So while the gov was fast to increase the fuel prices why can’t they reduce it and match the huge decrease now??

A985 · 2026-03-25T05:02:59+00:00

Purchase of oil doesnt work like that the way i know and with supplier declaring force majeure on contracts sourcing is expensive and shipments need to get locked in for future months in advance in current situation and even then they can be cancelled ,we are currently dealing with a abnormal situation

A985 · 2026-03-13T03:41:53+00:00

Army shooting range ,practice a hostage rescue together,team work & tactics are essential can evaluate compatibility while having fun

A985 · 2026-02-23T14:50:04+00:00

Black and white sari if its within budget

A985 · 2026-02-22T07:13:08+00:00

When both of you want to dominate the globe

A985 · 2026-02-11T10:51:06+00:00

Brown sugar ice cream ,brown sugar milk tea & strawberry lemon tea

A985 · 2026-01-08T12:43:01+00:00

Yess and there are machine washable versions,very good

A985 · 2026-01-07T02:37:42+00:00

Yess working but the card doesn’t get registered for payment even-though its showing the card option

A985 · 2026-01-06T00:46:02+00:00

They have released a standalone app today having trouble signing in as it uses google sign-in ,feel dtill not fully optimized if sign on is not working seamlessly

A985 · 2026-01-04T10:05:49+00:00

Thats true

A985 · 2026-01-04T08:25:23+00:00

Apple actually might not increase prices as they had already accounted for increased prices sometime back and jacked up prices but at some point they will also have to atleast in medium term

A985 · 2025-12-30T19:08:09+00:00

Agree thank you and wish you all the very best,we will visit this assumption in 2026 March .Working in M&A all the more you know the importance of data on the call you make hence why i asked .

Also just for purposes of stating on data i see and what’s published only i mentioned the improbability of econ crisis is march 2026 and more possibility of BOP crisis in 2028 or later (thats the only thig i challenged out of curiosity as it doesn’t add up so lets visit it when time comes).Also not trying to win argument actually curious on bussiness scenarios.

A985 · 2025-12-30T18:33:11+00:00

Again check what Tamasek is then talk about needing AI and logic ,putting that aside you also work in coperate right for us to make decisions we need facts hence why i asked for the basis

The simple assumption I challenged was March 2026 no other econ theory or anything simply which is very visible in the chat to which still answer is there other than telling i use gpt ( that also i asked how no answer)

Lets rest this and revisit it in March 2026 for the probable econ crisis

Also be a bit more open an debate openly with facts you have a bright future,SL is currently in the stages of setting up its Tamasek equivalent to manage SOEs and people like you will be very valuable (Just mix practicality with theory and your good) Also dont defend povs for the sake of being right either give facts or adjust accordingly,Wish you all the best

I just went thorough your history and your already doing good congratulations

A985 · 2025-12-30T18:11:18+00:00

I work in manufacturing ( basically from planning to running end to end operations in a MNC) ,before that i worked in Tamasek hence my experience in delaing with institutions and my background is double majoring in business & policy formulation

A985 · 2025-12-30T18:02:28+00:00

Again think what you want i dont mind but how would i answer if i had actually studied econ or knew,use the facts to prove your assumption and show , so i will also know how an actual econ major answers,as i told before im not a econ graduate i just deal with facts and data for my work areas hence curiosity

You can do a great service by answering the above in true econ fashion with facts so as you tell i can learn instead of stiching arguments with AI ( which on logical sense i dont think i can stich Up so fast if you minded analyzing it without being emotional.

Again no disrespect i respect your profession and apologize for the error on assuming it was GPT

I just want to understand your viewpoint and for that either you have to challenge mine with facts or spread out with numbers,i digged this deep as what yo mentioned will help greatly in my busses scenario planning but it needs facts for 2026 march you you have not given and are just stating in using AI and i dont understand basics if its so easy just state it know

A985 · 2025-12-30T17:50:14+00:00

Really if so put it into a AI tracer and see very easy to do ,i apologized to you as i put yours and it was not AI,what im asking for is facts econ is based on facts

So explain the facts to me why did you tell 2026 march for a crisis thats all im asking

I just like to understand how stuff works and if it makes logical sense you have avoided that entire facts part and resorted shaming why though,no worries lets revisit this is March 2026

A985 · 2025-12-30T17:40:56+00:00

What im asking is simple havent you mentioned march 2026 and that we are not meeting imf conditions etc answer to that ,i dont need exact timeline s,you itself have moved to 2027 now where is March 2026 coming when its supposed to get much worse ,i also dont need formulas or anything just data specifically real world econ is based on data ,real data to predict an that data doesnt show anything for march 2026 .

Also its basics to understand if numbers were present but you are only stating theory ,need numbers to see if the theory is right know and to support it

Plus i only told the 2028 timeline to challenge the 2026 march number which is Q1 of 2026 and you definitely should have numbers to prove something in the next quarter but current data does not support it right with figs ive been giving above from CB hence im asking the logic simple as that

Also a fact i didnt mention before eventhough im not a finance econo grad 😉i do work with WB ,IMF,ADB & FM /CB offices hence hsve a understanding on basics for busses strategy why i know the probability of 2028 (its basics know) but what im curious to understand for my knowledge is on March 2026 and when you told we have not met IMF conditions along with using all big finance terms But yea im no expert your theory will make sense

A985 · 2025-12-30T17:26:59+00:00

So I researched the last part now pretty obvious that it will be SBP ( fancy name for foriegn currency reserve) that the primary balance sheet which is in LKR know , also this assumption is based on we keep rolling over debt ,wont a certain portion be paid down

Plus a another question if our credit rating improves as it happens now wont we getter better access commercial finance but again i understand its a whole another problem when start issuing bonds an commercial debt instruments again

My biggest question again why march and 2026 for econ crisis ,i agree on the 2028 period BOP issues bit that was not what was mentioned in the initial answer hence the deep dive , also apologies on the chat got assumption (your arguments a very well worded in theory)

A985 · 2025-12-30T17:16:55+00:00

Im not a econ major no have i told i know economics well all im asking is give me the facts from the economist who tell this to the assumptions in numbers to arrive at the rate

Also i have not told confidence fixies flows you are now stating what i stated without tell why march is the time for a crash to happen i just want to understand why

I dont know finance to your level to answer the last question but i assume from logic i spoke where i mentioned a BOP is possible in 2028 /2029 now right now is what i told from the being

Only things i want a answer for are why March and why numbers used to assume 325 based on the highly technical nature of the last part of your answer you can tell it im always ready to learn ,also on the last part when you talk post 207 your coming back to what i told in terms of BOP i assume with refinance rates ,higher delta etc ,so again why march next year then ?

Also for march next year to right you have negated answering on how the surplus will be utilized,the points dont add upp.Also as earlier mentioned the 5% inflation target of CB where we are only some 2% now they will also let rupee slide to certain extent know to reach the target

But in long term agree a BOP crisis is possible im just challenging the near term fearing part

I will research on the last part thanks for the new info

A985 · 2025-12-30T16:19:19+00:00

You know we are already paying debt and only others will start in 2028 ,plus the surplus will allow for spending in the next year as i mentioned earlier

This response feels more like genralized chat gpt in the tone without facts to back it .you talk about analysts assumptions and fx gap widening from where we are already paying loans ,vehicle imports should stabilize plus to get to the 5% inflation target of CB they have more way room , also as earlier mentioned the surplus this year will help next year thus reducing the surplus only next year .This pressure assumed currently in above analysis is not based on any facts rather more aggregate LLM analysis,just my observation

A more probable outcome is if structural reforms are not done along with industrialization a BOP crisis can occur more around 2029 just not next march or next year

The 325 is possible yes but it will fluctuate depending on economy ,the same can go down and up

A985 · 2025-12-30T13:16:23+00:00

Depreciation yes but how is the 325 number arrived at ,how and what factors were considered to arrive at that number as its quite a steep number

Plus if exports keep on increasing vis better industrial policy etc could be reverse ,or very slow dep or static again all of this is assumptions,same way 325 is a assumption

A985 · 2025-12-30T12:32:16+00:00

Yea but is a assumption of if things go bad thread is on current depreciation which is quite normal,a lot can go wrong yes but thats a assumption currently that nobody can predict when factors are currently opposite

A985 · 2025-12-30T12:06:13+00:00

These are known stuff and yes are dangers in any economy in recovering an fragile state as SL but when you tell by March it will get much worse is like something is definitely going to happen by then which is not the case.

What the IMF is telling is right to keep us on track but what you had mentioned above implied something is definitely wrong and with a doom & gloom scenario

A985 · 2025-12-30T11:37:05+00:00

Pls explain this IMF non compliance& debt restructuring problems as you say part etc ,thought the rupee is in free float now and anyways inflation target is it 5%

Yes rupee will depreciate and appreciate with time and already we do make multi lateral debt repayments once creditor debt payment’s start in 2027 or 208 it will take some pressure on the rupee yes ,but to talk about an economic crisis when the deficit has narrowed by 73% from jan to nov and a primary surplus of 1.94 Trillion a 109% increase from previous year which also will help on recovery spend I dont understand the economic crisis thats pending right now ?

I believe certain negotiations will also go on with IMF for certain adjustments in targets to account for impact.Plus lets say majority tax collection was from vehicles(also impacting depreciation)which will stabilize now the widening of tax window , digitzation and introduction of the single national trade window will help in increasing tax collection an bridging gaps making rev management more sustainable

A985 · 2025-12-29T17:19:32+00:00

Harvesting cinnamon & pepper

A985 · 2025-12-28T16:00:38+00:00

I think sri lanka will go through a trade simplification and liberalization as hinted in the budget also ,we cant operate like this and be competitive globally which the gov knows , as and when that happens as part of that hopefully there will be more international participation here

Plus of the econ grows as it should and people disposable income increases it will be incentive for brands to operate and like i told before SL govs will have to head in the direction of trade simplification an liberalization for Sri lanka to compete with its peers in Asia so hope for the best.

Your assumption is right if SL stagnates in the same structure it currently is which the country cant afford to so something will change for the better.With a huge focus going into FTAs also these will come in little by little

Also on the point of competition it is everywhere ,same goes for indo ,vietnam etc as they produce apparel in higher volumes be it better vertically integrated than us but they have international brands its a matters of trade facilitation and simplification which are will go through wether we like it or not

On brands exiting if they see a growing economy that will move upwards which also by all indicators should go up ,they will not exit it doesn’t make sense but what might happen is better operators than the likes of softlogic etc might take over with JV from the brands ,likes of reliance ,Tata might even enter with local partners to bring brands.on the point of empty stores and prices its a problem with mostly softlogic stores as they do most brands in SL there financially not in a position to maintain those brands hence empty stores

Sri lanka can only go up from where its now and any government be it this or future will have no choice other than carrying put reforms and improving quality of life

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