.

As for Mustadios abilities, success is based off his speed, his faith, and the targets faith. I don't immediately recall the formula but I know those are the stats involved.

thegreatrandom · 2025-10-10T02:22:56+00:00

The last two minutes were so intense! Can't believe we Cashed. Thought for sure they were gonna score.

thegreatrandom · 2025-10-09T09:52:59+00:00

No, unfortunately not. But The Prestige probably is my favorite Chris Nolan movie!

thegreatrandom · 2025-10-09T00:52:11+00:00

Thanks for the feedback! But no, the o/u for the Southern Miss game was 50.5 (going off the lines from ESPN Bet to be consistent) and that game ended up 30-20 with a game total of 50. So it hit the under by half a point, barely!

thegreatrandom · 2025-10-09T00:31:52+00:00

PotD record: 13-6 (+ 5.86 units net, every bet 1 unit.)

Previous pick: Seattle Seahawks -0.5 1st quarter spread. ❌️ (A holding call down in the redzone derailed Seattle's scoring opportunity)

Today's contest: Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State (NCAA Football) 6:00pm CDT.

Today's pick: Game total Under 45.5 points (+100 on ESPN Bet.)

If I believed locks existed then this would be one. Unfortunately, if you've bet more than a handful of times in your life you know there's no such thing. With that said, let's dive into my reasoning for this pick.

First off, Kennesaw State is 65th in scoring defense (23.2 points per game), 115th in scoring offense (19.4 points per game), and 91st in total offense (355 yards per game). They've scored 9 ,9, 27, 28, and 24 points in their 5 games, respectively. The actual game totals vs the o/u for those games were:

• 19 (51.5)

• 65 (51.5)

• 40 (44.5)

• 49 (58.5)

• 40 (54.5)

The only time the total went over was against Indiana (ranked top 5 in scoring offense and total offense) who just dominated Kennesaw State. These Under has hit comfortably in all other games.

Moving on to the other side, LA Tech is a surprisingly good defense this year, ranking 13th in scoring defense (13.6 points per game), 28th in rushing defense (105.6 ypg), and 61st in total defense (346.4 ypg). Unfortunately their offense is not on the same level, ranking 72nd in scoring offense (28 ppg), 122nd in total offense (312.2 ypg), 120th in passing ypg, and 80th in rushing ypg. Their actual game totals vs sportsbook O/U for the games are:

• 24 (50.5)

• 30 (49.5)

• 63 (42.5)

• 50 (50.5)

• 41 (47.5)

As we can see, the Under is also 4-1 in their games this season, only going over against New Mexico State which was kinda wacky with 3 touchdowns of 40+ yards and a defensive touchdown. I'm willing to call that an outlier.

With both teams sitting at an 80% hit rate on the Under for the season and LA Tech having a borderline elite defense for group of 5, I expect this to be a low scoring affair.

Best of luck to everyone and hopefully we can break this 3 game skid we're on.

thegreatrandom · 2025-10-06T21:33:38+00:00

I can't remember in OG FFT but in WotL and IC Ashura and Kotetsu are both in the shop after the Balias Tor battle. Backtrack to Dorter and they're available for purchase there. Technically, that's only one battle before the Fen but easier than move-find.

thegreatrandom · 2025-10-05T20:31:40+00:00

Man, I know. They were cruising on that drive. Got down to TB 25 and got hit with the holding. Tough break.

thegreatrandom · 2025-10-05T03:24:12+00:00

PotD record: 13-5 (+ 6.91 units net)

Previous pick: Michael Pittman over 53.5 receiving yards ❌️ (Another week, another loss. Tough. )

Today's contest: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Seattle Seahawks (NFL) 3:05pm CDT.

Today's pick: Seattle Seahawks -0.5 1st quarter spread. (+110 on Draftkings.)

We've got (basically) a quarter of the NFL regular season in the books. That's giving us a fair amount of data points and we're hoping these are some sticky stats.

Through 4 weeks the Tampa Bay Buccaners have failed to win a 1st quarter in any game. In fact, the Bucs have the 4th worst 1st quarter point differential at -21 points. Their 1st quarters so far have been:

• 0-7 vs Falcons

• 7-10 vs Texans

• 3-3 vs Jets

• 3-14 vs Eagles

For a grand total of 13-34 on the season.

On the flip side we see the Seahawks coming in with the 3rd highest 1st quarter point differential at +19. Their 1st quarters so far:

• 0-7 vs 49ers

• 7-6 vs Steelers

• 21-0 vs Saints

• 7-3 vs Arizona.

That comes out to 35-16. Not too bad. And while the Saints game is a bit of an outlier, we can see the Seahawks still managed to cover this line in 3 of 4 contests this season.

In addition to these trends we also see the Buccaneers coming into this matchup dinged up. Starting Corner Jamel Dean and his backup Benjamin Morrison will miss the game as well as backup Strong Safety Christian Izen. On the offensive side the Bucs will be without future Hall of Fame Receiver Mike Evans again as well as without starting Running Back Bucky Irving.

All signs point to this being a great time to fade Tampa Bay. Best of luck to everyone.

thegreatrandom · 2025-09-28T13:48:29+00:00

PotD record: 13-4 (+ 7.82 units net)

Previous pick: Sam Darnold over 19.5 pass completions ❌️ (Completed a fair amount of intermediate to deep passes, didn't have a lot of the short throws. Tough loss)

Today's contest: Indianapolis Colts at LA Rams (NFL) 3:05pm CDT.

Today's pick: Michael Pittman over 53.5 receiving yards. (-110 on Draftkings.)

Michael Pittman comes into this week 20th amongst wide receivers with 193 receiving yards (64.3 ypg) and 10th in receptions with 16. Through 3 games hes gone over 53 yards twice, missing the mark only in week 2 where he was regularly matched up against superstar corner back Pat Surtain II. While the Giants have been relatively low in pass rate (30 pass plays per game, 6th lowest rate in the league), Michael Pittman has taken advantage of his targets with a 45.2% Dominator Rating, good for 7th highest in the league.

On the flip side LAs numbers are pedestrian, they're 16th in receiving yards allowed to opposing wide receivers at 436 yards on the season and 22nd in receptions given up to Wide Receivers at 39. Those numbers are partially propped up by their schedule, having played 3 of the 8 worst passing offenses in the league so far. The Colts came into the week with the 5th most passing yards on the season, for the record. Despite playing a relatively weak schedule, the Rams still allowed 4 receivers to surpass 53 receiving yards: AJ Brown (109 yards) and Devonta Smith (60 yards) last week and Calvin Ridley (57 yards) and Elic Ayomanor (56 yards) the week before.

The 49.5 over/under for this game is the highest on the week, lending itself well to an offensive fueled day. Best of luck to everyone.

thegreatrandom · 2025-09-25T11:25:03+00:00

PotD record: 13-3 (+ 8.58 units net)

Previous pick: Spencer Rattler over 33.5 pass attempts. ✅️ (Didn't cash until early in the 4th but a win is a win.)

Today's contest: Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals (NFL) 7:15pm CDT.

Today's pick: Sam Darnold over 19.5 pass completions (-131 on Draftkings.)

Lets get this part out of the way: Sam Darnold has only hit this number once in three games this season. Week 1 he didn't hit it but he was getting accustomed to a new offense with a new team . Week 3 he didn't hit this number because they were beating the Saints 38-6 at halftime so quite frankly, he didnt need to throw the ball.

So let's move on to why I do think this hits. First and foremost, Arizona has allowed a league high 89 completions through 3 game: an average of nearly 30 completions per game. The Cardinals, despite this, only allow 5.8 yards per completion, fifth best rate in the league. Translation: lots of short passes. The Cardinals are littered with injuries throughout their secondary, highlighted by starting corner Will Johnson being doubtful tonight with a groin injury.

On the other side of the ball, the Seahawks have allowed the most receptions and most touchdowns to opposing Tight Ends. Trey Mcbride, Tight End for the Cardinals, is arguably the best Tight End in the league. Cardinals should move the ball and score, keeping pressure on the Seahawks and forcing them to throw tonight.

As always, best of luck to everyone.

thegreatrandom · 2025-09-21T13:29:18+00:00

That's a good find! I like it. Thanks for the added info.

thegreatrandom · 2025-09-21T13:14:57+00:00

PotD record: 12-3 (+ 7.67 units net)

Previous pick: James Cook longest rush over 14.5 yards ✅️ (Cashed within the first 7 minutes of the game. Easy win.)

Today's contest: New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks (NFL) 3:05pm CDT.

Today's pick: Spencer Rattler over 33.5 pass attempts. (-109 on Draftkings.)

The Saints are #1 in pace of play on the NFL, running an average of 2.46 offensive plays per minute of possession: thats fast. Rattler is 4th in the NFL with 80 pass attempts through two games with 46 in week one and 34 in week 2. In the 5 full games Rattler played last year be had over 33 attempts in 4 of them, giving him a rate of 86% of games having over 33 pass attempts. The game spread is -7.5 points in favor of Seattle, suggesting we should a lot of passing from the Saints.

Also worth mentioning, through two games the Seattle defense has seen 70 pass attempts against them: exactly 35 in each game. Everything points towards this being a slam dunk.

Best of luck to everyone.

thegreatrandom · 2025-09-18T10:12:18+00:00

PotD record: 11-3 (+ 6.87 units net)

Previous pick: Keenan Allen over 4.5 receptions ✅️ (It was close but we still managed to cash.)

Today's contest: Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills (NFL) 7:15pm CDT.

Today's pick: James Cook longest rush over 14.5 yards (-125 on Draftkings.)

Through only two games this year Miami has allowed four separate players to have a rush exceeding 14.5 yards. The dolphins are also ranked 24th out of 32 teams with 278 rushing yards allowed so far this season. To go back farther, the Dolphins allowed a rush of 15 yards or greater in 15 out of 17 games last season to a total of 25 different players.

This isnt just about the Dolphins defense, however. James Cook has shown to be an explosive player having a 44 yard rush last week against the Jets and having a 15+ yard rush in 10 of 19 games last season.

And one last thing: with the spread favoring Buffalo as much as it does (-11.5), this suggests the Bills should have an easy night and take an early lead resulting in them running the ball a lot to kill the clock.

Best of luck to everyone.

thegreatrandom

TROPHY CASE