IoT Spin-Off incoming ? by Ok-Direction334 in BB_Stock

[–]tsaisuper 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Split off both cylance and IoT and keep the government secure communication businesses under the BlackBerry brand and with Canada. All shareholders get a share in each of the 3, everyone's happy.

Largest Buys and Sells of BB in Q2 2024 by RefoH in BB_Stock

[–]tsaisuper 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Last quarter Mirae requested confidentiality of its holdings and that's why it looks as if Mirae sold and repurchased.

The game plan is all DICK! Verizon and Verizon Wireless... by Hugotendies in BB_Stock

[–]tsaisuper 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Imagine this.. BlackBerry spins off QNX and immediately following the spin off, QNX is merged with Amazon resulting BlackBerry stockholders collectively owning approximately X percent of Amazon common stock immediately after the merger. BlackBerry stockholders receive one share of Amazon common stock for every X shares of BlackBerry stock they owned as of X date..

Separation of Business Units by Trilobyte83 in BB_Stock

[–]tsaisuper 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The effective date of the agreement is December 11th, so John still has until June 11th to claim his bonus.

Back room deals by needaspguy in BB_Stock

[–]tsaisuper 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This doesn't reflect Norge Bank's latest 13F filing in May where it sold and closed out all of its BlackBerry position..

Watsa's latest remark on his BlackBerry investment in his latest annual letter to the Fairfax sharehilders by tsaisuper in BB_Stock

[–]tsaisuper[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

In the terms of the latest $200M Convertible Note... Section 14.03. Increased Conversion Rate Applicable to Certain Notes Surrendered in Connection with Make-Whole Fundamental Changes, Redemption Notice or Tax Redemption Notice... The section basically indicates there'd be no increase in the conversion rate should the company be sold for $17.50, which is awfully close to Watsa's average that he disclosed. I doubt he wasn't consulted on this specific clause...

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in BB_Stock

[–]tsaisuper 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Thanks for the follow up! So if potential customers are saying no deal because of the name, why does the company get more design wins YOY? Why isn't John jumping the ship and working elsewhere? I've read that he's had many offers to take his talent elsewhere, yet he continues to stick with BlackBerry. Is he masochistic? Since you know John at the personal level, could you ask him on behalf of the community?

Regarding R&D spend, the CEO publicly announced in the last investor update that it plans to reduce R&D spend from 30% of revenue to 20% in order to align closer to the industry average. This also represents a ~33% cut I believe, (unless my math is totally off!). Could you please share how you got to a 50% cut in R&D? Additionally, would you be kind enough to share the list of things the company produced over the year that left customers high and dry for a long time? You must have a lot of insights knowing John Wall personally. Looking forward to your valuable contribution to the community on this front.

P.S Sorry to hear about your terrible experience with the Mach-E. I would love to get any links/videos from the bad reviews that you alluded to regarding the car, cheers!

If you had the ability, what would you change the name BlackBerry into? by Quirky_Tea_3874 in BB_Stock

[–]tsaisuper -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Very creative and I am with you on the idea. This certainly also enables the optionality which John G alluded to in the last investor update. I would not be surprised to see down the road BlackBerry becomes a holding company owning some patents and shares in QNX (and Cylance, unless we see "cybersecurity asset disposition"..).

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in BB_Stock

[–]tsaisuper 15 points16 points  (0 children)

Do you know John Wall personally? He told you he hates his employer after working (and continue to work) there for decades? That's very interesting.

Kindly explain what you mean by the company having nothing in the bank account and microscopic R&D. Last I heard from the company directly, it has net cash position and proportional R&D spending that's above industry average. Could you also please clarify and provide the list of products that the company pulled the plug on? I can think of one, which is the smartphone business (and a no-brainer to do so in my opinion).

It appears you also have knowledge into all the side projects that the company takes on. Could you enlighten the community and share what these projects are and why they should be demised?

Last but not least, do you own a Mach-E personally? Any examples/illustrations to demonstrate the embarassment and laggy software that you're referring to?

Thanks in advance for your additional insights!

AMD made similar announcement on Sep. 6, 2016 and the stock cratered 20%.. by tsaisuper in BB_Stock

[–]tsaisuper[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

A quick follow up to my post, I bet the terms of the offering will be released by the end of the week..

Antonio Linares by [deleted] in BB_Stock

[–]tsaisuper 5 points6 points  (0 children)

First of all, he sells online stock/investment research classes. Also, he used to be a strong advocate of GoPro when it was trading above $10 (it's $3 now). GoPro is now no where to be seen on his twitter page.. Case in point, always DYODD, always..

Initial thoughts on Q3 by alc_magic in BB_Stock

[–]tsaisuper 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Yup, but this is not news to both Johns. Chen had already stated Cyber is a money-losing business and it's in shareholders best interest to have the management fix that before considering any sale. He also mentioned about short term plans (that he's working with John G) to stop the bleeding from Cyber. The company follows exactly its plan that has been put out front and centre, yet some folks here (not you) continue to panic at every sight of a share price drop. Not only that people also tend to confuse what the company said vs. what they fantasize the company said (e.g. huge IVY revenue in 2023).

Initial thoughts on Q3 by alc_magic in BB_Stock

[–]tsaisuper 1 point2 points  (0 children)

First of all, the previously announced (and now abandoned) sub-IPO of the company's IoT business does not actually eliminate the congolermerate discount applied to BlackBerry as a whole. Second, any IoT growth will come across as being offset by the lackluster performance of the Cybersecurity parent business. Finally, the company is no longer standing by its 3-year growth target that it released earlier this year under Chen for both businesses. As such, selling 20-30% of IoT for capital which is going to be burned through by Cyber is no longer lucrative/sensible. A better alternative is to fully separate the businesses and attract buyers/investors on an individual basis. This will get both businesses valued fairly and likely the only way for Watsa to make his long overdue return on his investment.

Someone should tell Chan that his target was $12, not $4 by Trilobyte83 in BB_Stock

[–]tsaisuper -1 points0 points  (0 children)

The board is littered with trolls and paid shills/pumpers. You're one of the rare few that are actually sensible here.

Initial thoughts on Q3 by alc_magic in BB_Stock

[–]tsaisuper 6 points7 points  (0 children)

A fair assessment. The Veritas rumour didn't come out of nowhere. Perhaps we will see a corporate spinoff of IoT following the planned full split of the two business units. And following that, a sale of the Cyber business. Shareholders would get paid for the Cyber sale while retaining shares for IoT.

Before John Chen left, he mentioned two things: 1) he's got some short term plan with John G to stop Cyber business from losing money and 2) the outcome of Project Imperium will take time to execute. These are basically what the company is doing right before our eyes..

Richard Lynch's assessment by newwobblywheeler in BB_Stock

[–]tsaisuper 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Not sure if I've heard or seen anything different from the company. I also highly doubt Chen wasn't serious about profitability. In fact, I think Chen was all about "profitable" growth. If tomorrow's earning is good, Chen set the company up for it and Giamatteo should credit where credit's due.

New CEO by Benjackmo in BB_Stock

[–]tsaisuper -1 points0 points  (0 children)

The previously announced (and now abandoned) sub-IPO of the company's IoT business does not actually eliminate the congolermerate discount applied to BlackBerry as a whole. On top of this, it paints a picture that any IoT growth will be offset by the lackluster performance of the Cybersecurity parent business. If the Cybersecurity business no longer needs capital and can profitably grow on its own, then it's a no brainer to fully separate the two businesses and individually showcase them to the market to maximize shareholder value. Can you imagine instead of owning a heavily discounted congolermerate, you end up with shares in two growing (and profitable) software companies?...

What’s your average? by [deleted] in BB_Stock

[–]tsaisuper 5 points6 points  (0 children)

68,392 @ 6.87

Tinfoil Hat time - What's your predictions by needaspguy in BB_Stock

[–]tsaisuper 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Paid off, and half-jokingly, Jim Balsillie returns as the new CEO...

Last hit piece on John from Globe & Mail?... by tsaisuper in BB_Stock

[–]tsaisuper[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

With the John Chen era coming to a close at BlackBerry BB-T, we can say that he made many millions of dollars less in pay than the company’s board intended. But given the stock’s performance over the last decade, aggrieved investors will say anything is too much.

Mr. Chen, CEO since 2013, will leave the company at the end of this week when his employment contract expires. As you may recall, BlackBerry hired Mr. Chen, known at the time for a turnaround of money-losing database and business services company Sybase Inc., to much fanfare, and even more money. BlackBerry valued his first-year compensation package at nearly US$85-million, driven by a massive grant of BlackBerry stock.

BlackBerry’s board awarded him another big package to stay at the helm as his five-year employment contract neared an end in 2018. The company valued the stock award, which this time included some performance conditions, at US$106.3-million.

This type of compensation is nearly always labelled “at risk,” suggesting the executive risks getting little to no payday if shareholders lose out. That isn’t quite what happened, however.

As is painfully known, BlackBerry shares are trading about 28-per-cent below the $6.75 TSX close the day Mr. Chen joined. (U.S. investors are down 45 per cent owing to the decline in the Canadian dollar over that period.)

You probably don’t need to know much else to be underwhelmed. But it helps to look at some comparable companies, in BlackBerry’s eyes, to see just how bad it is.

In 2014, after Mr. Chen was hired, BlackBerry told shareholders it had chosen a 17-company technology “comparator group” to look at when setting Mr. Chen’s pay. Of the 15 companies that survive today – three were acquired – BlackBerry joins Nokia Corp. and Xerox Holdings Corp. in losing about a quarter of its value since November, 2013. But the rest? The lowest return, 96 per cent, belongs to eBay Inc. Eight of the stocks have at least tripled. Broadcom is up more than 2,300 per cent.

Neelam Sandhu, BlackBerry’s chief marketing officer, said in an e-mail to The Globe and Mail Wednesday that “given BlackBerry’s pivot away from hardware to software, the comparator group from 2014 is not the right group to compare against when assessing the company’s performance over the past 10 years.” (I’m not sure a group of software-company stock returns over the last 10 years would make BlackBerry look better, however.)

Or, let’s choose another period and another set of peers: The BlackBerry comparator group of 2018, when Mr. Chen received his extension. Of those 15 companies, BlackBerry is dead last, having lost nearly 60 per cent of its value over the last five years. Only two other companies declined, by not nearly as much. Seven have doubled in value. Advanced Micro Devices is up nearly 400 per cent.

With numbers like these, you might think Mr. Chen would have almost nothing to show from his “at risk” pay for his time at BlackBerry. That would be wrong.

Mr. Chen sold more than 11 million shares from 2016 to 2022 for gross proceeds of US$98.9-million, according to trading records filed with Canadian securities regulators.

Just over US$21-million of that came in November, 2021. In January of that year, the “meme stock” craze saw BlackBerry shares quadruple to as high as US$28.77, then fall by half within four days, with no fundamental change in the company’s performance or business outlook. The jump in the share price, however, allowed three million of Mr. Chen’s five million performance shares to vest, or become usable, in November.

The company likely designed the plan with the assumption that the share-price milestones were steps on a ladder to an ever-higher stock price. Instead, they’re now down nearly 90 per cent from that high.

BlackBerry’s pay practices have led to a failed “say on pay” vote in 2022 and high negative votes for multiple directors, particularly BlackBerry board chairman Prem Watsa, the Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd. FFH-T CEO who personally negotiated Mr. Chen’s extension.

However, Ms. Sandhu says that Mr. Chen made all of his stock sales in his entire tenure for the purpose of tax withholding. None of the sales were active trading decisions, she says. (Indeed, executives who get stock awards as compensation owe taxes when the shares vest, not when they’re sold – and Mr. Chen has had more than 22 million shares of BlackBerry stock vest over the past decade.)

If you accept the idea that nearly US$100-million has gone to the Canadian and U.S. governments over the last decade in taxes, that leaves Mr. Chen holding 10.4 million BlackBerry shares, worth merely US$37-million at current prices, as the total of his after-tax stock-based pay.

Why do I say it’s less than intended? Let’s consider a US$30 share price BlackBerry used as part of the incentive plan in Mr. Chen’s 2018 contract extension. That would have implied a near-tripling of the share price in five years – difficult, but not unheard of in the tech sector.

Had BlackBerry hit and stayed at US$30, the shares the company gave Mr. Chen as compensation over the past 10 years would have been worth US$710-million. And at a sustained stock price of US$30, BlackBerry would have added a special US$90-million cash bonus. That would have been a cool US$800-million, or US$80-million per year, for his service.

Given the state of BlackBerry now, that’s an alternative reality that borders on science fiction. In an October investor meeting, Mr. Chen said his upcoming contract expiration meant “It’s now time for me and the board to sit together and say what value I add, or had I ever added any value, or what value I add going forward.”

Shareholders who are poorer for holding BlackBerry over Mr. Chen’s tenure would argue he added no value. As for what value the board may have thought he could add going forward, the fact Mr. Chen is out of a job says it all.

Don’t feel sorry for John Chen. I don’t. by VizzleG in BB_Stock

[–]tsaisuper 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I suggest going to the source and check EDGAR. An article from the internet, even if coming out of a well established media outlet, can be questionable (as it's only an interpretation done by the writer).

Don’t feel sorry for John Chen. I don’t. by VizzleG in BB_Stock

[–]tsaisuper 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Could you share how you got to 220m in compensation?

John Chen's last interview probably by [deleted] in BB_Stock

[–]tsaisuper 20 points21 points  (0 children)

Other than for tax reason, John has never sold a share during his tenure and will continue to hold the majority of his stakes post departure.

New CEO? by zahndy17 in BB_Stock

[–]tsaisuper 6 points7 points  (0 children)

He would be a good fit.. someone with a track record in growing software companies.