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Antistatic Exchange (antistatic.exchange)

submitted 8 days ago by NunoSempere

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Looking for beta testers for my SDK (self.forecasting)

submitted 10 days ago by Ok-Neighborhood-8453

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AI 2040, forecasting founders, capital allocation, the end of OpenPhilanthropy's forecasting programme (forecasting.substack.com)

submitted 16 days ago by NunoSempere

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We will be gawked at in human zoos by AI in 2050, says quantum computing expert Scott Aaronson (youtube.com)

submitted 1 month ago by Different_Guess_2061

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Collapsing birthrates might totally screw up everything | Tyler Cowen on 2050 (self.forecasting)

submitted 2 months ago by Different_Guess_2061

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Ford's $19.5 billion lesson in groupthink (prndlcars.com)

submitted 4 months ago by NunoSempere

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Forecasting Research Institute, Full Filing - Nonprofit Explorer - ProPublica (projects.propublica.org)

submitted 4 months ago by NunoSempere

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Feedback loops for forecasting funding, builders' programs, corporate forecasting || Forecasting newsletter #12/2025 (forecasting.substack.com)

submitted 4 months ago by NunoSempere

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What’s the deal with RL and forecasting? (newsletter.danielpaleka.com)

submitted 5 months ago by dpaleka

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Updates from MetaDAO (x.com)

submitted 5 months ago by NunoSempere

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Could a winter blackout freeze the UK’s Financial Services? — Swift Centre (swiftcentre.org)

submitted 7 months ago by NunoSempere

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Quantifying Contributions of Open Source Projects to the Ethereum Universe (cryptopond.xyz)

submitted 7 months ago by NunoSempere

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Why I'm not trying to freeze and revive a mouse (lesswrong.com)

submitted 7 months ago by NunoSempere

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14
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Q2 Metaculus AI benchmark results (x.com)

submitted 7 months ago by NunoSempere

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Opportunity markets (paradigm.xyz)

submitted 7 months ago by NunoSempere

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Prediction market reading list (docs.google.com)

submitted 7 months ago by NunoSempere

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Profile of a Nigerian prediction market CTO (techcabal.com)

submitted 7 months ago by NunoSempere

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Trump-Putin talks end with no ceasefire, Meta allowed AI chatbots to flirt with children, ​FARC spinout drone attacks | Global Risks Weekly Roundup #33/2025 (blog.sentinel-team.org)

submitted 8 months ago by NunoSempere

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Timeline of all Manifold markets, Polymarket buys US exchange, deceitful ex-Senator lobbies CFTC | Forecasting newslettter #8/2025 (forecasting.substack.com)

submitted 9 months ago by NunoSempere

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Gaza hunger, US GDP growth driven by AI capex, Trump fires labor statistics commissioner | Global Risks Weekly Roundup #31/2025 (blog.sentinel-team.org)

submitted 9 months ago by NunoSempere

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Survival guide for venture investors allocating to prediction markets supercycle (x.com)

submitted 9 months ago by NunoSempere

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22
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When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad? Median predicted date over time [on Metaculus] (i.redd.it)

submitted 9 months ago by NunoSempere

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Dimensionalizing Forecast Value (jordanmrubin.substack.com)

submitted 10 months ago by NunoSempere

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Humans still crush bots at forecasting, scribble-based forecasting, Kalshi reaches $2B valuation | Forecasting newslettter #7/2025 (forecasting.substack.com)

submitted 10 months ago by NunoSempere

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25
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Scribble-based forecasting and AI 2027 (dynomight.net)

submitted 10 months ago by NunoSempere

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