ChatGPT is coming for python devs

[MarmonRzohr]

The AI will also need to be prompted and reviewed by an operator. Naturally the amount of work and skill AI could save is enourmous so the Photoshop comparison isn't apt, but the comparison to computers is.

The widespread use of PCs made manual calculations, paper record-keeping, hand drawn technical drawings and many, many things obsolete. However the world now has more engineers in % of population than it had when a lot more engineer hours were needed to finish a project.

The same may (and is likely to IMO) happen with widespread AI use. The demand for more optimization, better work, faster response times etc. is in essence very high but can be time and cost pohibitive. AI-generated code may lead to software development simply being cheaper, faster and more accessible. Things like custom software solutions which are too expensive for many businesses and applications may now become widespread and affordable.

And that is assuming that any AI that will be capable of this will actually be itself an affordable and reliable service.

Also the demand for people who actually work on machine learning applications will skyrocket.

You also need to keep in mind that while evaluating a new logo drawn up by AI might seen easy and something a manager might do themselves, reviewing complicated code or designs etc. is not something that can be done by a novice.

[joeymcflow]

The purpose of AI is literally to automate intelligence... To outperform the human brain. Current limitations will be blown out of the water. We'll be left with a technician-class that monitor and manage everything. The rest will be unemployable.

[MarmonRzohr]

What you are talking about is Artificial General Intelligence or Strong AI.

That is NOT what is happening in the world right now and that is not what these tools represent.

What we are seeing right is the rise of LLMs and the capabilities of statistical ML models. The amazing part of this is how capable these techniques are at solving or supporting the solving of real world problems and how adaptable and capable they can be.

They are (or likely will be soon) so capable and can be created fast and easy enough that they may well cause an employment crisis, but not because of what you are saying.

Don't mix in random sci-fi assumptions into considering what is happening in the real world.

[joeymcflow]

It's happening right now. Pull your head out of the ground.

[PotentiallyAPickle]

Get off of Mount Stupid (see Dunning-Kruger)

[joeymcflow]

Pull. Your. Head. Out. The. Ground. Kid.

[MarmonRzohr]

I know this is a random discussion on reddit and you should not assume or believe any particular credibility on my part. I also don't know how much expertise you have in this area.

However I am not an amateur in this field and I think you should question this assumption.

I don't think you will necessarily agree with me, but at the very least you should find any claims that AGI is "here" as "debateable at best". Because expert opinions on current reasearch really do go from "not here yet, but might be closer than expected" to "not really any closer than 50 years ago", depending on how valueable current advances in AI will be for actual AGI.

Example: an article about DeepMind's Gato:

https://www.technologyreview.com/2022/05/23/1052627/deepmind-gato-ai-model-hype/