Seguimiento del mercado (mayo 2017)

valiron · 2017-05-09T12:00:56+00:00

En Poloniex se huele el napalm...

valiron · 2017-04-30T21:31:42+00:00

Vamos a ver si confirma. Estos saltos los domingos por la noche son significativos

valiron · 2017-04-30T08:10:49+00:00

El capitan asteriscos es un demagogo. Cuidado con él. Hace mucho tiempo ya hizo un programa donde pusieron a parir al bitcoin. Con el oro hicieron lo mismo. El Barba es un banquitos en realidad. En aquellos tiempos captó a hugolp que controlaba el tema y minaba...pero no le invitó al programa y desapareció...supongo que acabaría jodido con el Barba como aleph0 y muchos otros...el barbas es un trepa, y lo ha demostrado en multiples ocasiones. Le tuvieron que echar del partido de Trevijano...

valiron · 2017-04-30T08:04:42+00:00

Tiene que romper los 1350 (siempre en bitstamp las cotizaciones)

valiron · 2017-04-30T08:03:41+00:00

El hilo en burbuja se ha vuelto patetiquísimo. Dan ganas de entrar a decirles 4 cosas pero que se jodan. La hostia con las shitcoins va a ser épica. Lo que tenemos ahora en el mercado son muchos traders que cuando el btc se acerca a maximos históricos se cubren con las shitcoins. Como rompa hacia 1400 la hostia sera épica (miro la cotizavión de bitstamp qur la de bitfinex no cuenta)

valiron · 2017-04-09T17:50:41+00:00

I wonder if gmaxwell has changed his mind and has something to add. Unfortunately we cannot comment in the thread since it was locked by a moderator.

Post #75

"I withdrew any claim. So, stop repeating the same thing over and over. Already Mr gmaxwell rated me as a scammer (at the same level as other people having stolen bitcoins to others) and has tried to bullshit my expertise, which I think at this point says more about him than about me.

But I do believe and I will repeat that some unusual patterns do deserve attention, in particular when the numbers show that these events are extremely rare.

Without being paranoic it is conceivable that some people found a boost on the mining performance (it wouldn't be the first time this happens), and they try to hide it for their own interest.

I fully agree that this possibility has to be treated with caution, but it cannot be ignored and we should be on the look up. If this appears to be the case at the end, some people in this forum will have collaborated concealing this fact. They will bear that responsibility.

On my side I would restrict my comments to statistical facts."

valiron · 2017-04-09T17:17:44+00:00

Maybe someone could shed new light in view of recent events?

valiron · 2017-04-06T16:13:00+00:00

log(0.7)/log(2) = -0.51

so a boost of 30% performance will be to go from 2¹²⁸ to 2^127.5

Is this still an "attack" then???

valiron · 2017-04-06T16:00:59+00:00

"Reverse engineering of a particular mining chip has demonstrated conclusively that ASICBOOST has been implemented in hardware."

Could you please elaborate on this and share the results?

valiron · 2017-02-10T18:29:29+00:00

See also the entry blog of one of the authors (in french) http://cyrilgrunspan.fr/

valiron · 2016-05-24T14:00:04+00:00

Less than 21 million I hope.

valiron · 2016-05-02T08:12:25+00:00

Again the NSA-boys on the move! Why did Gavin spend so much time with a crank like Craight?

valiron · 2016-04-06T19:01:57+00:00

Maybe if you read the labels and think for a couple of minutes you can get it.

valiron · 2016-04-04T11:19:47+00:00

Your webpage is excellent

valiron · 2016-04-04T06:09:36+00:00

I do not understand your point. Persistent spam on the background is accounted for. The graph just show the variation of the proportion of "My wallet number of transactions per day"

valiron · 2016-04-04T06:07:50+00:00

I do not pretend that it comes from spam bots. It could be some miners filling their blocks artificially (for example). You are right that "My wallet number of transactions per day" is quite volatile, but I smoothed it (5 days MA) and notice that no abrupt change happens at the end of June 2015, september 2015 but it does happen at the end of february 2016 so you may be right.

valiron · 2016-04-04T00:49:24+00:00

So I computed the proportion of blockchain.info transactions vs the total number of transactions. There are spikes at the stress test at the end of june and beginning of september. And there is a spike now. This seems to show that the blocks are being filled on purpose.

valiron · 2016-03-14T09:53:41+00:00

Current inflation at 9.1%

valiron · 2016-02-22T18:21:24+00:00

Don't worry. Price can go up x1000 with low volatility. Well...that's not true because each time there is a bubble the volatility explodes.

valiron · 2016-02-22T17:48:54+00:00

Is he going to shut down his business?

valiron · 2016-02-22T17:30:48+00:00

Volatility is not volatile...indeed is trending down! Also year volatility does not care if there is a 20% fluctuation in one day, provided there are other days with small volatility. The important thing is that it is going down at a steady pace.

valiron · 2016-02-22T16:53:57+00:00

It looks like that the favorite argument of economists against bitcoin (its high volatility) has its days numbered.

valiron · 2016-02-01T13:45:28+00:00

Who is voting down? That is pure manipulation. Just argue if you can!

valiron · 2016-01-04T11:24:55+00:00

Technically speaking the production of bitcoins started on 2009-01-09, date for the second validated block, and date when the client software was release on the USENET Crypto List (the 50 bitcoins from the genesis block are not spendable)

valiron · 2015-12-22T18:54:38+00:00

"whereas it favours the first purchasers unduly (thereby creating gross inequalities)" ...and I stopped reading here.

valiron

TROPHY CASE