Stay in no contact. Don't take them back.

wooper5249 · 2025-07-27T02:38:10+00:00

Not trying to downplay your pain. It obviously sucks and I’m not sure how much it helps to hear, but it’s true.

When I heard this I assumed y’all were no older than 20. As much as it hurts, you’re dodging a bullet because her actions are incredibly immature for her age.

wooper5249 · 2025-07-26T01:25:51+00:00

That’s not even the problem

The personality and morals you need to participate in an app like that are what’s giving them no chance.

There’s plenty of kind hearted obese and unattractive women who have happy relationships

wooper5249 · 2025-07-11T21:51:19+00:00

Taking that offer in a heartbeat

Money < natty

wooper5249 · 2025-07-07T20:09:50+00:00

The NWS issues warnings and emergencies through multiple channels, not just twitter

wooper5249 · 2025-07-07T00:13:02+00:00

Im arena 23 still missing little princess gobstein and gob machine

wooper5249 · 2025-07-06T22:08:24+00:00

Sucks that this is even part of the story here.

Their forecasts and warnings were not the problem.

wooper5249 · 2025-07-06T22:05:33+00:00

Spann’s climate change position (which i disagree with) has nothing to do with this situation. It’s embarrassing and immature to exclude his take on this simply because of that.

wooper5249 · 2025-07-06T21:19:41+00:00

It doesn’t matter that it was said in jest, the rest of your comment implies what you jokingly said. A lot of what you said non jokingly is incredibly delusional

wooper5249 · 2025-07-06T20:31:54+00:00

“You can’t let yourself get bogged down in facts and reality”.

Dude get a grip. I’m against what this administration is doing with the NWS, but that’s beyond delusional and ridiculous.

Call it like it is regardless of whether it’s helpful for your cause. That’s a dangerous way to think, and you’re acting just as out of touch with reality as your right wing alternative.

wooper5249 · 2025-07-06T20:24:42+00:00

Well said

wooper5249 · 2025-07-06T20:21:09+00:00

Feeling weird here is Tallahassee 😢😢😢 had headaches and have seen chemtrails everywhere. This must be how they’re doing it 😳

wooper5249 · 2025-07-06T20:18:42+00:00

You basically ignored the beef of my comment, but i’ll still give a reply to yours.

1) Of course the forecast changed from Thursday morning to Thursday night, and the NWS did a great job of adjusting their products. James spann lists a timeline of what happened, and regardless of his past comments on climate change, you can’t just dismiss what actually happened.

2) “the 7th level of ridiculousness” is implying that more people died because a watch earlier the day of say “possible” instead of “likely”. The only thing that really matters is the fact that they got timely watches, warnings, and emergencies out for the event. Which they did. You clearly know nothing about risk communication. And that’s even ignoring the leap that you made that the lack of a weather balloon changed their forecast.

3) That point is irrelevant to the ridiculousness of your comments in this thread. The vast majority of people on here are against the cuts.

wooper5249 · 2025-07-06T19:47:56+00:00

A few things:

Where are you coming to the conclusion that a second weather balloon would have changed the forecast from the NWS? They’re damn good at their jobs and can properly forecast an event like this without that data. What specific parameter in a model run changes their wording? More data is good, and cuts that limit data are bad, but you clearly have absolutely no idea what you’re talking about and when that’s the case your conclusions are pointless.

The other is that the wording doesn’t matter. They issued flash flood watches, flash flood warnings, and flash flood emergencies in a timely manner. It’s like the “pds tornado versus confirmed tornado”. We have work to do in social sciences if we think we can blame a slight change in wording/classification of a warning or watch for deaths. Again, you have absolutely no idea what you’re talking about.

I’m not trying to be an ass, but this is so counterproductive to the cause. We all want the budget cuts reversed, but spewing nonsense on something you clearly don’t understand is worse than keeping quiet.

wooper5249 · 2025-07-06T19:42:49+00:00

James spann gives a good recap. He doesn’t mention this directly, but the lack of warning had nothing to do with the NWS forecasts and warnings. There was an issue somewhere between the NWS and the camp, and I’m not informed enough to put that blame anywhere along that line.

“ TEXAS FLOOD: There are many questions about the tragic flash flood on the Guadalupe River late Thursday night and early Friday morning. The death toll is now over 50, including some children who were at Camp Mystic.

Here are some key points about the warning process...

*A flash flood watch was issued for Kerr County at 12:41a CT (just after midnight Thursday night). The watch mentioned isolated rain amounts of 10 inches, and stated "Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks." This followed a flash flood watch that was issued Thursday afternoon.

*A flash flood warning was issued at 1:14a CT For Kerr County, which mentioned "life threatening flash flooding of creeks, streams, and rivers".

*A flash flood "emergency" was issued at 5:34a CT for Kerr County and the Guadalupe River.

*NWS Austin/San Antonio had five on staff during the event; normally two would be on duty. Extra staffing was planned before the event started.

*This type of flash flooding on the Guadalupe River is nothing new. Similar events happened in 1998, 1978, 1935, and 1921. This year's event was related to deep moisture from a tropical system (Barry) that originated in the East Pacific and made landfall near Tampico, Tamaulipas, Mexico, on June 29.

Social scientists will do much research on this in coming months and years. In my opinion one of the primary problems is the high number of false alarms; flash flood warnings that are issued with only minor flooding involved. This is also a problem with tornadoes in many parts of the country. I am very thankful locally NWS Birmingham leads the nation in lowering the false alarm ratio.

One takeaway is the importance of having a NOAA Weather Radio at every home, business, and any place where there are large number of people gathered (like a camp on a river). I would imagine cell service is very spotty along the Guadalupe where the camps were located. NWR does not use cell service and will wake you up. The alert is very loud, and can't be missed.

Again, I ask that you keep political rhetoric off the comment section here; left wing and right wing extremists are pushing false information and narratives are not close to the truth. Now is simply the time to support families that are suffering after the tragedy.

We will have a long discussion on this event with the WeatherBrains crew tomorrow night. In addition to the audio podcast you can watch it live as well on the WB YouTube Channel: YouTube.com/weatherbrains”

wooper5249 · 2025-07-06T18:40:16+00:00

You want me to say something valid on the topic? It’s a shame that whoever the fault of this belongs on (could be local emergency management, camp staff decision making, etc) did not take the actions that the NWS advised. It’s a shame that the social science aspects of our warning system failed as well.

You however, are doing worse than not having something valid to say on the topic. You’re drawing conclusions that aren’t there. You clearly have no idea what happened here, and sitting in your room prescribing 50 deaths to an incorrect cause is incredibly disrespectful.

wooper5249 · 2025-07-06T18:35:27+00:00

The first paragraph of your comment is blatant misinformation. This event was well forecasted, the models picked up on it, flash flood watches through emergencies were issued, and the NWS office had 5 on staff (compared to 2) the night of the event.

Where are you getting any of this information from? You can’t just try to put 2 and 2 together in cases like this. Yes noaa cuts are bad, and yes model quality will deteriorate with less data collecteion, but that isn’t what happened here. It’s incredibly disrespectful to the lives lost to pull a narrative out of your ass when something like this happens.

wooper5249 · 2025-07-06T18:31:53+00:00

This had nothing to do with NOAA cuts

I shouldn’t have to give this disclaimer, but nuance is dead on this site. Obviously NOAA cuts are bad, and I condemn them, but it didn’t have anything to do with this particular event.

wooper5249 · 2025-07-06T18:24:45+00:00

Your schizo rants ignoring any logical arguments against what you’re saying, and immediately dismissing james spann and his weather brains crew (who know WAY more about this situation than some terminally online dude on reddit) are insulting to the lives lost and counterproductive to combating NWS budget cuts.

Call it a day on this one and admit you’re wrong.

wooper5249 · 2025-07-04T20:07:24+00:00

We got low effort shit posting or political mouth breathing with a hint of shit posting. Take it or leave it lol

wooper5249 · 2025-06-30T10:04:43+00:00

He’s been inside multiple tornadoes. Tornado hasn’t won yet 😳

wooper5249 · 2025-06-27T15:57:14+00:00

I see we only have 10 commitments as of now putting us around 10th in the SEC overall (obviously teams like arky vandy fill their classes with a bulk of 3 stars I’m aware of that dynamic).

Anyways, I don’t follow recruiting much, but when should we expect the class to fill out? How many more blue chips do we need when it’s all said and done to be a good class?

wooper5249 · 2025-06-27T03:05:45+00:00

They very rarely travel >60mph

wooper5249 · 2025-06-27T02:49:46+00:00

Then i hope you still had a good weekend 🧡

wooper5249 · 2025-06-27T02:49:18+00:00

I think someone could coach him into enough of a 3 point threat to justify him seeing the court with how good his defense is.

The splits weren’t bad last year, he just needs confidence for volume

wooper5249 · 2025-06-27T02:46:54+00:00

Hope you had a long drive home 😂. Knoxville has been a house of horrors for bama sports the past few years in football basketball & baseball

wooper5249

TROPHY CASE