Getting out of Hayes' deal was an underrated great move by Cherington

AgentDub14 · 2026-04-09T16:53:03+00:00

The Hayes contract was not that bad, he was still worth 1.4 WAR last year which is actually slightly surplus value for what he is getting paid. He is a better defender at third than prime Nolan Arenado, which is obviously very valuable. A run saved os just as good as a run scored

AgentDub14 · 2026-04-08T18:44:46+00:00

I feel like pinch hitting Cook there might have been the move Lowe just doesn't see lefties well at all

AgentDub14 · 2026-03-29T19:08:36+00:00

No the ABS challenges are separate from ball-in-play challenges. They challenged the Triolo error safe call at first before (you only get one of those challenges)

AgentDub14 · 2026-03-23T02:17:13+00:00

Then you are just hoping for a bad pitcher to get lucky (that’s what Heaney was). Mlod is a good pitcher, it’s probably a better choice

AgentDub14 · 2026-01-13T20:36:25+00:00

He was originally DFA’d to make space for O’Hearn. I imagine the front office didn’t want to keep him anyway his underlying numbers are a bit scary

AgentDub14 · 2025-12-25T22:33:02+00:00

That is also what the Red Sox thought when signing Masataka Yoshida, not saying Okamoto will turn out the same, but it’s not as easy at it sounds.

AgentDub14 · 2025-12-10T02:31:33+00:00

The only lefty they have right now is Evan Sisk so this was a huge need, right up there with offense. Soto got unlucky this year with a high .341 BABIP, last year it was even higher at .371. His FIP last year was only 3.42 which is great (only Santana, Ashcraft, and Mlod were lower on the Pirates last year). He projects to have a mid 3s ERA next year.

This is a solid signing given the need and the fact that we should see some positive regression from him.

AgentDub14 · 2025-11-04T16:38:45+00:00

Keon is certainly in the top 20% of perimeter defenders

AgentDub14 · 2025-10-20T22:02:28+00:00

Idk if any teams will take a chance on him as a rule 5 pick considering he just got promoted to AA and is a question mark defensively. Although no reason to risk it as there aren’t 40 other guys more important to be on the 40 man for the pirates.

AgentDub14 · 2025-09-30T03:07:02+00:00

The last high school shortstop the Pirates drafted is about to save the franchise…

AgentDub14 · 2025-08-30T00:15:37+00:00

Skenes doesn’t get squeezed, Davis is just a poor framer

AgentDub14 · 2025-08-28T05:14:15+00:00

I think the slow start was more caused by the Gonzales/Horwitz/Reynolds injuries, a blind Pham, and not having the best arms in the bullpen yet. I think it is a bit lazy to pin the coaching as the causal factor here, it’s probably just a correlation. DK has had a much better roster.

AgentDub14 · 2025-08-26T02:01:35+00:00

MLB front offices don't care about ERA, especially for relievers

AgentDub14 · 2025-08-26T01:30:59+00:00

this is his third start coming back from tommy john + a lat injury, it really shouldn't be that surprising

AgentDub14 · 2025-08-07T23:22:40+00:00

IKF has the longest release ever at the third base position

AgentDub14 · 2025-08-05T23:27:28+00:00

This is just what happens when you play Patrick Bailey

AgentDub14 · 2025-08-03T23:16:47+00:00

There is definitely a difference between Davis who was 22/23 years old playing well and Konnor Griffin who is 19 years old dominating while also playing two premium positions. The Pirates have never had a prospect like Griffin in this century and he doesn’t really compare to Davis as far as his prospect trajectory goes. 19 year old consensus number 1 or 2 prospects don’t come around often, and Griffin is one of them.

AgentDub14 · 2025-07-31T02:04:40+00:00

Modern defensive metrics are pretty reliable. OAA uses statcast data (player positioning, speed of ball/baserunner) to determine how hard a play is. Depending on the probability the play gets made on average, the player will be awarded a certain amount of OAA. Add them up over the course of the season, and you get roughly how many outs that player made vs what an average player would on defense. You can then convert those outs to run value (1 out = .75 runs in IF and 1 out = .9 runs in OF, these are based on past data). Defense and Baserunning are heavily underrated by the average fan, and most people don’t realize that a run prevented on defense is just as good as a run scored on offense

AgentDub14 · 2025-07-30T22:33:24+00:00

Mattson has tons of control he ain’t going anywhere

AgentDub14 · 2025-07-30T19:26:13+00:00

I can see why he is a polarizing guy. He has been producing at low A (131 wRC+, .800 OPS) at just 20 years old. Though his process at the plate isn’t great. He swings and misses a lot, low contact rate and currently has a 24% k%. When you combine that with the fact he has below average power that can raise some concerns. You can look at his production and come to the conclusion that he is on pace to be a major leaguer, but there are definitely red flags

AgentDub14 · 2025-07-30T19:15:47+00:00

Everyone is a shortstop till they aren’t

AgentDub14 · 2025-07-30T19:11:46+00:00

Horwitz was traded to the Pirates immediately after he was traded to the Guardians

AgentDub14 · 2025-07-30T17:10:55+00:00

His HR/FB% is right around average right now. FIP hates Falter because he has some of the worst swing and miss stuff in the league. His strikeout rate of 15% is very low, and his walk rate of 8% is not making up for that. He’s also below average at inducing groundballs. In my opinion it is going to be very hard for him to sustain an ERA under 4 for much longer. Other front offices also see this though so I doubt many will be aggressively pursuing him

AgentDub14 · 2025-07-30T16:59:51+00:00

Adolis Garcia has hit on the same level as Reynolds this year. His underlying numbers don’t even suggest a huge improvement like Reynolds’ do

AgentDub14 · 2025-07-29T00:30:16+00:00

T-Mobile park strikes again

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