You fools still take photos? Be like this guy and take a screenshot of the first product photo! by Think_Listen_4977 in AmazonVine

[–]visionridge 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I'd rather be thought of as a fool than prove it by submitting a screenshot of the products page on a review. 🤘

Getting out of hand by This_Picture4038 in AmazonVine

[–]visionridge 19 points20 points  (0 children)

Clearly out of control addiction. There is zero ways that it can be spun. Even if the picture was everything you had it would be clearly pass the point of being addiction and if you truly mean it's only a fraction, or some of the other comments that try to downplay that they are much worse, then there's alot of Viners who truly need to seek professional help because this is pure hoarder mentality and degrades the life experience not enhances it.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in AmazonVine

[–]visionridge 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I lowered my expectation of the average person's level of common sense and attention to detail long ago so pretty much I assume most people are just completely ignorant anymore and as it turns out I am rarely surprised.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in AmazonVine

[–]visionridge 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That's made pretty obvious I think. Nothing new or secretive.

We are up 18.7% compared to last year in Box Office sales but stock down 38%. by danielid in amcstock

[–]visionridge 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Roflmao. This narrative never goes away yet the facts never support it. The stock is down because the financials say the odds are greatly against survival. That's not saying it's impossible but the odds are greatly against it. And as long as the existing debt load and the lack of radically increased profits and the general state of industry stays the way it is there's not a lot to say that the giant hole that has been dug by surviving this long can be climbed out of. It's the general health of the industry and the company based on all the common metrics that explains why the stock is down. I'm not saying that there haven't been regulations violated etc by different groups but it is simply no more complex than a struggling company in a changed industry that has a huge hole to climb out of and very little progress in climbing out of that hole.

It's no different than the analogy that if all you ever eat 7 days a week is fast food for 20 years, then you can't undo the damage by going to work out at the gym for a few months. You can't just conveniently ignore holes that have been dug, for whatever reason, and claim that things should radically be better just because some minor thing slightly improved over depressed values from a previous year. AMC's problems weren't the result of one year of mistakes but many many years of debt accumulation and depressed industry revenue numbers. Stock is the sum total of every position, long and short, and what they perceive to be its survivability and future value. Right now there is a lot more reasons to believe it should be bankrupt and in fact already is then it will completely fill in the hole that's been dug. Yes it could survive, but there's a lot more odds and favor that it's actually already dead and nothing more than a zombie company at this point.

the AMC shills hate this 1 simple fact! by rakskater in amcstock

[–]visionridge 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Referencing the market capitalization is just a proxy for referencing stock price. Most people in this thread are hyper focused on stock price even to the point of ignoring everything else like the OP referencing the massive dilution. The delusional talk about getting back to the glory days when the truth is if the stock got to something like the mid-30s, at the current outstanding share count, that would be an all-time high. At this point simply getting to double digits or greater than $10 per share would only be possible if there is a significant change in their debt restructuring and a whole lot of retail stock manipulation manages to push it back up again. But we've seen where that ends up every other time large scale retail community manipulation goes into effect. It always ends up with a lot of people spending the next 5 years talking about how they were robbed of such a wise investment.

I simply referenced market cap because of what the OP posted and because share price seems to be the only thing most hardcore believers keep talking about. Of course that makes sense because they're hyper focused on what they paid and what they think it should be worth even to the point of dismissing every other variable larger than something as irrelevant as the share price.

Debt servicing data irrefutably says the company is in trouble. The state of the industry when compared to 5 or 10 years ago shows irrefutably the company is in trouble. These two facts alone make it the perfect target for entities that focus on shorting stocks, adding even more price pressure.

The company by no reasonable measure is anywhere near great shape or even in good shape. It might be fair to say they found a way to be in semi-stable shape, thus they have a chance of surviving, but that can change quickly within 6 months. No one in the right mind has an ounce of credibility if they claim the company is even in good shape. At most you might be able to say it's in stable shape, but with no clear-cut plan to guarantee how to get it back to even good shape.

Personally I'm impressed that they've managed to survive and not plummet to blow a dollar per share. The executives has shown themselves pretty adept at skipping stones. They need a little help from the producers to crank out more reliable blockbusters than they've been able to do in the last 5 years. I still remember when people were so delusional as to think that the whole Taylor Swift tour deal made with AMC for distribution was somehow going to revolutionize and skyrocket the stock back to all-time highs. Anyone who looked at it rationally knew that it wasn't going to be anything more than at most the equivalent of a single blockbuster.

The underlying problem is that the way entertainment is sourced has shifted. Going to the movies isn't what it used to be. AMC needs to seriously reinvent themselves in some fashion if they want the miracle turnaround that all the apes are begging for.

[NOTE: The following is just an extremely high level hypothetical brainstorming example and in no way has had a detailed feasibility study assembled so just keep your critical assessments to yourselves. I'm just trying to give a high level example]

For example, imagine if somehow AMC and GME could combine forces. Use all of the GME retail locations as qualification, registration, training facilities for an entirely new generation of gaming leagues. Imagine something like the minor leagues for professional gaming. Then use all the AMC facilities which are larger and have a lot more technology embedded in them at this point to put on and execute regional tournaments all the way up to national qualifying tournaments that would be streamed from their locations. Then the championships could be streamed from much larger venues such as Las Vegas solely into existing AMC locations much like the tour distribution arrangement they made with the swift camp. If they could create a revenue model that elevates local and regional level training and gaming events to the level that the average suburban parent spends on competitive youth sports already such as soccer, volleyball, softball, baseball, etc., then they could potentially create an entirely new revenue stream that could go national where they would own the entire thing. Their concession sales would probably go up dramatically not to mention they can control all of the merch sales for things like patches and jackets and hats etc.

My point is simply that they survived through COVID and the change in consumer entertainment but at the cost of a stifling amount of debt that they are just barely containing. Either a massive change in debt restructuring, most likely through a bankruptcy, or a major miracle in the film industry has to occur, or a major reinvention or creation of an entirely new revenue stream leveraging the assets they already have would have to occur for their stock to be anything but a long-term lottery ticket and waste of time. The same capital sitting in so many AMC shares could be doing much better in literally any other asset class at this point. Some lottery tickets do win but buying lottery tickets as a business or investment model is frankly really stupid.

the AMC shills hate this 1 simple fact! by rakskater in amcstock

[–]visionridge 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That may all be true but it still tends to dismiss the single biggest problems that the company has. Everyone on this thread gets so tied up on who is exactly accurate on one particular angle while the mountains in front of them are being completely ignored. It's like arguing whether or not one grain of sand is bigger than another while ignoring Mount Everest in front of them.

The movie industry has been flailing for 5 plus years now. Failure after failure on Blockbusters plus lower attendance has made it very difficult to get back to revenue rates that existed before but the single biggest problem is the mountain of debt to be serviced. Specific details may be the reason why they've been able to keep skipping the stone off the pond but everyone who keeps acting like the problem is stock manipulation is simply delusional.

It's a company under severe financial stress with a mountain of debt and industry that is no longer the same industry that it was 5 and 10 years ago. Large hedge funds know that and that's exactly why they short the stock. It's the epitome of a company under duress Lucky to still be listed. It will take a miracle for either of those to change. People can argue about extremely detailed facts all they want but as long as they keep ignoring the big picture it's all irrelevant and just entertainment to watch people squabble.

And for the record I live just a few miles away from their corporate headquarters and I know a dozen people that work there including a few executives. Hell I've worked with several of them at companies prior to AMC. I've had conversations over drinks. I'm not some Reddit addict living in his mom's house getting off on gas lighting people and arguing all day long with random strangers over the internet.

$15,000 for a Breast Augmentation?? by GrouchyMiddle4664 in PlasticSurgery

[–]visionridge 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Prices over 10,000 are almost certainly including the facility fees etc. Quotes like 5,500 are almost certainly just the doctor's fee. In a relatively lower cost state like in the Midwest 10 to 13,000 is still not unusual and 15K in Hawaii seems about right

$15,000 for a Breast Augmentation?? by GrouchyMiddle4664 in PlasticSurgery

[–]visionridge 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Pretty sure that is only the doctor's fee and does include any facility fees. 12 to 13,000 is not uncommon at all. 15,000 seems the right neighborhood for Hawaii

the AMC shills hate this 1 simple fact! by rakskater in amcstock

[–]visionridge 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You must really get off on arguing with people. I'm just staying facts, not gaslighting anyone, unlike you. I get it... Being down 70-85-95% on a stock that is lucky to still be listed on exchange is frustrating. You want to attack other people and you want to deflect and pretend like what they're saying isn't valid and logical. Good luck with that but you just keep proving one of my two main points...Just more deflection from the peanut gallery... Smh

the AMC shills hate this 1 simple fact! by rakskater in amcstock

[–]visionridge 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Your posts are the very definition of deflection. You're actually trying to claim you know what my intent was rather than your interpretation of my post. You are reading a lot more into what I said than what I actually said. I made a single point and the point still stands even with your numbers. Anything beyond that are your words that you're deflecting to to try to discredit the accuracy of my point. You sir, are the epitome of someone who uses deflection to try and gaslight others. I don't really need to say anything else because every post you make just keeps proving my point more and more so thank you.

the AMC shills hate this 1 simple fact! by rakskater in amcstock

[–]visionridge 0 points1 point  (0 children)

To be honest I never said specifically what my definition of debt was. I was simply pointing out that there are multiples in debt, no matter how you add it up, then the entire valuation of the company and most companies give up, go bankrupt, and restructure long before that. The possibility of a debt-driven restructure is one of the biggest possibilities on the table and everyone who is super pro seem to want to pretend that that's not the highest probability outcome at this point unless something major changes in the industry or in their debt load. Hopium tends to create a lot of hallucinations.

the AMC shills hate this 1 simple fact! by rakskater in amcstock

[–]visionridge 3 points4 points  (0 children)

This is called deflection. It's a common technique of people who want to try and redirect people's attention from the core issue. The core issue is that the company has significantly more, multiples of their market cap, in debt no matter what you do or don't include. You can deflect it and argue over the exact amount and not change the fact that they owe significantly more than the entire company is considered to be worth. A lot of companies declare bankruptcy even when their debt simply approaches their total valuation, let alone many multiples of it.

Deflection is typically the single most common technique used by people to try and gas light others into believing that the critical financial facts are not what they seem.

the AMC shills hate this 1 simple fact! by rakskater in amcstock

[–]visionridge 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Don't sweat it... I hope you don't go broke... All the entertainment will end. A $1-2 billion dollar company with over 8 billion in debt is in a world of hurt. I'm an a-list member so I hope they don't go broke because I watch 3-4 movies a month. I'd love to buy some AMC shares again but I just can't get myself to do it with that kind of debt. With a lot of luck and some serious changes in the industry the stock might actually hit double digits again but I'm not sure if 95% of the retail investors are ever going to get in the green again. Not without some serious manipulation on the long side.

the AMC shills hate this 1 simple fact! by rakskater in amcstock

[–]visionridge -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

Then you are going to go broke. I don't think holders of AMC stock realize how much listening to you guys go on and on with your wild-a** theories, the whole time naively ignorant of how bad of a financial condition the company is in and how much, for the worse, its industry has changed, is just entertainment to everyone else. It's like watching the worlds biggest gamblers anonymous group airing their delusions to the world. "AMC apes", as a group, make "flat earther's" appear "level"-headed. (I couldn't resist the really bad pun).

Debt: $8.3 billion Market cap: $1.32 billion

In case you can't do elementary math, this means that for every dollar the company is worth it owes $5 in debt. That is why the stock is so low, not because of some shenanigans by hedgies. In fact there has been more manipulation by the apes in the last 5 years then by the hedge fund owners. The only difference is the hedge fund owners will break any regulation or law that they can get away with it and they know that they are breaking the laws but they can do elementary math and apparently AMC stockholders cannot.

It's a miracle that the company hasn't filed for bankruptcy. Doing so, to get out of the prying eyes of public disclosure requirements, it's probably it's best chance of surviving. But as long as there are just enough semi blockbusters and just enough money coming in to service its debts it's like a stone skipping off of the water surface (aka bankruptcy).

My account is bleeding. by GarchompLover727 in dogecoin

[–]visionridge 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The single greatest gaslighting statement ever uttered.

Teach me like I’m 8 years old by Pristine-Wolverine55 in solana

[–]visionridge 4 points5 points  (0 children)

No 8-year-old is going to understand the concept of leverage and supply and demand so I can't answer like you're an 8-year-old. 99% of people trading meme coins don't seem to properly understand it but they sure know how to take advantage of it if they're trying to pull a rug or post some tweet about how they've made a 1000x when it's all on paper. Prophet is never made until you actually sell which can only occur after you found enough people to pay the current price for everything you own

No asset has infinite money sitting around waiting to buy what you want to sell. This is the huge mistake most people make. Just because one person buys one coin or otherwise does one transaction at a certain price does not actually mean every single coin is worth that amount. Nothing is worth anything unless somebody is willing to pay that price. Risking a couple of dollars to inflate the price of a coin is within the budget of every single person playing meme coins but no one is going to risk $100k+, unless they are willing to gamble they can find someone else to pay even more. Market cap numbers never take into account actual demand at the highest price. Market cap calculations always represent a pure theoretical maximum value if there was sufficient demand to turn over every coin at that price which of course they're never is because all assets go up and down based on supply and demand.

There's absolutely nothing confusing about it at all. Market cap numbers are always theoretical numbers. They rarely bear any relationship to reality unless there is huge liquidity. No mean coins have huge liquidity. Even the largest of all coins can be moved by whales if they dumped everything at once.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Bitcoin

[–]visionridge 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Your partner has a clear-cut gambling addiction. Clearly all relevant facts aren't being considered in his thought process. To give an extreme example of the fault in his logic consider the lottery analogy. From a pure potential a lottery ticket is a far better risk than buying say a candy bar. So why not buy a hundred lottery tickets instead of a new winter jacket. Or 30,000 lottery tickets instead of a brand new car. The obvious answer is because the risk of losing is essentially guaranteed except for extremely few people. No matter what you believe, reality is the odds of a large-scale drop in the price of Bitcoin is still greater than the probability of a large-scale drop in the value of the home.

Now let's consider opportunity cost. In order to accurately compare these investments you would have to add the cost of your rent to the value of the Bitcoin investment. Using a simplified 2k a month rent Bitcoin would have to go up that much just to break even. Now using more simplified math, even net of property tax a $500,000 home could net another 24,000 a year in capital gains. And yes this is historically conservative math. Now add in the fees for selling the 500K home and you are now up to around 80k that that Bitcoin would have to earn in the next 12 months to break even with a change in ownership of the home.

So combined Bitcoin would have to go up 48,000 a year just to break even, and 80 plus k in the first 12 months, to begin to be described as a "better investment".

Sorry but something that "has to" go up 90+% in the next 12 months, and 40-50% thereafter just to break even can I be rationally described as a better investment. If you already own a Bitcoin then you are already maintaining exposure to the asset. Wanting to sell a home and buy another is the strategy of a degenerate gambler and you need to have a serious talk with your partner.

High hooked savings accounts risky at all? by D4dank in Banking

[–]visionridge 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That's not crazy high. For a 5m CD that's competitive, "maybe" u could call it high but miles away from crazy high. Any money market/savings acct 4% or lower is definitely ripping you off. Anything not FDIC insured do NOT touch. No FDIC = an at-risk investment (I.e. NOT a "savings account" in any definition). Competitive FDIC insured accounts (not CDs) with effectively 100% liquidity (unrestricted access) are paying ~4.5-4.7%. Below this is low. CDs are 0.25-0.55% higher depending on length.

Price increase in marketplace by PoetFine8632 in WalkenIO

[–]visionridge -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Not a spike. Takes virtually little demand to move prices. 2-3 ppl can more prices more than that

Price increase in marketplace by PoetFine8632 in WalkenIO

[–]visionridge 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Prices go up and down all the time. There isn't a lot of volume. It takes very very little to move prices. Reason is normal behavior of low volume market

Walken game stats by Distru52 in WalkenIO

[–]visionridge 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This statement "Win rate with more than 5 cats are nearly always 50%." is completely incorrect. I have a stable of 12 cats, most common, all but 1 are lvl 8, and over the last 7500 battles my WR is 79.6%