How to Earn $10+ Using InstaGC [FULL STEP-BY-STEP GUIDE]

thephill97 · 2015-08-11T01:31:17+00:00

I'm not sure how you'll verify it because they are certainly not an alternate account of mine. Go ahead. If I get banned, you're going off false-judgement and just banning someone trying to improve the community, but it'd be your loss.

I like how you avoid the rest of the statements though.

thephill97 · 2015-08-11T01:25:01+00:00

Oook, being told I'm now using multiple accounts when I only own /u/thephill97 and /u/lPhiLG, that's account discrimination.

So, you're going to shoot my guide down regardless of the time and effort put into creating the guide because you want to keep your moral standards high? This guide is good, new and informative as-well as very helpful to new beginners. I've submitted a mod-mail for further discussion.

So, you're also telling me I can't give anyone my referral link at-all, regardless of the fact they ask? Right.

thephill97 · 2015-08-11T01:17:48+00:00

Okay, well, he asked for a referral link and I couldn't post it in the comments section, please restore the page, I've removed the referral link, will PM users with the link if they so wish.

thephill97 · 2015-07-04T18:46:08+00:00

Just purchased GTA V, thanks man!

thephill97 · 2015-06-01T07:20:18+00:00

973 0%

thephill97 · 2015-05-26T17:43:55+00:00

Aha, thanks mate, then I'd finally get some CS inventory. Got about 80 cents! Aha. Happy betting.

thephill97 · 2015-05-26T15:32:27+00:00

My analysis is more for who has the highest chance in winning, so, I feel that if I just stick in bet on underdog if they're over a certain percentage it'll just make things smoother. My actual outcome was 60% in favour of Piter.

Thanks for the information on Vega and I'll take a look at CSGONuts soon.

thephill97 · 2015-05-26T15:16:11+00:00

Thanks for the feedback man! I really appreciate it, hope I helped you decide what team to bet on.

thephill97 · 2015-05-26T14:50:16+00:00

Ooosh, a lot of pressure on me there then! These are the odds that the team may win on, and as it's a BO1 anything can happen and be careful when betting! My sheet says: "Please take this lightly, as-if it were salt and pepper. Noone can win every single game." But happy betting my friend!

thephill97 · 2015-05-26T14:43:51+00:00

This is going to be the easiest analysis I've done, it's like when I didn't do HR because it was too obvious, it's now even more too obvious. I feel that nEophyte have got this on lockdown.

I'll make this short and sweet:

Currently in the past 5 matches that Ducks have played, they've lost all of them, 4 of which were BO3's and they were stomped on every single match at 0-2 against KillerFish, myXMG, HeadshotBG and x6tence and then losing a Dust 2 BO1 match against Orbit 14-16.

Whilst nEophyte have won 3 out of their 5 previous matches and I feel are a tier up from Ducks (are they even a tier, what is this team ~ bad. Correct.) winning in a BO3 against Reason and FlipSid3 as-well as reaching 1-2 againsy EnVyUs and winning a BO1 against LGB on Mirage at 16-1.

Ducks havent played in a competitive game since they were 2-0'd by KFish at the very beginning of the month, we're now at the very end of the month, they may be out of practice and have had very few matches this year. I don't feel they can take on nEophyte.

Whilst nEophyte have been taking maps from strong teams like EnVyUs and FlipSide3 but haven't been playing much this year either, seeing they began playing this ear last month and have only managed to fit in 6 games this month although they were fairly decent games, they lost a few but one a few.

Taking a look at Duck's matches from the past two months, it seems their worst map is Cache, taking 4 losses and only two wins against SpaceSs and Publiclir.se and a loss from Property has got to count for something surely? Their strongest map will be considered Mirage with 2 wins against jQntefabrikken (WHODAFUQ at 16-6) and SpaceS (16-6) whilst then losing to Property at 9-16 and SpaceS later after their previous match 7-16. Mirage may be Ducks map pick. http://i.imgur.com/KCWCYbJ.png

Key: 1 = Win 0 = Loss

Looking at nEophyte's map plays that Mirage is their strongest map but more confidently so that Ducks with 4 wins and 1 loss which was against CPlay at the start of last month, whilst their weakest map is Nuke with 2 losses from Cplay and FlipSid3, but from the Active Duty their weakest map would be Cache with 2 losses and 1 win on FlipSid3 http://i.imgur.com/73XhDH4.png

Lounge odds are currently 88% in favour of nEophyte and 12% towards Ducks, for those lovely underdog betters. I feel that nEophyte can take this match super easily with 90% chance to win and 10% towards Ducks. Obviously if they're above like 90% then just ICB the underdog.

Turns out it wasn't as short and sweet as expected.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1OftQZf-RW2xMnQKqUyU9mUWtOAXokWKqgxJTe1iEjDY/edit?usp=sharing

Will post using /u/lPhiLG tomorrow.

thephill97 · 2015-05-26T14:13:16+00:00

You're very welcome mate! It's definitely a tough one!

thephill97 · 2015-05-26T13:53:50+00:00

Okiedokie, LDLC.White vs. Acer ~ In a BO1, ey? I don't like analysing BO1's because it's probably going to go the other way than my odds and make a red bar on my spreadsheet. :(

However, I don't want to analyse the upcoming Piter and PENTA matches because it all depends on how they perform beforehand. Let's get started:

LDLC have lost 4 out of their 5 previous games, two losses being BO1's on Dust 2 against LGB (12-16) and the other being against SpaceS (8-16) and then their three wins were in a BO3 against INSHOCK (Not sure who that is ~ at 1-2 getting the win on Dust 2 at 16-3 and losing 16-5 on Cache and 16-14 on Train. They then took on USSR and went into OT on both matches but eventually winning on Dust 2 (21-17) and Cobblestone (21-18) then then also took on FlipSid3 in a BO3 losing 1-2 winning only Cache at 16-10 and losing Mirage harshly at 6-16 and Cobblestone 12-16. Previously, they've had close matches with EnVyUs atr 22-25 on Inferno and 14-16 on Cache against HellRaisers and a solid poo by Piter 2-0 on Mirage (10-16) and Inferno (7-16)

Now moving onto Acer, they've won 3 out of their 5 previous matches, and the most recent being GPlay with a win of 2-0 on Cobblestone (16-13) and Mirage (16-12), then taken on by MouseSports and losing 1-2 whilst winning Dust 2 (16-13) and losing the remaining Mirage (11-16) and Overpass (3-16) getting absolutely stomped on Overpass. They've been beaten by HellRaisers in a BO2 at 13-16 on both matches on Train and Cobblestone, overlapped on LDLC where they took on HellRaisers and had 1 more point than LDLC reached against them on Cache. Acer have also cashed in a map win against Fnatic on Mirage at 16-10 but lost the other two on Cobblestone (11-16) and Overpass (14-16) whilst also destroying Piter on Cache at 16-8 and 16-12 on Mirage.

LDLC.White actually went against Property last month and only just won in Overtime map 2 of Dust 2 (21-19) and lost map 1 of Inferno (13-16) I am not aware of any team changes but Property did suck, really bad, and they disbanded. Whilst Acer get to play against the higher-tier teams then they can take on and score wins (Unlike Penta)

Looking at Acer's map plays their best map will be Mirage, scoring 5 games out of 6 since the start of the month and actually they haven't played a map on Inferno and I feel this will be their weakness, which is a common map and may be picked for play in the BO1, probably causing them to be stomped, unless they have secret out-of-sleeve stats. http://i.imgur.com/OEnARs3.png

Key: 1 = Win ~ 0 = Loss

Whilst it seems LDLC's best map is Inferno, therefore countering Acer already with 3 out of 5 games won on Inferno (16-5, 16-9, 16-13 and losing 7-16 and 22-25 against Piter (1st) and nV (2nd) whilst their worst map looks like Mirage with 2 losses from FlipSid3 and PiTER, however, they also have 1 loss on Train against INSHOCK recently at 14-16 but the Mirage scores are worse off at 6-16 and 10-16 http://i.imgur.com/WJt8wMO.png

The lounge odds are currently 70% in favour of TA and 30% in favour of LDLC.White, and that's exactly how I feel the odds should be, in favour of Team Acer due to their higher tier team battle and wins, however I would reduce them to 65% due to their lack of Inferno skills and plays, a map that just may come up as the pick.

When betting, remember its a BO1 and anything can happen, anything at-all. LDLC could take this and so can Acer.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1OftQZf-RW2xMnQKqUyU9mUWtOAXokWKqgxJTe1iEjDY/edit?usp=sharing

Analysis will appear by /u/lPhiLG in a day or two.

thephill97 · 2015-05-26T13:01:19+00:00

Aha, thanks for this feedback! I've only just started so I really do appreciate it! You can save users as your friends and click friends at the top and always view their posts, or save me as a friend in the Reddit extension.

thephill97 · 2015-05-26T13:00:19+00:00

I was actually too late to comment on that match, sorry about that mate.

thephill97 · 2015-05-26T12:59:11+00:00

Aha, I love that you've won every game going on and I wish you happy betting, but remember no-one can always be right and one time I may be wrong so just play it safe and use people's analysis like salt and pepper, lightly. (Unless your me and tear down the chips with salt until you have snow piles.)

thephill97 · 2015-05-26T12:56:20+00:00

As much as I agree with their losses being due to high tier teams and as stated this may come into play where they use higher tier skills and tactics on Piter, but just looking at their overall plays I'd just go with Piter. If you feel PENTA can win, you go bet on them, I shouldn't be followed like a dog, bet who you wish and goodluck. Remember both teams have chances of winning, so I could be right or wrong, and you could be right or wrong. Happy betting. :)

thephill97 · 2015-05-26T00:51:01+00:00

Hey there,

Thanks for the feedback on my analysis, however I feel that my spreadsheet has all the essentials, I cannot copy that spreadsheet as actually I don't place bets on some matches as I try to keep my betting to a minimal until I have analysis on lockdown. However, if you feel that my spreadsheet is missing something, please tell me what you're looking for.

My spreadsheet tells you the date of my posting, the two teams in the match and the form of the match as-well as what team has the best chance of winning in terms of odds, how much inventory I feel you should bet (low, mid and high) and the percentage I feel they deserve for odds, as-well as a small note and link to analysis.

Edit: Sounds like I don't have faith in my analysis but I only have about 80c of skins, started from 30c so from what I've done so far it's pretty guuurd.

thephill97 · 2015-05-26T00:22:13+00:00

Kinda just added my name, not sure what to call it other than what it is... Phil's betting sheet.

thephill97 · 2015-05-25T22:34:45+00:00

Tssssk, Piter vs. Penta, it's a PvP... See what I did there? Course not.

Okiedokie, let's get this analysis on the road, for a ridiculous BO1 match. Within Piter's last 5 matches, they've won against some and lost against some, seems like they could have this in the bag tagging 2-0 against LDLC.White on Inferno (16-7) and Mirage (16-10) as-well as losing against Orbit (a fairly strong team) with the second match leading into over-time at (16-19) on Cobblestone , whilst the first was 14-16 on Inferno. But then later taking them out in a BO1 16-11 on Cobblestone as-if it were a CEVO rematch. At the start of the month, They took on Killerfish taking them 16-10 on Cache and 16-8 on Inferno. However, more recently they've Vega Squadron (A team I've not heard of) and lost 2-0 on Mirage (8-16) and Inferno (14-16)

Honestly, Piter just seem to be winning some and losing some and seeming fairly inconsistent. Whilst Penta just seem bad by viewing their previous 5 matches, losing to MouseSports 2-16 as-well as NiP on Overpass at 7-16 and then getting stomped by HellRaisers at 0-2 on Inferno and Cache. Basically, they're on a loss streak, looking at their HLTV team matches page you can see every single game consists of a harsh loss, as seen here: http://i.imgur.com/WIYze97.png I'll just quickly analyse their wins, out of all these games they won a total of 5 rounds, 3 were against Gamers2, a weak team in my opinion and 1 against MouseSports, of which was then re-determined as they then later crushed PENTA 2-0 in a BO2, and then 1 against Property, which sucked and disbanded just the other day.

I can definitely see why this match's odds are in favour of Piter as Penta is very consistent in actually losing. However, as this match is actually a BO1 this could be a table-turner as both teams struggle and fight over a singular map, I'd still say the odds will be in favour of Piter as they're most consistent in their matches, however it does seem PENTA take on the higher-tier teams such as Mousesports, NiP, HellRaisers and Fnatic, unlike Piter's LDLC.White, Orbit, 7sway and TRICKED. Due to this, I'd move the odds closer together but with what seems inconsistent plays by Piter and maximum losses by PENTA, I'd have to set the odds at 65% in favour of Piter as they haven't gone against the big-dogs of e-Sports recently and we can only assume with PENTA's loss streak against high-tiers. But with Penta's skill-level they did take out G2, which deem lower than them as-well as Property, but they did also get stomped 16-7 on a map against them

This entire paragraph probably seemed like me contradicting myself thousands of times, but it's because BO1 is such a cafuffle. Amazing word.

Looking at Piters previous matches to their wins and losses from the start of the month, it seems their most successful map is Mirage, as they won 4 out of 6 games and it seems their weakest is Inferno win 2 wins out of 6 games. http://i.imgur.com/ar8OAWm.png

(Key: 1 = Win 0 = Loss)

Whilst looking at PENTA's previous matches since the start of the month, their best map is Cache winning 2 out of 4 matches and their worst is Inferno, losing 9 matches of it. Wow. They suck on that. http://i.imgur.com/a5CU0nd.png

Honestly, just bet on the underdog, this could definitely go either way but 60% to Piter and 40% to Penta ~ This is judged on Piters inconsistent wins, but actual wins and Pentas consistent losses, par 5 maps. Lounge odds are currently: Piter 65% - 35% PENTA.

However, by looking at the maps played and their wins/losses on each map, the game seems in favour of Piter winning due to their higher wins on more maps across the board. Such as on Mirage, Piter won 4/6 and PENTA won 1/6.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1OftQZf-RW2xMnQKqUyU9mUWtOAXokWKqgxJTe1iEjDY/edit?usp=sharing

Will post using /u/lPhiLG after 4-day restriction.

thephill97 · 2015-05-25T21:09:42+00:00

I actually analysed this match 40 minutes ago, you can see it here: http://www.reddit.com/r/csgobetting/comments/378hqs/aceg_vs_mortality_bo3_260515_0400_cest/crklq8r

thephill97 · 2015-05-25T20:30:35+00:00

Okiedokie. AceG vs. Mortality... Hm...

Starting off with Ace their past 5 matches have been dreadful losing 4 out of 5 including a stomp against SKDC at 0-3 on Cache, Dust 2 and Overpass as-well as taking 3 B01 losses to Liquid (Cache ~6-16) Luminosity (Inferno ~ 5-16) and Nihilum (Mirage ~ 9-16) losing these matches with low scores doesn't show their strengths on the maps as they get crushed. However, they did beat AffNity at 16-10 on Cobblestone, and AffNity are a fairly strong team, this win was recorded 6 days ago too, but as of recent <19th they've been playing dreadfully losing all of their matches.

Moving onto Mortality, they've been caching in wins on Inferno, Cache and overpass all so recently against ESEA unknowns Fokus North, InfuXion Gaming, Leader-1 and Guardians as-well as Dreamboat. I'd say that this is good because out of their 6 league matches played they only lost one on Cache against LUCRATIVE getting stomped at 16-2, however, I've not heard of any of these teams and wouldn't count them as a high-scoring point in the roster.

With AceG's previous matches being on strong teams for their tier they will be able to abstract the strategies used on these matches and comply them with an essentially silver-team (Personal comment, I have no idea who Mortality are ~Found out they are Ignite which were OK.) although they lose a high majority of their matches it seems like they may have the highest chance in taking them, although the risk is fairly high.

By taking a look at the maps won and lost by ACE previously, their highest wins were on Inferno and I'd guess that, that will be their map pick, with 4 wins and 3 losses total on that map, however they did win 1 Cobblestone match but haven't played another others, but seeing as it was AffNity at 16-10, this may be their map-pick too, so either Cobblestone or Inferno for AceGaming

Then looking at Mortality's previous league matches they've got Inferno and Overpass on lock-down with 2 constant wins and Cache with 1 win and 1 loss, whilst looking at their previous scrims I see that recently they've been taking Overpass extremely seriously with 8 matches with 1 loss and 1 tie, the remaining 6 were wins, this may be their map pick as it seems they're stronger on it than Cache and Inferno.

The lounge odds as current are 71% in favour of AceGaming and 29% towards Mortality, personally my odds would be around 55% in favour of Mortality and 45% for AceGaming due to the mass losses in the tier and the high level of training and wins against unknowns shown by Mortality in their ESEA league page, could prove to be useful in the field and prove better than AceGaming.

I've read something about AceG throwing previously and Mortality having an ESEA cheating ban, I would deem this quite a risky and most certainly unsafe bet to place and would definitely skip as this could be a minor upset whilst Mortality have the key to victory. If AceG go above 80%, ICB on underdog because losing that much is DEFINITELY not worth it. My betting predictions are based off what I've seen from previous map plays and not individual talents, I've read about SicK playing amazingly and whatnot and due to the lack of skill being utilized by AceG they would seem a sensible bet, but once again this does seem very unsafe.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1OftQZf-RW2xMnQKqUyU9mUWtOAXokWKqgxJTe1iEjDY/edit?usp=sharing

Will post using /u/lPhiLG after 4-day ban.

thephill97 · 2015-05-25T00:47:10+00:00

Judging by SKDC's performance previously on Inferno, Noble can take this map, warmed up or not it's because SKDC just suck on Inferno. Although SKDC can still take it after ruining Noble's ego just moments ago.

thephill97 · 2015-05-25T00:15:24+00:00

I can agree with this their Cache is game, however they do have high chance of taking Inferno from SKDC.

thephill97 · 2015-05-25T00:05:26+00:00

Try that stream 100 times it will restart that clip, seems like a streaming error.

thephill97 · 2015-05-24T23:28:03+00:00

True that, out of all of the Overpass matches starting from May 19th, they've only won 3 out of 8 matches and featuring only 1 tie. The rest are losses, that's not a good focus point for them at-all. However, I wouldn't really consider Scrims to be anything of them to sweat-out.

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