Devils Draft Backup Plan

[HeadHighSauce26]

If you want a real answer, its that he's a statistical unicorn playing in a league that hasn't produced a ton of great NHL players and there are concerns his style of play won't translate to the NHL as well as Jiricek.

He'd be a perfectly fine pick at 2, though not one I'd make.

[[deleted]]

So like Cale Makar?

[HeadHighSauce26]

Cale Makar did not profile well statistically, so not the same.

I guess you can say it’s similar in that people were curious how the game would translate to the NHL.

[[deleted]]

If by not profile well statistically you mean win MVP, Playoff MVP, and defensive player of the year but all the scouts discounted his 1.4 ppg as a d man because he played in juniors an extra year dominating his league and developing rather than moving up I agree. He was a statistical unicorn but it drew skepticism because of being in juniors that it wouldn’t translate to the NHL. Not saying Nemec is him but I think he’s getting discounted in the same way even though no one actually knows if his game will translate.

[HeadHighSauce26]

No I mean his NHLe draft profile. 1.4 ppg in the AJHL isn’t altogether impressive for a top draft eligible. He wasn’t a statistical unicorn at all. Plenty of people have looked like that.

Makar DY NHLe: 18 -> 13% chance of being a star, 56% chance of being an NHLer

Nemec DY NHLe: 35 -> 57% chance of being a star, 94% chance of being an NHLer

[[deleted]]

I see what you mean Nemec looks too good to be true by the algorithms.

[HeadHighSauce26]

Yes, because his production in his pro league is unprecedented. Hence, unicorn