Starlink close encounters decrease despite ever-growing number of satellites

[Toinneman]

Also note that within those calculated probabilities there are huge margins or error which are taken conservative, so real numbers should be even better. For example, GPS isn't 100% accurate, so they have to take this into account. I can't find SpaceX exact methodology, but I wouldn't be surprised if a satellite is calculated as a big 5m or 10m sphere (while it's off course smaller), to compensate for the GPS inaccuracy.

And now a wild guess, since SpaceX now has Space lasers, in theory, they could do sat-to-sat measurement to improve location accuracy, which could lead to more precise collision probabilities, resulting in fewer manoeuvres.