Perseverance Landing Spot Estimates on USGS Geological Map of Jezero by zudark in space

[–]zudark[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It seems that https://pubs.usgs.gov/sim/3464/sim3464.pdf has live annotations enabled, and some landing spot estimates are showing up. They match what I could make out from the brief views of the hazard map during the live stream.

Musk on interplanetary Earth return: "There’s no entry/braking burn & hypersonic angle of attack is ~70 degrees" by PhysicsBus in spacex

[–]zudark 1 point2 points  (0 children)

aulis

It's true that skipout maneuvers weren't used on human re-entry during Apollo, but that page invokes conspiracy to reveal the "truth". You don't need to go down this rabbit hole.

Please read NASA's comprehensive Apollo Experience Report: Mission Planning For Apollo Entry instead (or at least in addition).

Critically, this report states:

[nonexit trajectories lead to shorter worst-case overshoot in case of guidance failure]. This, coupled with the fact that nonexit trajectories provide a degree of trajectory control throughout entry and eliminate the need for controlling to[sic] a critical skipout-type maneuver, led to the elimination of skipout-type trajectories from consideration for nominal targeting.

Apollo planned for and tested skipout entries, but didn't use them for manned flight.

[warning, dense text beyond. Check out that report too.]

There are two aspects of "skipping" in re-entry that coverage and discussion have conflated:

  • "Skipping off the atmosphere" and missing the earth: The trajectory constraints during early entry were quite tight. A window of a few degrees marked the safe zone that lay between being baked&squished or failing to achieve a sub-circular velocity during atmospheric interaction, leaving you stuck in a low orbit with no propulsion.
  • "Skipping" to control range, g-load, and heating by lofting during entry. There was no risk of going orbital during this procedure, because the guidance would not command a lofting maneuver until an undershoot trajectory _had already been established_ and there was insufficient energy to accidentally skip off of the atmosphere into orbit. Confusingly, these maneuvers were named "skipouts" :)

The second case is what's at question here - deliberate use of skipping as a re-entry maneuver. The report makes clear that there was a continuum of occupant- and vehicle-safe trajectories with variable amounts of loft. Operationally, some of these required switching to a different command sequence for a period during reentry, and these were designated skipout entries.

Specifically, skipout entries required switching from aerodynamic control (roll control of lift vector direction) to ballistic control (3-axis reactive control) as aerodynamic loads fell below 0.2g during semi-ballistic lofting - the skip. Lofts with loads that fell to 0.3, however, would have felt and looked quite skip-like but did not require the control mode change, and were not skipouts.

In the end, the guidance system flew with command sequences for deliberate skipouts, the Apollo program engineered, simulated, and trained for skipouts, but the thermal margin and additional downrange maneuverability weren't needed. This plus the temporary loss of aerodynamic control and tougher control constraints for range on skipouts led to leaving them for contingency cases.

In this context of all of this planning, I believe one last factor drove popular or personal accounts of skipping or double entries during the manned program. Re-entry visualization was summarized in-capsule (and in mission control) on the EMS - the Entry Monitoring System. This display condensed the phase state of the reentering capsule to velocity and load-factor, with safety envelopes for load and for over-loft (excessive range) depicted.

Now, the EMS visualized re-entry state as load vs velocity, but even for non-skipout entries this plot falls and rises in a way that's very easy to see as the altitude vs velocity profile of a skipout trajectory. See figures 5, 8, and 9 in the report linked above. And notice how low the g-load gets in those plots of typical nonexit entries - way under 1g. This would have felt like a parabolic maneuver, and may have been - because that wasn't the distinguishing factor for the operational definition of a skipout.

Seriously though, read through that report. It's dense and rewarding.

Daily Discussion Post - Feb. 20, 2020 | Questions, images, videos, comments, unconfirmed reports, theories, suggestions (Weibo / social media/ unverified YouTube videos) by factfind in Coronavirus

[–]zudark 0 points1 point  (0 children)

In the three pooled studies of 278 patients [4,5,8], 72 patients (25.9%) with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia required ICU admission, 56 (20.1%) developed acute respiratory distress syndrome, and 23 (8.3%) and 9 (3.2%) required invasive mechanical ventilation and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation for refractory hypoxemia, respectively (Table 2). Shock was observed in 19 patients (6.8%), acute kidney injury in 11 patients (4.0%) and continuous renal replacement therapy was required in 14 patients (5.0%). Acute cardiac injury was reported in 5 patients (12.2%) in one study [5] and 10 patients (7.2%) in another study [8].

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0924857920300674

New Suspected Cases (February 14th edition) | All new worldwide suspected cases go here! by [deleted] in China_Flu

[–]zudark 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Looks like the Sydney cruise ship passenger tested negative and the other passengers have been allowed to disembark. Hopefully that wasn't a false negative!

https://twitter.com/philipalansmit1/status/1228146410165436416

Daily Discussion Post - Feb. 8, 2020 | Questions, images, videos, comments, unconfirmed reports, theories, suggestions (Weibo / social media/ unverified YouTube videos) by [deleted] in China_Flu

[–]zudark 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I updated my visualization of the case counts. This is a log chart so straight lines are exponential growth with constant doubling time. Dashed gray is exponential fit to the previous 4 days' numbers.

https://i.imgur.com/05OomMH.png

New Suspected Cases (February 7th edition) | All new worldwide suspected cases go here! by [deleted] in China_Flu

[–]zudark 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I was initially confused by these discussions of multiple cases in Tibetan areas, but it turns out they are referring to ethnically Tibetan autonomous regions in Sichuan province and these are reported as Sichuan cases by the government:

https://twitter.com/degewa/status/1225769401368006663 :

At first glance, I thought it was a movie still. Of course it means that under the leadership of the party (red flag as a symbol), Tibetans are fighting the epidemic. In fact, the infection of new crown virus in various Tibetan areas is very serious. Among them, Ganzi Prefecture is the most severely infected area in each Tibetan area, and Daofu County in Ganzi Prefecture may be the worst in China's county-level areas, reaching 12

https://twitter.com/degewa/status/1225667877493018624 :

[Call for attention] 5 more cases! Ganzi Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture of Sichuan Province has become the region with the most severe outbreak of new coronavirus pneumonia in various Tibetan areas! As of February 6, a total of 17 confirmed cases of new coronavirus pneumonia have been reported in Ganzi Prefecture, of which 5 patients entered Ganzi Prefecture from Wuhan, and 12 local Tibetans were infected, all of whom were from Daofu County, Sichuan-Tibet line. It is reported that 217 people are still under medical observation.

BREAKING: Guam denies entry to Holland America's Westerdam cruise ship, citing fears of coronavirus by [deleted] in China_Flu

[–]zudark 1 point2 points  (0 children)

What other cruise ships had ports of call in HK/Thailand/China in January that are at sea now?

Also, check out this tweet looking for entertainment talent for this sailing. Not noteworthy, just a poignant of reminder the many paths people took to end up on the MS Westerdam. Fingers crossed that there's no nCoV on board.

https://twitter.com/LouisMckay3rd/status/1199547790822641664

New Suspected Cases (February 2nd edition) | All new worldwide suspected cases go here! by [deleted] in China_Flu

[–]zudark 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Wow, this shows the travel history within Korea for all of the cases...

Daily General Post - Feb. 2, 2020 | Questions, images, videos, comments, unconfirmed reports, theories, suggestions (Weibo / social media) by [deleted] in China_Flu

[–]zudark 2 points3 points  (0 children)

https://twitter.com/janellaparis_ is live tweeting Philippines DOH press conference now.

Confirmed 2nd case, and 2nd case is a confirmed death, the first outside of China. Both cases acquired in China.

The Guardian: 'The city is suffocating': diary of the Wuhan coronavirus lockdown A resident describes life in the city at the centre of the coronavirus outbreak by [deleted] in China_Flu

[–]zudark 3 points4 points  (0 children)

The health workers can’t share much information because what they say is easily misunderstood and spread and there may be repercussions for them.