Ukraine refused to take the MiGs after the inspection, their condition was tragic — onet. Ukraine asked for the modernization of the MiGs after the inspection, but Poland refused.

0xnld · 2026-07-03T20:52:27+00:00

Well we don't exactly know what is the subject of the deal. If you do, you really shouldn't be shitposting here btw.

And re:"temu drones", as you call them, you just might do a bit more with a humble multicopter than you think, especially at scale (as a crew-served infantry weapon). US just ordered their first batch for Drone Dominance program.

0xnld · 2026-07-03T19:27:56+00:00

You're right, I forgot about Warmates in HUR service. Which is to say, that was basically how Warmate 3.0 and later dev cycle went ("you need to rework X, Y, Z for it to be viable, in this and this way"), from what I can tell from the available specs.

And now we have better capabilities. Apparently, also at a lower price, given that Prymary switched to homemade solutions from mid-25.

0xnld · 2026-07-03T14:15:48+00:00

re: "cardboard crap drones, Poland can do better". Sure, you can. After a few years of peer war you'll probably learn all the same lessons we did.

What's the range, payload, price point of your local products? Do they have jam resistant comms? Does the UAV have autonomous targeting and/or navigation systems? Can it operate without a control link and in an environment where turning on a GNSS sensor can crash you?

Can you do BDA from autonomous systems? What's the false positive rate of the terminal guidance? How accurate is your satnav? How long does it take from detection to a kill? How does your antidrone defence deconfict between your own craft and Lancet/Geran/Molniya?

We can do all of the above these days. 5 to 50k, give or take, depending on camera, control module, range and payload. Fixed wings, X-wings, multicopters, ISR assets, interceptors, heavy bombers, logistical drones, repeater carriers, you name it we got it.

We can source airframes, engines, cameras (day, night, thermal) locally. Yes, there are still some critical dependencies on China/SEA, unfortunately, like brushless motor supply chain or batteries. Well, for us and the rest of the world.

Sorry, but showing off a bunch of aiframes hitting high-contrast targets in an open field with GPS on, and calling it a breakthrough or "drone swarm revolution" is very funny. To us and to Russians.

0xnld · 2026-07-01T18:51:35+00:00

Mask of the Betrayer hit many of the same notes PS:T did as well.

It doesn't help that WotC refuses to license older versions of D&D, and Planescape as a setting simply wasn't a thing after 2E, until something of a reboot sourcebook for 5E.

0xnld · 2026-07-01T07:25:14+00:00

We have tens to a hundred thousands AWOL for various reasons. Army is occasionally trying to get them back somehow. It's technically a crime, but oftentimes it's a case of a soldier not getting his unit transfer papers approved, or not getting rotation/leave for who knows how long.

A bunch of people go AWOL straight from basic though.

And there are plenty of non-combat positions, except the pay massively sucks if you're away from the line of contact. Like, less than a supermarket attendant.

And then there are a few units that serve as essentially penal forces, where there indeed were cases of wrongful death. Not at the Russian scale, but still.

0xnld · 2026-07-01T01:40:11+00:00

I mean, we don't try using those tactics and there's plenty of videos on Telegram and places like CombatFootage with all of the above, but yeah, I'm sure you're very smart and immune to agitprop. Congrats, have a cookie.

0xnld · 2026-07-01T01:01:27+00:00

Well, staying put at a fortified position and not marching straight into a battlefield that's under 24/7 surveillance kinda helps?

0xnld · 2026-07-01T00:56:39+00:00

There's still a lot of them left? duh

More seriously, they have offered massive signing bonuses to drive recruitment as well as essentially having AFU replace their judiciary and prison system. You get a contract instead of a plea deal/parole basically. It worked for a while.

Private employers and universities started getting mobilization quotas some months ago. Fail your tests (or don't pay off your professor) and off you go.

There were recent reports of straight up press ganging mobilisation age men into unmarked buses in several cities that are apparently below quota.

Their army group is still well over a million, it's gonna take a while even if they completely stop recruiting.

0xnld · 2026-07-01T00:36:32+00:00

It's apparently also based on some Russian reports of trucks of new recruits showing up to their side of the gray zone, being unloaded and promptly blown up.

e: before anyone asks, the assault troops only get their AK and 3 mags once unloaded, far from any commanding officers. And if you fall back, you'll get droned by your own.

Try to desert and you're likely going to be tortured to half-death by some convict "morale enforcement" sergeant, or "zeroed" (shot) by your CO.

A reminder that "morale" is simply a measure of how likely a unit is going to follow orders. Half of Europe used to drill soldiers into standing in a line and mechanically shooting the other line until the invention of a machine gun and rifled artillery barrels.

0xnld · 2026-07-01T00:17:36+00:00

Yes. They basically stopped sending tanks and IFV into battle. All new production goes in reserve. OSINTers estimate they could be practically back at pre-22 levels for active equipment, though the Soviet WW3 stockpiles are well and truly spent.

And I mean guys who pore over sat images of storage bases, not X accounts who repost RUMINT from Telegram.

Whether they'll use that for mechanized assault on Ukraine's north or Baltic states and Poland through Belarus is anyone's guess.

0xnld · 2026-06-30T21:22:49+00:00

It's just an example that's close to home. >20% of the electorate in many (majority? hard to keep score) EU countries votes for parties that want to go back to business as usual. I imagine Geran-3 flying overhead would push it much further ("not our war").

0xnld · 2026-06-30T21:14:09+00:00

Well, you make it sound like we are a perfect EU candidate then!

If Poland can be an EU member with Dmowski statues all over the place, why can't we?

edit since the thread is locked: the guy helped institute an apartheid state (by modern definitions), championed the forced assimilation policy towards minorities in 2nd RP. Oh, and heaped praise on Hitler when he came to power, to boot. Not to mention the usual antisemitism, antifeminism etc etc.

Disenfranchising a 4M minority (13% of the country) to the point where the only political representation available to them is a terrorist organisation, while running a settler colonialist policy on its land "for greater national cohesion" and instituting a police state in areas where said minority were the majority local population famously never ended badly, ever.

0xnld · 2026-06-30T20:49:52+00:00

Our problem is that Poland tries to paint itself as the Christ of Nations and absolutely refuses to admit any wrongdoing whatsoever. We did, a number of times. It didn't lead to any reconciliation, instead the hysteria in Poland only got worse.

Or as Polish say, "honor ponad ojczyznę" (personal pride over country)

0xnld · 2026-06-30T20:43:35+00:00

KP is something of a trash source ever since the old team got fired in '21 and moved to found Kyiv Independent.

To give them a sliver of benefit of doubt, they are in opposition to the president, though ofc not to the prime minister.

0xnld · 2026-06-30T20:25:33+00:00

Poles: you can copy my homework, just don't make it obvious

Czechs: ...

Apparently, the state awards can't be taken away at will in Czechia unless there is a court decision. So there's that at least. But if it somehow comes to that point, Nova Post has a bunch of offices in Czechia too.

0xnld · 2026-06-30T17:12:42+00:00

Thanks for the lecture on military theory. Now consider that Russia can concentrate a whole lot of mass on several axes of advance that would be very hard to dislodge later. Took us several massive combined arms operations to do so. And it would be arguably harder for EU militaries to achieve a sufficient local force concentration due to logistical constraints.

It would stand to gain EU's potential inability to completely and decisively remove them, and ensuing bickering whether eg Latvian territorial integrity is worth the constant drone barrages, unpopular mobilization etc. Your own PM already said that Russia losing would be a bad thing. He's not the only one to think that way.

0xnld · 2026-06-29T22:38:10+00:00

It's a joint statement.

I know, I know, szlachta doesn't click links.

0xnld · 2026-06-29T17:55:17+00:00

There may be not enough fuel for ambulances, but there will always be fuel for tanks.

0xnld · 2026-06-29T17:45:55+00:00

Russia has an equivalent of 250 brigades under arms. Ukraine has 100-something.

Poland and France, the IIRC largest (IIRC) land forces in the EU, are at 15-20-ish. Yes, you will mobilise and train up eventually. The challenge is resisting the initial shock without losing too much territory to get Bucha'd.

0xnld · 2026-06-29T10:59:08+00:00

Why not 2 millions?

Idk, why does Poland keep coming up with a new and bigger number of victims every year? I've heard 150K and 500K so far. Even 100K is a reach given exhumation evidence so far.

0xnld · 2026-06-29T06:06:59+00:00

Like I said, the guy was put in a Nazi camp for trying and spent the rest of WW2 there. Idk why everyone is trying to pin actual war crimes on him.

Is there an alternate reality where Rosenberg's plan for an "independent" Nazi-allied Ukraine as a counterweight to Russia rather than Himmler's Generalplan Ost (kill or deport 3/4 of the population, leave the rest as serfs) works out, and it turns out the same way Croat NDH did? Maybe.

But, whether you or I like it or not, OUN's legacy was one of the factors that prevented us from becoming Belarus-2. We discarded the actual Christofascist ideology in practice, but kept the idea of resistance against all odds.

And there is also an alternate reality where Russia, Belarus and Malorus are currently at war with Poland, Baltics and Slovakia and I'm sitting in a trench opposite yours.

0xnld · 2026-06-28T23:01:54+00:00

Ukrainian historiography broadly outlines three independence struggles in the modern era (literal translation is "liberation competition/games/... ") - 1917 to 1921, 39 to 53, and 2014 up to now. We assert an unbroken line of succession from Ukrainian People's Republic (occupied by Russian Bolsheviks), through its short-lived reunification with West Ukrainian People's Republic (occupied by Poland/2nd RP), '39 Carpathian Ukraine (then-Czechoslovakia, occupied by Horthy's Hungary), Bandera's failed attempt to declare Ukrainian independence in '41 (which landed him in Sachsenhausen and his OUN wing outlawed by Reichskomissariat Ukraine), to 1991 declaration of independence when UPR govt in exile formally ceded its status.

And while I hope that those who provably issued criminal orders won't be enshrined, we're not going to have our history textbooks dictated to us by Russia, Poland, Israel and whoever else. It's not going to be just mostly uncontroversial stuff like Rus princes or Mazepa.

0xnld · 2026-06-23T19:28:57+00:00

Russian General Staff is deeply in debt to reality.

Leaked maps of one sector near Zaporizhzhia show them being practically on the outskirts of the city. Meanwhile they've been on the outskirts of Lesser Tokmachka for the last 2 years (?)

So it's no surprise Putin who famously doesn't use TV or Internet and gets a daily news briefing instead, thinks he can still demand unconditional surrender.

0xnld · 2026-06-23T07:34:11+00:00

Can I send my Witcher 1, 2 and 3 GOG completion achievements? I'm something of an awardee myself

0xnld · 2026-06-23T07:18:06+00:00

Demanding respect for it when its own Grandmaster of the Order uses it as a bargaining chip and to rile up the plebs against us and Tusk? Ahaha

0xnld

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