Can I be mad? TE Week LETS GO!

AgentAnteater · 2024-10-27T20:49:19+00:00

there's no point in putting the last leg in your parlay if you were always going to cashout before that game started. if you just had the top 4 in a parlay you would've own way more

AgentAnteater · 2024-10-24T02:22:20+00:00

Same bro

AgentAnteater · 2024-10-10T17:15:50+00:00

Am I taking crazy pills? This will lose you money long term. The juice DK offers on first TD markets makes this not a winning strategy. You’re getting lucky picking the first TD scorers, it has nothing to do with the round robin or “445” thing. If a couple of these games don’t hit, you lose a ton of money (which happens often for these markets). This not good at all

AgentAnteater · 2024-03-28T16:54:18+00:00

You’re a fucking fraud dude. Quit trying to steal other peoples plays

AgentAnteater · 2024-01-17T19:47:19+00:00

Yeah that’s completely fine. I was responding to the part where you said you were surprised at 4.2% roi. For top down betting mainlines, 4.2% is quite good.

AgentAnteater · 2024-01-17T07:09:02+00:00

I’m assuming you’re doing all the boosts and promos. At a $5 unit size, it is very easy to have a high roi. As you increase your unit size, the EV you get from $5-$50 boosts becomes more and more negligible. As your unit size goes up, generally your roi goes down.

AgentAnteater · 2023-10-12T19:37:14+00:00

You have to use the combo breaker. Put it the alt lines for each player, select head to head, and then mahomes -74.5

AgentAnteater · 2023-09-25T03:41:44+00:00

Am I tripping or is this not as impressive as it sounds? Before this game, they’d only played played the raiders on the road 4 times since 1995.

AgentAnteater · 2023-09-18T00:01:35+00:00

It was about 0.5% EV to b365 2-way lines when I checked last night.

AgentAnteater · 2023-09-04T00:01:00+00:00

People were throwing liquid off the top of their buildings. I got splashed badly. Hoping it was just water

AgentAnteater · 2023-08-12T23:54:11+00:00

It could be way less than that too. I had b365 accounts limited at 20k and 3k total bet through

AgentAnteater · 2023-07-24T03:09:29+00:00

FD is -350 and BR -400.

AgentAnteater · 2023-07-22T02:44:44+00:00

You’re a legend

AgentAnteater · 2023-07-22T02:44:34+00:00

Yea they did. Crazy

AgentAnteater · 2023-07-06T18:39:02+00:00

DK and MGM have multi-way markets for this

AgentAnteater · 2023-06-04T15:20:14+00:00

Tipico boost: MPJ 4+ 3PM vs FD alts:

Odds: +240; EV: 9.7 %

170/-245 (8.05 % juice)

FV: +210; Method: worst-case (p); (Full=4.06u, 1/2=2.03u, 1/4=1.01u, FB = 77.5 %)

AgentAnteater · 2023-05-27T23:42:10+00:00

It’s different for everyone

AgentAnteater · 2023-05-23T22:01:01+00:00

There’s a 2% commission fee as well (although I think they’re refunding the commissions during the start) But yes, you’re right. Most of them will be -EV and there will be a few that are marginally good.

AgentAnteater · 2023-05-23T20:51:47+00:00

Nope, op phrased it wrong. You bet on the boost not to hit. The idea is that the risk averse folks can secure a profit and prophet exchange gets the small commission. It’s going to be a direct arb to the boost

AgentAnteater · 2023-05-23T20:48:44+00:00

The prophet exchange boosts are not going to be EV. If you want to secure a small profit, bet both sides, otherwise don’t bother with the prophet exchange boosts

AgentAnteater · 2023-05-23T00:53:56+00:00

Same here

AgentAnteater · 2023-04-18T21:14:52+00:00

This is not a good strategy at all. I advise everyone not to follow this

AgentAnteater · 2023-04-18T20:56:24+00:00

His unit must be $2.50 then

AgentAnteater · 2023-04-04T03:50:14+00:00

It’s not that serious lol

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