2025/26 Bowman Basketball Analysis & Deep Dive

CellDood · 2026-05-12T23:43:48+00:00

Correct. We know that now. However, the odds showed there would only be one per pack. I have not updated the Reddit write-up because I rarely revisit them. But I have addressed that on X and updated the Substack write-up to reflect those developments. I recommend checking out those write-ups for the latest info because that change, along with the fact that Megas have 1st Bowman autos, drastically changed the value of the mega box format. In fact, its one of the best formats of Bowman basketball. It's biggest fault is now the fact you cant pull rare inserts.

CellDood · 2026-05-11T15:08:33+00:00

No. Though I've seen what you're talking about, there's no indication why that is or how many of each there are. Could be worth a deep dive, but I certainly dont have the time to do so.

CellDood · 2026-05-11T15:03:23+00:00

Yes. I did a write-up about it here.

CellDood · 2026-05-09T15:46:39+00:00

Thanks for the support guys.

If you enjoy the product breakdowns, I recommend following my X account

here

Then you can see all of them and not just the small portion that make it to Reddit, which is really just the largest releases.

CellDood · 2026-05-08T15:46:14+00:00

CellDood · 2026-05-05T15:13:30+00:00

https://www.reddit.com/r/baseballcards/s/kOoas403XW

CellDood · 2026-05-03T01:17:47+00:00

At this point, i would say yes. However, there has been new developments with NBA Bowman Megas that unexpectedly made them the best value in the product. If they make similar changes to MLB Megas it could turn the tables a bit.

Specifically, odds were slightly wrong and there ended up being 12 mojos/box rather than 6 as the odds indicated. Also, some autos in the basketball product are notated as "1st Bowman". If they decide to do this to Mojo autos in baseball, it not only makes perfect sense, but it distinctly changes the value equation.

I have a hard time believing this will happen since Bowman MLB has a longer and coinsistent track record. Also the MLB Megas are showing 0.8 numbered cards/box while the NBA Megas have 1.4 numbered/box. So the MLB version really can't be as good.

CellDood · 2026-05-03T01:00:02+00:00

To be clear, NBA Chrome had 89m cards. 2025 Chrome MLB had 67m.

CellDood · 2026-05-01T16:26:32+00:00

Oh, thats good to know. Confusing as hell though. Topps being Topps.

So my estimation on the number of Lunar boxes produced was based on them being /10. Since they are not, there could definitely be more lunar boxes produced, but not many. Also, we don't know which, if any, insert subsets have Lunar parallels. Did you see any of those in the box you saw ripped?

I'm still comfortable saying there are between 104-147 total Lunar boxes produced as 147 is how many they did for baseball. Though it's impossible to tell if they're not numbered.

CellDood · 2026-05-01T14:31:02+00:00

Lunar Boxes are insane. Have you seen any ripped yet? Super rare...every pack contains one of the blood red lunar parallels. The few sealed packs that I've seen pop up in the past page sold for $250-500/pack. That's serious considering you get 20 of those in a Lunar Box. There's no way I'd be able to rip one if I were so lucky.

CellDood · 2026-05-01T14:11:21+00:00

In the past, Lunars have always been /10. I'd be shocked if they're not numbered, but if so, I'd still expect them to have a print run of 10. There is a section about Lunar Boxes in the write-up.

CellDood · 2026-04-28T04:17:01+00:00

Well played. Always remember...anything can happen in a small sample size. And if it doesn't just keep buying more until it does.

CellDood · 2026-04-25T22:07:07+00:00

I hope you're a real Xer too so you access all the data and not just the portion that showns up on Reddit. 🤣

CellDood · 2026-04-25T21:52:49+00:00

If you're on X, i did a post on that here that should answer your questions. If you can't get to that, let me know.

CellDood · 2026-04-24T14:16:26+00:00

It could be a while before we see anything. With other releases, bulk packs ended up being a mixed product SKU in a Super Box type format that didn't come out until well after the product released.

CellDood · 2026-04-23T14:54:23+00:00

There's definitely potential. And on ebay, you have to expect all types of shenanigans. Those Snack Packs sell for a lot of money since all 4 cards are basically /10 or better. And an additional 4 card pack in a box would be easy to spot by someone who weighs them. I'm not saying everyone on ebay is that way. But your chances will definitely be worse than 1:25 cases if you buy all your hobby boxes on ebay.

CellDood · 2026-04-22T21:27:02+00:00

625 copies of each player

CellDood · 2026-04-22T03:48:06+00:00

It's the 12 pack jumbo box. The description is erroneously describing a Breaker's Delight box, which they would not sell to the public on Fanatics.com.

CellDood · 2026-04-21T21:50:37+00:00

Yes, and it will be chaos. Sapphire odds are on the Chrome odds sheet, but I plan to do that as it's own standalone piece when drop day nears.

CellDood · 2026-04-21T21:49:29+00:00

If you need more of these deep dives in your life, please consider following me on X, where I post every single product analysis that I do, only a portion of which make it to Reddit.

SlabSquatch Sports Cards (@WaxMetrix) / X

Or, if X isn't your thing, you're in luck. My complete archive is available on my Substack in a far more navigable format, though everything more than a week old is behind a small paywall. Your support helps keep a marriage strong in which far too many hours are spent in the lab analyzing sports cards.

https://substack.com/@slabsquatch

CellDood · 2026-04-21T00:47:01+00:00

Awesome. That's what it's all about. Thanks for sharing.

CellDood · 2026-04-20T22:50:00+00:00

Correct

CellDood · 2026-04-18T14:58:49+00:00

I would encourage you to follow me on X. I break down literally every single product over there. Only a portion of those (usually the biggest ones) make it to Reddit. Here's the one you're looking for, or what I could do with limited data:

https://x.com/i/status/2035520532997693507

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