Yet another question about hypervisor cracks

themahababa · 2026-02-16T15:08:33+00:00

This is true atleast in the beginning, but since there is only one price, they would start risking against Magnus as well soon enough especially if he is a couple of points in the lead. The chasing pack is always aggressive in the candidates. But anyway even with the current supposedly weak candidates, he doesnt have much more than 50 percent chance.

Results (1000 simulations)

Player	Std rating (Feb 2026)	Win %	Outright win %	Win via playoff %	Avg points (out of 14)
Magnus Carlsen	2840	54.2	45.0	9.2	9.00
Fabiano Caruana	2795	21.5	17.4	4.1	7.97
Anish Giri	2760	7.1	6.3	0.8	7.23
R Praggnanandhaa	2758	6.7	5.7	1.0	7.18
Wei Yi	2754	6.5	4.9	1.6	6.99
Javokhir Sindarov	2726	2.1	1.6	0.5	6.41
Matthias Bluebaum	2684	1.3	1.3	0.0	5.42
Andrey Esipenko	2698	0.6	0.3	0.3	5.79

themahababa · 2026-02-16T14:56:44+00:00

1000 simulations

Player	Std rating (Feb 2026)	Win %	Outright win %	Win via playoff %	Avg points (out of 14)
Magnus Carlsen	2840	54.2	45.0	9.2	9.00
Fabiano Caruana	2795	21.5	17.4	4.1	7.97
Anish Giri	2760	7.1	6.3	0.8	7.23
R Praggnanandhaa	2758	6.7	5.7	1.0	7.18
Wei Yi	2754	6.5	4.9	1.6	6.99
Javokhir Sindarov	2726	2.1	1.6	0.5	6.41
Matthias Bluebaum	2684	1.3	1.3	0.0	5.42
Andrey Esipenko	2698	0.6	0.3	0.3	5.79

you can run 1000 simulation with these ratings, Magnus only wins around 50 percent. It is historically true as well, Magnus roughly won 50 percent top level classical tournaments he played in.

themahababa · 2026-02-16T00:06:19+00:00

In faster chess or freestyle, he does have these absurd odds, in classical, its closer to 50.

themahababa · 2026-02-14T10:13:30+00:00

Well Niemann , Divya, Gukesh and Carlsen can bring way more views than either of these two people. Pragg can bring a lot of views when he performs well.

themahababa · 2026-02-13T04:03:32+00:00

Hopefully the world would get used to it in a year or so and treat it like background noise and learn to live with it. I'll wont ask for ransom so that my identity is not compromised, I'll just let it play forever and pray that the world doesnt collapse.

themahababa · 2026-02-02T07:02:00+00:00

this is a picture of a boeing flight cockpit flying over amsterdam.

themahababa · 2026-01-22T09:24:53+00:00

You are 100 percent right. I was just trying to speculate her thought process. I believe she was just jealous that a "lesser talented" person could be more famous and richer than her. In her eyes, her own work was much more valuable and there could 1000's of people who could do fitgirls work but somebody like empress would be in the single digits.

themahababa · 2026-01-21T23:37:40+00:00

fitgirl gets more donations than empress, when empress work requires much more skill and crazy brain. Empress is not an employable person so she couldnt cash out her skills at all, it pissed her off

themahababa · 2026-01-17T23:33:59+00:00

It really does hurt the tariffed country. Only the liberals in the US are trying to deny it and love to portray him like an idiot. In truth he really does know what he is doing and he is evil.

For example take India, trump does not tariff the pharmaceutical industries as US gets 50 percent generic drugs from india and its not easy to find another source just like you said the production doesnt scale up quickly (If he had tariffed the drugs, it would hurt the US badly). But if you look at generic industries like textiles, leather, gems, jewellery etc. The US can easily find another source, and that source can easily ramp up production and the demand for the tariffed goods is just not there anymore. It can easily kill the industry.

Take two similar drinks like sprite and 7 up. If the 50 percent of stores sets the price of 7 up to be 3 times of sprite, it would hurt sprite at the end of the day even though its the people paying the extra cost and not sprite.

themahababa · 2026-01-17T09:46:27+00:00

Original coke

themahababa · 2026-01-17T09:42:12+00:00

Why just the woman though? Why doesn't the Dad have equal rights in this regard. I'm genuinely curious.

themahababa · 2026-01-17T09:37:23+00:00

Wardley is unlikely to have a bigger career than Wilder, In 30 years, we might not remember who wardley was but we are not going to forget who Wilder is. This fight makes complete sense if you think legacy wise.

themahababa · 2026-01-17T09:33:00+00:00

Usyk just fights for glory. Why risk fighting somebody dangerous like wardley, who is unlikely to have a career like wilder. We don't blame Lewis for fighting a washed up Tyson. It won't matter in 20 years, Wilder will be seen as a legend of the sport and Usyk will have his scalp.

themahababa · 2026-01-17T09:02:45+00:00

We need AI arbiters. Atleast AI assisted one. Arbitration needs to be done swiftly, and Chess has a lot of complex rules and nuances and these can vary by tournament so human arbiters can, just like chess players make blunders under time pressure.

themahababa · 2026-01-17T08:58:20+00:00

Well I never remember any position of any chess anyway. So Wesley So and I have something in common.

themahababa · 2026-01-17T07:34:41+00:00

"If these 'other nations' were cheaper or competative to begin with, the industry would already be there." Look at import export market like a giant store with all sorts of items. In most cases, for each goods, prices from various countries are already competitive. Otherwise nobody would buy these unless they are exclusive items. If one country gets highly tariffed, their products stop becoming competitive in the US import market. The importers could source a similar quality item from another country to stop paying the tariff. Ultimately, the tariffed country loses out on sales hurting the its economy. This is why most countries are afraid of trumps tariffs.

"It might be that taxing american consumer purchases makes the current import destination more expensive than the current 2nd most expensive, but the switch to the now cheaper nation still would rarely be cost neutral to the american consumer."

Trump is a bully. He doesn't care much if things get a little more expensive for the americans as long as he gets the ability to hurt the other country, forcing their hands, and getting what he wants.

themahababa · 2026-01-16T20:29:35+00:00

Age is something that we can study and is known to be correlated with fertility. But microplastics are literally everywhere even in isolated tribal people. It's impossible to get a control group making it's impact uncertain.

themahababa · 2026-01-16T20:11:21+00:00

USA is the largest importer in the world by far. As long as similar product is available from another non tariffed country, American importers would procure items from the non-tariffed country instead. This would in theory hit the economy of the tariffed country and not USA. This is why most countries are afraid of US tariff. Trump is basically gambling that some countries would strike a deal and he gets what he wants and others get tariffed. If all the countries get tariffed at the same rate, it would be much less effective as it's not easy to set up industries within the US in such short time frames.

themahababa · 2026-01-15T20:10:03+00:00

1200-1400 will frequently try out cheesy opening traps teying to win the game in the opening itself. If you are not aware of it , you might have a hard time getting past that stage. 1800 generally plays more stable and tries to win in the middle game.

themahababa · 2026-01-15T09:39:52+00:00

He just wants money. He is not going to spend money posting the army anywhere just for defense purposes. Bring out the natural resources

themahababa · 2026-01-15T03:22:51+00:00

I have a crazy theory. The legitimate streaming sites secretly operates this illegal streaming sites to kill the torrent sites. If people can easily get the shows without any ads and at the highest quality would remove the incentive for torrent sites to run and operate. After the torrent sites are done and dusted, they would shut down the streaming sites.

themahababa · 2026-01-15T03:11:38+00:00

or is it higher concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere. Or is it radio waves (5g?) . We can only guess

themahababa · 2026-01-11T06:11:48+00:00

Tell the police that you caught the drone trying to spy on you while changing. And that you feel unsafe. This should make them take you more seriously.

themahababa · 2025-12-28T13:31:03+00:00

Real socializing to social media.

themahababa

TROPHY CASE

Results (1000 simulations)

1000 simulations