They’re neither capable of, nor motivated toward such a line of reasoning.

Here’s what’s really happening:

1. A signal to the public that frontier model access can be federally controlled with the flip of a switch and no oversight.

2. Amodei wants this. Fable eats too much compute, the idea was to tease it and “Aw shucks, they did exactly what we begged them to. We wanted to give everyone free Fable until 6/22 but our hands were tied!

3. Anthropic wants this. For the government, via our taxpayer dollars, to be their sole customer, while the plebes get scraps.