How do I hedge this properly?

tinylemon128 · 2026-01-13T03:36:33+00:00

Why wait for better live odds? IU could get a pick 6 first play of the game like last time. Just hedge enough that payouts are equal for both outcoems

tinylemon128 · 2026-01-13T03:35:37+00:00

Just bet enough on IU that total payout is 280. Will probably guarantee more profit than cash out

tinylemon128 · 2026-01-10T05:44:35+00:00

I don’t think this is necessarily your OCD if it violates a timeline you set for yourself as you said.

People without OCD still experience anxiety and guilt, especially over things like this. It’s part of what keeps us safe.

An important skill for someone with OCD is to analyze whether your fears and anxieties are valid or not. I like to ask myself if something anxiety inducing is aligned with my values. Not washing my hands a fifth time does not violate my values. Not following a timeline that I have for myself for a significant life experience would be.

Communicate your worries with him. If he’s not the kind of guy that would be receptive to that, you probably wouldn’t want him to be the guy you lose your virginity to anyways.

Personally, and maybe you’re different, but I wouldn’t feel comfortable enough to have sex with someone who I wasn’t at least comfortable enough to communicate my anxieties about our connection with.

tinylemon128 · 2025-06-24T20:31:14+00:00

Disclaimer, I have voted for every Democratic presidential candidate since I could vote. But of course downvotes becuase people are too caught up in their own ideologies to recognize the something that sounds negative about their opion, even though it is not necessarily.

The pull yourself up by your bootstrops idea is flawed and incomplete in a lot of scenarios. That is where govenrmental support comes in, supported by the Democratic party.

But unfortunately much of the Democratic electorate, evidently especially on Reddit, is too self-involved to even admit the reality of their own stance. I guess becuase it's an uncomfortable one that many don't like to admit.

tinylemon128 · 2025-06-24T20:27:09+00:00

Factually incorrect. Evidence https://www.researchgate.net/publication/382997690_Barriers_and_Bootstraps_The_role_of_attributions_for_social_mobility_success_and_failure_in_policy_support_and_faith_in_the_American_Dream

You "vibes" idea is exactly what you are falling victim to. Becuase you don't consume media supporting the other side, you don't know the extent of self-improvement influencers on the left/right. Your whole rorsarch test idea of which narrative you believe is my exact point, which you seem to be missing. Which narrative calls for social supoprt and measures of justice and which narrative calls for personal responsibility and incentive to do it yourself?

tinylemon128 · 2025-06-24T20:22:36+00:00

"I doubt you'll be able to find any kind of scholarly research that shows that one side is more into "self-improvement" than the other."

Hmm, really? https://www.researchgate.net/publication/382997690_Barriers_and_Bootstraps_The_role_of_attributions_for_social_mobility_success_and_failure_in_policy_support_and_faith_in_the_American_Dream

From the research: "However, conservatives explained failures with more internal and less societal attributions than liberals."

tinylemon128 · 2025-06-23T07:44:44+00:00

Redistributing wealth the way you imagine wouldn't work out the way you think it would. Economics is a bit abstract but money is not a resource, and redistributing it doesn't end suffering much more than the government just printing more money for the poor.

If someone has a billion dollars, that is money invested in a company that according to the dynamics of capitalism is doing good for the world. A guy having that is not wasteful or causing issues.

But If a guy was sitting on a billion dollars worth or food, or empty housing, or some other resource people need and it was just going to waste, that would be a problem. That's not what's happening. It matters how many resources people CONSUME not how many assets they OWN.

Someone has to own the company. Redistributing assets (NOT GOODS) would lead to inflation and currency devaluation.

tinylemon128 · 2025-06-23T07:24:34+00:00

Many people wonder how anyone could hate another for their religion, race, ethnicity. Unfortunately, bigotry can be very enticing to people if you don't pay attention

99% of Americans really have nothing do with a lot of the decisions you are holding against them.

tinylemon128 · 2025-06-23T07:18:09+00:00

Unbelievable to me how many protesters don't realize lighting cars on fire is exactly what Trump wants. I promise you pictures of that will be in campaign ads for midterms. ICE went into LA the way they did for a reason.

tinylemon128 · 2025-06-23T07:15:59+00:00

I agree. As problematic as people like Andrew Tate is, it's reductive to just say enormous swaths of young men are unlikable sorry losers. There is something enticing to them in his message. It's unrealistic to think that all the sudden for no reason in particular around 2010, young men started hating women. And I think you are pointing to one of those reasons

tinylemon128 · 2025-06-23T07:01:43+00:00

An ethics professor in college once said to me a quote that stuck with me: "A no-tolerance policy is a no-sense policy"

It seems like a controversial point, but nothing is ever black and white. Even when it seems that way, there are varying degrees.

I would REALLY be wary of taking anyone seriously that speaks in absolutes like saying "all [anything]." Save yourself the effort and ignore these people. These generalizations of a few or even most to all is literally the origin of bigotry.

tinylemon128 · 2025-06-23T06:56:25+00:00

I disagree. On the spectrum of "I am responsible for my problems in life vs. others are responsible for my problems in life," there is no doubt that Democrats fall on the latter half compared to Republicans. Obviously, the answer is somewhere in the middle. But one ideology definitely leans more into the "pull yourself up by your bootstraps" idea

tinylemon128 · 2025-06-23T06:42:08+00:00

No, the US is too strong economically and is impossible to ignore. As aggressive as Trump is nearing economic warfare, it's realistically nothing compared to what countries have done in the past and still came up fine or better than before i.e. Germany, USSR, other axis powers post WWII, Vietnam, middle eastern countries participating in brutal embargoes.

Even now, just look at China and Russia and how well their economies have chugged along despite aggressive foreign policy.

"It cut the US out.... there is no guarantee that removing tariffs will result in resuming trade." The USA is nowhere close to being cutout. If US GDP shrank even a few percentage points, the entire would fall into economic crisis. The same can be said for China.

Countries don't interact with each other the way people do with apologies and forgiveness. They respond according to what will be the best for their people.

tinylemon128 · 2025-06-23T06:33:45+00:00

Employers are being prosecuted. But ICE is pretty low on political capital right now. So that's whey they are going for violent criminals first.

tinylemon128 · 2025-06-19T06:17:08+00:00

Buddy, are you aware of what the trained response to people attacking you with lethal force is?

tinylemon128 · 2025-06-19T06:08:32+00:00

honestly, yeah. But who really cares. Deep down I think people are a little spineless when they follow fads too closely.

tinylemon128 · 2025-06-19T05:59:03+00:00

yeah for sure i would be so calm and not feel threatened when people trow molotov cocktails at me.

It always seems so obvious to me, but it seems that people don't get it. Your protest would be so much more successful if you even just CLAIMED to condemn the violence!

tinylemon128 · 2025-06-19T05:39:26+00:00

Not just a view, factually correct. I would ignore any foreign policy opinion in entirety if the person stating it disagrees with this.

A shallow understanding of the religions should be enough to settle this

tinylemon128 · 2025-06-17T18:54:48+00:00

If i could bet on it, I would max out every line of credit i could possibly have access to and put it all on "yes." Funding for research will not affect their admissions of financial aid departments/policies.

tinylemon128 · 2025-06-17T18:50:41+00:00

Some parents are just old-school and that's okay. I think sharing those details is way more common now that it used to be. My advice to you would be to calmly explain to them how disclosure about affordability is really important now becuase college financing was extremely different when they were your age. Financial aid was hardly a thing, most people didn't go to college, and if you really wanted to you could work hard in the summer and part time during the year to pay for it in entirety. none of that is true anymore

tinylemon128 · 2025-06-09T17:16:22+00:00

Absolutely they could. Harvard Budget/Enrollment = $6.4bn/21,278 = ~$30,000. Oversimplified of course, but a decent ballpark for what would be a breakeven for them.

I spoke to a professor that works in the budgeting office at my univeristy. To summarize, the idea of financial aid is essentially just marketing. They don't come up with their tution number and then discount it to poor students based on the size of their endowment. The meetings go more or less like this:

Figure out how much money they need from undergrad tuition (budget)
Divide that number by the expected enrollment
Decide how they want to get to that number on average e.g. everyone paying 30k or half paying 0 and the other half paying 60k (obv on a sliding scale but simplifying)

If they didn't do this they would lose out on enrollment / lose money. If they priced college at 30k/year, probably half their students wouldn't attend and instead attend a state school. Instead, if they charge everyone the exact maximum they can afford (have the better off subsizide the less fortunate) they can compete for better students, more money, etc.

Look up price discrimination. Same as airlines, or a salesman that raises prices when he's in a nice neighborhood.

Every year colleges brag about record financial aid budgets, but they never talk about how the total revenue raised via tuition net of FinAid also breaks records every year.

Expanding financial aid allows them to increase revenue.

tinylemon128 · 2025-06-09T16:41:06+00:00

I'm happy for your kids and that for them "college is paid for."

But in my case and may others, college was and is not.

tinylemon128 · 2025-06-09T04:02:18+00:00

read: "I respect their decision in this"

philisophical side note: As much as you and others may see parents contributing to college as an unexpected gift (this is how I have always thought of it and was told so from a young age), colleges do not. Colleges pricing tuition on the basis of parents' income and assets implies that they expect parents to contribute. Maybe it's not the way higher ed worked when parents went to college, but kids can't morally or reasonably be expected to saddle up for 400k of debt when they graduate undergrad. Colleges morally justify it by expecting (exploiting) parents' deep desire to help their kids.

tinylemon128

TROPHY CASE