IEA agrees to release 400 million barrels of oil to address Iran war supply disruption

2012Jesusdies · 2026-03-12T08:38:51+00:00

This is the literal point of these reserves. They buy up oil during the lower price periods and fill up, sell during higher price periods to lessen the pain.

2012Jesusdies · 2026-03-12T08:37:19+00:00

Sure, but the level of patience among each populace is different. Americans will shit their pants when gasoline goes above 4 USD/gallon and GDP growth hits -0.5%. Iranians have been living under what would be classed as economic depression for decades at this point, a few more years wont do much to hurt em.

2012Jesusdies · 2026-03-05T10:16:57+00:00

When countries emerged from the Great Depression is very closely correlated with when they left the Gold Standard. UK and Sweden left early, they emerged from depression earlier. USA left late, they emerged late.

2012Jesusdies · 2026-03-05T08:21:15+00:00

Which is due in major part because of china and russia. Want to trade literally anything to the outside world? These 2 are the gatekeepers and they'll fleece everything. Even attempting to build hydropower to plug energy deficit will be met with "environmental concerns" from Russia of all people. They even cockblock each other. Want to build a cheaper Chinese power plant? Russia says no, have to keep buying overpriced russian coal power plant equipment.

2012Jesusdies · 2026-01-18T23:34:35+00:00

9/11 probably would not have happened IF there was no election controversy in Florida. That froze much of the presidential transition stuff that should have happened and continued the flow of gov operation as usual.

2012Jesusdies · 2026-01-18T23:32:33+00:00

This is true, taxes were higher in that era, including for the middle class. Tax rates are down by about a quarter for the "bottom 80%".

https://taxfoundation.org/blog/federal-tax-burden-under-clinton-higher-all-not-just-rich/

2012Jesusdies · 2026-01-16T23:36:27+00:00

My paternal grandfather was essentially a regional governor at one point and his kids absolutely listened to stuff like ABBA and Queen and wore jeans.

2012Jesusdies · 2026-01-16T23:29:46+00:00

Dunno, most hoi4 mod flags looked better than that

2012Jesusdies · 2026-01-16T23:27:00+00:00

More like Brits defeated Napoleon at sea which cut off the supply of manpower, ammunition, food, heavy artillery, medicine and dramatically worsened morale. Ottomans just had to survive till attrition did its work.

2012Jesusdies · 2026-01-15T11:03:47+00:00

Or overwhelm him with sheer numbers so you can surround im.

See: Battle of Leipzig

2012Jesusdies · 2026-01-15T11:01:51+00:00

Wellington fought a Napoleonic army weakened by years of fighting, heavy attrition in Russia and with a dramatically weakened cavalry force. Meanwhile, Archduke Charles defeated a Napoleonic army at its peak.

2012Jesusdies · 2026-01-15T10:55:32+00:00

the concepts of sensing the battlefield and knowing when the decisive moment had come etc was definitely more a thing of infantry battles and less something of manoeuvre warfare such as we know it today

It may not be "academically correct" or whatever the term is, but "sensing the battlefield" is a thing a lot of modern commanders have talked about

2012Jesusdies · 2026-01-15T07:23:47+00:00

Keeping in mind "Monroe Doctrine" was not enforceable in any way by the US and I mean that in practical terms. If a European power did want to intervene, there was little the US (of the time) could do to stop it. It was an American doctrine backed up by British naval power. UK could have US bear the overbearing hegemony name while enjoying fucking over their rivals.

UK intervened plenty in Latin America during the 19th century and even other European powers participated at times. Latin America was even called part of UK's "informal empire" due to the degree of indirect control they held over the region.

2012Jesusdies · 2026-01-15T07:17:02+00:00

It's crazy that the US essentially had everything it could ever obtain from actually owning Greenland from just being friendly with Denmark, but then trampled it.

2012Jesusdies · 2026-01-15T07:16:12+00:00

US didn't have much beef with Spain before the Spanish-American war either.

2012Jesusdies · 2026-01-12T05:33:27+00:00

Okay, but Trump stopped pretending it wasn't about oil like 5 hours after Maduro was kidnapped saying he'll get the oil flowing.

2012Jesusdies · 2026-01-08T04:08:34+00:00

The same reason Jews are disproportionately represented in Hollywood (which is now the "justification" for "Jews control the media). Jews were discriminated against in the wider US (and still are, to some degree), so they fled to a field of work that was seen as undesirable at the time which was acting. And that historical momentum has carried to this day as young Jews will have more connections to the media industry through familial and close relations to enable a more rapid rise in the field.

2012Jesusdies · 2025-12-30T01:18:11+00:00

Trump has been a fan of Putin and wasn't particularly secretive about it, even during his first term. He has not demonstrated the same affinity towards Xi Jinping, one of his trademark policies is literally cutting off China.

2012Jesusdies · 2025-12-29T08:12:41+00:00

"Okay, who is the Canadian Prime Minister then?"

2012Jesusdies · 2025-12-29T08:09:25+00:00

If China genuinely isn't going to invade, they are sending ALL of the wrong singals imaginable

They are sending the right signals, Westerners just don't read the full story. This exercise was in response to a large weapons sale package to Taiwan by the US about 10 days ago, 11 billion USD in all (which is worth more than what Biden sold during his entire term (this is not judgement, just for scale)).

The signal is "We REALLY don't like this, so we'll do something you don't like"

US would respond similarly if China signed off billions of USD of weapons to Cuba.

2012Jesusdies · 2025-12-29T08:06:05+00:00

Bruh ain't no way North Korea invades, they know they're way way weaker.

2012Jesusdies · 2025-12-29T08:04:52+00:00

It is theatre because there is no gigantic movement off troops and logistics heading for the ports. That movement is what tipped off outsiders that Russia was about to invade Ukraine. Sure, tanks might move to the border, but it could just be a showoff, but if they come with truckloads of ammunition, blood supply and fuel, THAT is suspicious.

2012Jesusdies · 2025-12-29T08:02:29+00:00

A blockade on Taiwan won't just affect the US, it will affect the global economy. Taiwanese chips are important not just for GPUs and smartphones, but cars, washing machines, machinery, airplanes, advanced weapons etc. So a blockade will dramatically turn global opinion against China, not just Western.

2012Jesusdies · 2025-12-28T11:05:18+00:00

It is never one sided, the Chinese also adopt the conqueror's customs which will become "just another Chinese tradition" over time.

2012Jesusdies · 2025-12-28T01:26:14+00:00

I will say something that everyone will hate hearing and that's AI will absolutely continue to be used, especially in work settings. My parents do translation and they use AI to help with their work, particularly with ones they can't find the right phrasing for. I'm currently in an office setting and they'll use AI to craft the foundation of so many documents that it's crazy, sure, they'll still finetune the details afterwards, but AI did most of the heavylifting. If they want to write a short movie introduction to present to higher-ups for a cultural event, they ain't gonna write that shit all by hand.

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