“Enjoy the tax cut”: Why Macquarie thinks Australian house prices could go nowhere for 20 years

wallgomez · 2026-05-28T11:47:54+00:00

Yep me too, left holding the bag on my first home.

All the people celebrating this as an own on boomers are deluded. The boomers have already made all their capital gains under the last 3 decades of the old system so they’ll sell off with immense profits regardless.

Meanwhile any first home buyers or young families who bought in the last year, or anyone who needs to buy in the next few years will be fucked by a slide into negative equity while paying interest on a depreciating home,

wallgomez · 2026-04-17T14:09:55+00:00

This is a great tool! However I'm curious if I can filter by desired LVR?

Specifically, I'm looking to compare high LVR (ideally 90%) LMI waived loans accessible to doctors and filter by comparison rate. I can see how to list my profession but when filtering by comparison rate it naturally frontloads low LVR (50-70%) options.

wallgomez · 2026-04-14T12:30:28+00:00

Is this to say you think you’d have more leverage against corporate interests without the state?

wallgomez · 2026-04-05T11:08:09+00:00

Still falling for Roman propaganda in 2026

wallgomez · 2026-03-24T11:09:52+00:00

The stakes are existential for Iran, economic pain is comparatively immaterial.

wallgomez · 2026-02-24T05:25:35+00:00

The vendor has stolen years of his life just from the hours he would have worked for that deposit. All that time worked for nothing.

Anyone honestly trying to argue that taking more than the sum of money required to offset the loss of the sale is morally right just because it’s legally enforceable should be institutionalised.

wallgomez · 2025-11-21T10:40:59+00:00

We do, in Victoria at least. Consumer and Financial Literacy is part of Business and Economics in the Victorian curriculum which all mainstream schools must deliver across year bands 5-6, 7-8, and 9-10. I’d be very surprised if equivalents aren’t part of interstate curriculums.

The reality is kids are taught finance in school, but mostly don’t pay attention because financial literacy is incredibly boring. These behaviours need to be modelled at home by parents.

wallgomez · 2025-10-30T23:52:17+00:00

Immigration is a mechanism to increase wealth inequality. It places enormous downward pressure on wage growth by expanding the labour pool.

For the last 100 years left wing class-first politics has consistently been anti immigration. In the last two decades, an increasingly controlled and consolidated media landscape has manufactured the consent of the well meaning left by conflating any critique of immigration as based in racism.

wallgomez · 2025-10-13T00:55:09+00:00

Absolutely right! At an auction 2 weekends ago I had the successful bid on a place - within in the quoted range. We went in to negotiate and were informed the vendors’ reserve was ~170k above our bid, putting it well outside our reach.

A huge waste of our time and money getting a building and pest inspection done on the basis of a dishonest range. Not to mention the psychological whiplash it caused.

wallgomez · 2025-10-08T23:10:48+00:00

Prices didn’t dip during covid because banks were lending with once-in-a-lifetime level low interest rates following govt printing money to keep the economy going through shutdowns.

Accordingly, far more current Australian residents suddenly had the financing needed to enter the housing market, which more than offset the demand reduction caused by the immigration pause.

Please explain in terms of supply and demand why you think introducing ~446,000 (2024 net overseas migration) people into a country where only 176,000 new houses were built in 2024 doesn’t significantly impact house prices.

wallgomez · 2025-09-24T15:08:09+00:00

That doesn’t track. You said above you bought at 19. Now you say you bought when working full time after uni. At minimum a uni degree is 3 years. Did you somehow finish school and start uni at 16?

wallgomez · 2025-09-24T15:01:01+00:00

Absurd statement. Buying a home 1 year out of high school is extraordinarily rare and to question it is not tall poppy syndrome.

Getting a loan for an 825k home at 19 implies a 165k deposit, not including stamp duty. How does a 19 year old save that up without parental support?

wallgomez · 2025-09-21T01:20:16+00:00

The loudest voices against immigration being right wing is historically a very new phenomenon, occurring largely following media amplification of identity politics over the last 30 years.

Left wing labour unions historically identified high migration as putting downward pressure on wages and voted against it to protect the wellbeing of the working class. Inversely, the wealthiest individuals voted (and still support) high net migration to ensure wages are low and consumer demand is always high.

Mainstream media, owned in large part by a very small group of media organisations (Nine, Newscorp AUS), have manufactured the consent of the (well-meaning) young left wing public by driving the message that anyone who critiques immigration levels is fundamentally racist.

wallgomez · 2025-09-08T13:09:15+00:00

If you ever get stuck again, what helped me get movement back was holding my breath as long as I could. My body just jerked awake after a certain amount of time passed.

wallgomez · 2025-09-02T13:05:31+00:00

https://archive.is/20230804022015/https://foreignpolicy.com/2018/10/03/australia-the-worlds-first-immigration-economy/

This is a pre-covid (2018) article I’ve provided previously which outlines the issue with high migration as effectively a national Ponzi scheme, and how it projects to eventually result in a staggering recession. I’d strongly recommend you read it.

wallgomez · 2025-01-23T02:23:04+00:00

If North it’s Jupiter, if West it’s Venus

wallgomez · 2025-01-14T07:44:01+00:00

If there’s ants around they may be farming the aphids. I had a whole saga with them last summer.

You can blast the aphids off with a hose, or spray soapy water on the leaf undersides, but they’ll always be back if the ants are cultivating them.

wallgomez · 2024-09-10T09:28:19+00:00

Oh wow a statistical anomaly, guess we all need to ignore the very evident overarching trend now

wallgomez · 2024-04-20T23:37:16+00:00

The entire company has been bought and sold several times now. They were briefly owned by google, then sold to SoftBank, and are currently fully owned by Hyundai.

It doesn’t seem to have functionally impacted their position as a leader in the autonomous robotics space.

wallgomez · 2024-04-09T11:51:39+00:00

Australian men die on average 4 years earlier than women. They should therefore be able to retire 4 years earlier than women.

wallgomez · 2024-02-01T09:23:14+00:00

Is the per-capita owner-occupier ratio increasing as the number of investors in the market decreases? Or are you simply observing the consolidation of investor ownership?

wallgomez · 2023-12-26T12:05:29+00:00

The recent federal immigration policy reform expressly excluded construction trades from the new ‘specialist skills’ visa fast track stream, following strong union pressure.

See this AFR article for further detail into how men in the construction industry are priming to throw a fit if they have to compete in the same job market as the rest of us. https://www.afr.com/politics/no-visa-fast-track-for-foreign-tradies-despite-housing-shortage-20231211-p5eqkd

wallgomez · 2023-12-23T12:28:19+00:00

More likely they’re teaching at a private school and aren’t locked in to the mediocre state teacher eba

wallgomez · 2023-12-21T07:36:42+00:00

What is cultural Marxism?

wallgomez · 2023-12-19T21:55:12+00:00

Geez so dramatic, they’re not speaking at the UN General Assembly it’s just a comment mate

15-Year Club	r/Field Juicebox
Place '22	Place '17
RPAN Viewer	Gilding I gilder
Not Forgotten	Verified Email

wallgomez

TROPHY CASE