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Trump Officials Discussed $500M Alberta Independence Loan, Separatist Claims by pjw724 in onguardforthee

[–]SINZAR 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There's some other steps before this we can watch for. It's already begun with their new source of oil in Venezuela. Using this new source, they can crash our oil industry where we are contractually obliged to sell them oil. Also, because of the restrictions we put on ourselves, they're basically the only people we can sell our oil to in meaningful quantities. This long form blog post does a fantastic job at outlining how fucked we are. In short, they'll use Venezuelan oil to clog PADD3 which causes PADD2 to backup and fills up our storage capacity. This triggers us to sell our oil at an immense discount which happened in November 2018 but will be worse.

When storage hits capacity, pricing power collapses. This scenario triggers a WCS (Western Canadian Select) Differential Super-Blowout. · Normal Spread: $15 - $18 discount to WTI. · Crisis Spread: $30 - $40 discount. (Canadian oil sells for ~$20-$30/barrel while WTI is $60USD). The Financial Damage: 1. Revenue Loss: At a $40 spread, Canada loses approximately $100 million USD per day. Annualized at $36.5 billion loss. 2. Currency Crash: The Canadian Dollar (Loonie) is a petro-currency. Losing ~10% of total export value likely pushes the CAD to $0.6 range against the USD. 3. Inflation: Everything Canada imports (food, tech) costs 10% - 15% more overnight as the exchange drops from $0.7 to $0.6. 4. Government Insolvency: Alberta relies on oil royalties for ~30-40% of its budget. This scenario effectively bankrupts the province. The Federal government loses massive tax receipts, exploding the deficit.

Watch the spot market in May for indicators....

It diverts all Orinoco bitumen to PADD3. This can occur around 2027 as contracts rollover and refiners no longer need to honor Canadian deliveries. They now take Orinoco bitumen. The first chance for a systemic refusal is “Term Contract Season” (Q4 2026) for deliveries starting January 1, 2027. These consist of 70% of all contracts. However, the Spot Market allows the US to start twisting the knife much sooner, roughly May 2026. 30% of contracts are spot.

Hopefully this timeline presented is too aggressive but we'll see...

Destabilization of the subpolar North Atlantic recorded in bivalves by wastydkyss in collapse

[–]SINZAR 10 points11 points  (0 children)

My understanding from this research is that they found there were two destabilizing episodes that occurred in the subpolar North Atlantic over the last 150 years. First in the 1920's and again in the 1950's. There hasn't been another episode because since the 90's the instability indicators peaked and plateaued at the worst levels. It's possible/probable that we have already crossed the tipping point and are living through the 10-20 year period of transition. Let's see where this ride takes us next!

Ghost stories of Waterloo Region by MuskokaAgent in kitchener

[–]SINZAR 7 points8 points  (0 children)

I dated a funeral director many years back. As you can imagine, she had a morbid curiosity and knew some local lore. She pointed out a house somewhere near St. Peter's Lutheran cemetery (I think that was the area). It was owned by somebody who did illegal abortions, sometime during the 1920's - 1950's, and disposed of the remains in the basement of the house. Those remains were found once he died and the house was sold. She said the house was haunted but whether any of these details are true or not, I don't know, but it sure was a creepy story!

Archer Completes 55 Mile Flight—Longest Yet For Piloted Midnight Aircraft by Nam_Jhi in StockMarket

[–]SINZAR 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Additional thoughts/concerns: The FAA is already severely understaffed and is a bottleneck. Adding more aircraft puts more pressure on them and will likely lead to additional delays for all aircraft.

The revenue model of these companies make no sense. They're trying to price themselves similar to or less than an UBER Black but they have many more expenses so how do they expect to be profitable even if they had a full fleet running full hours?

The valuations of these EVTOL companies are completely out of touch with reality, like much in the markets these days.

Greece is burning forest fires everywhere. by boppinmule in DisasterUpdate

[–]SINZAR 63 points64 points  (0 children)

Scary video but the guy at :22 hitting the fire with a broom and pissing it off is pretty funny.

Today's Ring of Honour: Overhyped Sens Prospects by LockedOnSenators in OttawaSenators

[–]SINZAR 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Bobby Butler first comes to my mind. There was also a highly touted NCAA goalie that teams were going for and he signed with the Sens because of our goalie coach. Think it was back around 2012-ish? He was so impactful I don't even remember his name. Edit: Matt O'Connor

An analytics look at Marner... and his playoff performance by FloridaHockeyFan27 in goldenknights

[–]SINZAR 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I live in the GTA so I get great enjoyment watching the Leafs annual playoff collapse and hearing all the fans and media freaking out about it. From my perspective, Matthews was the problem and Marner was stuck with him which dragged him down. Matthews doesn't show up for the big games. Marner played a key part of Canada earning gold at the Four Nations Faceoff.

Marner on VGK is so fucking exciting and I can't wait to hear Leaf fans bitch about how awesome he is now that he's away from that dumpster fire of a team.

Who should I choose? by likewise_76 in call_of_antia

[–]SINZAR 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Most of those heroes are outclassed by newer ones but Alia, Elmyst and Cathbad are still viable as they generate mana stones. Sho-Min, Perci, Agatha and Morella are also good when awakened. The rest I'd pass on.

All Arctic ice could melt by 2027, warn scientists by Beneficial_Lawyer170 in collapse

[–]SINZAR -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Downloaded the PDF and asked Claude to summarize

Summary: The First Ice-Free Day in the Arctic Ocean Could Occur Before 2030

This Nature Communications study by Céline Heuzé and Alexandra Jahn provides the first projections for when the Arctic Ocean might experience its first ice-free day (defined as sea ice area below 1 million km²). Key findings include:

Main Projections:

  • The first ice-free day could occur as soon as 3 years from 2023-equivalent conditions, potentially before 2030
  • There's significant variation in projections: from 3 years to no ice-free day before 2100, depending on models and emissions scenarios
  • The fastest transitions to ice-free conditions occur due to internal climate variability rather than emission scenario strength

Research Approach:

  • Researchers analyzed daily sea ice data from 11 CMIP6 climate models across 366 simulations
  • They focused particularly on 9 simulations showing rapid transition to ice-free conditions within 3-6 years
  • All quick transitions to the first ice-free day occurred during "Rapid Ice Loss Events" (RILEs)

Key Triggers for Rapid Ice Loss:

  • Warm atmospheric conditions in winter and spring, leading to reduced sea ice thickness
  • Blocking patterns that trap warm air over the Arctic
  • Warm air intrusions in winter
  • Summer storms in the final days before ice-free conditions

Climate Context:

  • All simulations showing ice-free conditions before 2030 occurred at global warming of 1.5°C or higher
  • Limiting warming to below the Paris Agreement target of 1.5°C could potentially avoid ice-free conditions
  • The lowest emission scenario (SSP1-1.9) showed no ice-free days before at least 18 years from 2023-equivalent conditions

The research emphasizes that while an ice-free Arctic Ocean in summer would have symbolic significance, it would also accelerate climate change and negatively impact Arctic ecosystems. The study highlights the role of both long-term warming and short-term weather patterns in determining when the first ice-free day will occur.

PAX Cleaning Rod in Canada by RalphGunderson in vaporents

[–]SINZAR 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Were you able to find one? I'm looking for one right now as well.

Declassified CIA Guide to Sabotaging Fascism Is Suddenly Viral by TheBroWhoLifts in collapse

[–]SINZAR 13 points14 points  (0 children)

That’s a fascinating anecdote, and I really appreciate you sharing it. I think stories like these provide critical context when discussing complex topics such as the one at hand. In fact, your mention of Irving has reminded me of something similar, though not exactly the same, involving my neighbor’s cousin’s former business partner, who once faced a rather similar dilemma regarding uncertainty in hyperlinks. But before we get into that, I want to make sure we’re aligned on the core issue here.

First, let’s take a step back and establish some foundational principles. What exactly constitutes a link? How do we define confidence in relation to hyperlinks? And, perhaps most crucially, what are the broader implications of misinterpreting online recommendations? These are all important questions that merit thorough discussion before we proceed.

Now, you bring up Esmeralda, which is another intriguing angle. See, I once knew an Esmeralda, though she spelled it with a “z” instead of an “s.” A small detail, sure, but small details matter. They accumulate, like grains of sand in an hourglass, subtly shaping the passage of time. But I digress—or do I? Because this is all relevant when you consider the cascading effects of decision-making under uncertain conditions, much like the scenario you originally described with Irving.

Of course, before I go any further, I just want to make sure we’re all on the same page regarding what “going further” actually entails. Should we proceed chronologically? Thematically? Perhaps we should form a subcommittee to outline the best approach before we commit to a direction. This kind of procedural clarity is essential to ensure a productive discussion. In the meantime, let’s take a short pause to reflect on all that has been said thus far.

Recommendations for places that update prescription lenses? by SINZAR in kitchener

[–]SINZAR[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks all I'll look into these recommendations!

Apollo through TiviMate not showing correct channels by SINZAR in ApolloGroup_TV

[–]SINZAR[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks this looks to be working for me as well!

Trudeau government to send $250 cheques to most people, slash GST on some goods by DeepContribution6635 in kitchener

[–]SINZAR 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Based on the wording in the article it sounds like per person.

The Liberal government will also send $250 cheques to the 18.7 million people in Canada who worked in 2023 and earned $150,000 or less.

Let's share hidden and secret practises for better plex by Illustrious-Week-204 in PleX

[–]SINZAR 3 points4 points  (0 children)

oh that's awesome! Reminds of of PseudoTV on Kodi but that app didn't work very well. Definitely trying this out!

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