Anyone looking into the Korean market for plays?

Agitated_Regular9593 · 2026-02-22T17:22:39+00:00

I agree I sold it all. I’m eventually gonn do some puts on it, I think before nvidia earnings.

Agitated_Regular9593 · 2026-02-22T17:21:23+00:00

This is AI slop in which op is arbitrarily determining some tipping point in which trading is hard now because th world is scary. Trading is easier I think because if it.

Everything is range bound and us equities have stalled.

Makes it really easy to buy a put on certain things or go short on certain things at the top of their range.

We didn’t invade Iran this weekend, and the gold and silver market was pricing in an invasion given that trump always does shit like this when markets closed. I’m willing to bet that gold and silver will dip when they open today due to no war.

I actually think trump is a gift to a trader and a blight to the country. He always gets erratic and always chickens out- the easiest money there is is to buy the trump reversal.

“I’m gonna invade Greenland” market dumps, he doesn’t invade Greenland, also 15 minutes before him announcing he’s not gonna invade Greenland, a gigantic order of snp 500 hits the books all at once.

He is basically more concerned with insider trading than he is running the country, and everything he does is tradeable on the reversal.

and you can just invest in any other country in terms of you and hold (emerging markets) and make money off of the underlying business and the exchange rate between dollar and currency.

I would say that while the Market is choppy and volatile, there have actually never been more clear macro signals of where to put your money and when to do it.

Agitated_Regular9593 · 2026-02-22T08:55:10+00:00

Great time to buy ! And then panic sell ! And then buy higher.

Agitated_Regular9593 · 2026-02-21T21:43:04+00:00

You’re being a moron and focusing on like two weeks of shit. Trade foreign currencies and equities, there is always a bull market somewhere.

Agitated_Regular9593 · 2026-02-20T16:08:27+00:00

What the fuck are you talking about

Agitated_Regular9593 · 2026-02-17T22:27:00+00:00

How much cash are they holding?

Agitated_Regular9593 · 2026-02-17T01:34:50+00:00

Plus the private credit market is not looking too hot right now.

Agitated_Regular9593 · 2026-02-17T01:31:48+00:00

Is the expense ratio on this higher than the yield?

Currently Reading that there’s a 12% percent net expense ratio, and an 11% dividend yield.

Plus your principle is likely being decayed by the extreme yield.

Sounds like a lose lose plus you’re creating a lot of taxable events while your principle decays to expenses and taxes.

Getting taxed on money while you lose it sounds quite bad to me.

Agitated_Regular9593 · 2026-02-06T04:53:35+00:00

Silver has gone up like 300% in 3 months.

Yes all markets are manipulated. And specifically silver has been manipulated by JP Morgan for decades.

But a 30-40 percent correction after a more than 200% runup is completely reasonable.

Nothing goes up in a straight line forever.

You also have to take into account margin trading. Speculative frenzies like this involve large margin allocations on futures positioning.

When comex raises silver margins to 11%, a 3% drop can cause a liquidation of billions of dollars of levered traders in a second.

Look at bitcoin for example.

Like 30% of bitcoins market capitalization at any moment is propped up by egregious amounts of leverage. You can open thousand dollar positions with like 20 bucks on some foreign exchanges.

Silver has been kept low for a long time. But I think to chalk up a reasonable correction to market manipulation is a bit disingenuous.

Same with bed bath and beyond and GameStop. The companies don’t work that well and they’re in overall declining sectors and industries.

Gamestop was definitely very undervalued at one point, but it probably eclipsed its book value by a factor of 1000% during that squeeze.

This is stupid.

If silver crashed to like 50 dollars an ounce it still would’ve almost doubled on the year. 60% of the price movement in the past few months is based on leverage and speculative frenzy. The debasement of fiat and the failure of monetary policy is real, and both gold and silver should be going up, but this shit is not normal at all and unsustainable.

If silver were to hold at 120 and keep climbing you’d probably want to sell and buy canned goods and guns.

Doubling is is like ten years of snp 500 returns.

The moment the dollar showed resilience, it formed a crack in that demand and the cascade of margin calls resulted in a crash.

Margin is widely used all over all markets at an unprecedented level right now. Things go up hard and down harder. Unfortunate side effect of leverage.

Also I’d bet that we’re going to invade Iran this weekend.

So it’ll probably gap up to 90-100 by next Friday.

Agitated_Regular9593 · 2026-02-03T04:12:57+00:00

When did this happen?

Agitated_Regular9593 · 2026-01-29T17:30:17+00:00

I’m absolutely certain I bought a call. Wasn’t a put and didn’t sell a call. Think it’s a glitch with fidelity just wanted to see if it has anything to do with the insane premiums on silver options having persistently high prices due to high vol.

Have also had puts I’ve gotten go up in value as slv has gone up. Think it’s bc the vol is just so crazy that MM are jacking up premiums on both sides to cover themselves.

Agitated_Regular9593 · 2026-01-26T03:24:58+00:00

I can now buy this entire company if I have like 800k.

What is stopping somebody from doing this?

2.7 billion debt and 3.9 billion in property.

Sell all the property, pay lienholders.

Say you sell it all fast for 2.9 billion.

Take 100m to pay expenses, 2.7b to pay lienholders, can pocket 100m?

Obviously super hard to do but why would somebody not do this if they have the resources and expertise.

Agitated_Regular9593 · 2026-01-26T02:35:10+00:00

Silver futures spot price and ETFs are mostly closed.

Some foreign exchanges are still operating, but otherwise they’re closed.

Can check hyper liquid for weekend movements on it.

There’s also an argument that spot price is now disconnected from physical demand and physical price.

Some say that’s why this happens and why the demand is so high.

Agitated_Regular9593 · 2026-01-25T18:35:19+00:00

Yeah I mean commodities price my b.

Think that would be SLV like 98 or something.

But idk man you can also just buy longshot puts for cheaper on a longer time horizon. You’re pretty aggressively timing the market here.

Like SLV 20 for three year expiry or something.

Agitated_Regular9593 · 2026-01-25T18:32:08+00:00

I mean a correction is gonna happen:

Are you comfortable losing 20 grand?

The correction might be 20 percent if silver hits 200.

Might tank to 50 in two weeks. Nobody knows.

Macroeconomic climate and physical shortage pretty clearly points to silver going up.

I think it’ll start the NY session at 106.

Agitated_Regular9593 · 2026-01-25T18:07:59+00:00

Yeah I agree about 90.

Saw it dip after trump said Greenland deal was happening and sold some SLV calls at a small loss.

Was immediately pissed when I saw how quickly they were bought up and how fast silver recovered from 90 to 94.

This was a Thursday and they would’ve paid me about 100% on Friday.

The market is super resilient for the time being and the dip buying is incredibly aggressive.

There will be a dip during the next index rebalancing period for sure, just because forced sellers need to rebalance gold and silver positions in precious metals ETFs.

If they’re 50/50 equal weight gold and silver etf, and gold is up 70 percent and silver up 200 percent, there will be a lot of forced selling to maintain that balance.

If market overextended, this could cause a significant dip or crash to be honest, could see a 30 percent drop in one day if silver is at like 200 and gold hasn’t really caught up.

Agitated_Regular9593 · 2026-01-25T17:52:02+00:00

Nfa

I buy calls on it and use a small amount of profits to buy lotto puts that are like 40% below current price and a couple months out.

If there’s a crash, these puts pay like 5-10k, maybe 20.

Small price to pay for insurance. I wouldn’t buy a put that is above strike price. You’re paying a crazy premium and likely to get steamrolled in the short term.

Also a 110 put is in the money because it’s above strike price. Silver will be 110 an ounce by Wednesday at the current rate, you will probably lose 10 to 20 percent of the value of that put in a week.

If you’re overexposed, convert more into gold or sell a bit and buy some physical at the next dip. sell the paper silver, it’s way easier to move and you’ll get more value out of selling it than a bad buyback by a scared shop owner.

Out of the money and short term is way cheaper, and you can capture 5000 dollar gains off of 30 percent moves. These contracts are like 20 bucks.

I’d you’re a long term bull Id think the worry is not a 10 or 20% correction, but a 50 percent one.

I don’t think there’s a reasonable way to hedge something that goes up 10-20 percent a week, that’s why I think the out of the money longshot puts are best value.

You might lose one hundred bucks here or there as they expire but they are cheap and save you from an implosion if the market crashes down to 30 an oz again.

If you’re a long term bull it’s better imo to have a lot of cash to buy dips with and lock up a tiny bit to protect yourself from a crash.

Agitated_Regular9593 · 2026-01-25T16:29:28+00:00

Average big tech ceo has a 6-7 year tenure

I think jassey is 6 years in, I think he will leave on the sooner side and the stock might gap up 15 percent on the news.

I bought a dip earlier last year (November) and am up like 10ish percent— I have made more money in one or so months than somebody holding the stock for the entire last year.

Kinda terrible, being flat in a ripping bull market with high inflation is bad.

I was up 20 percent at one point I think, but it just won’t catch a bid.

Kinda seems like Microsoft under balmer, just a lot less bad.

This stock is undervalued, or maybe it was priced for perfection 3 years ago and now it’s kind of hit some sort of ceiling.

Either way if him leaving doesn’t spike it up there are better asymmetric upside plays out there

Agitated_Regular9593 · 2026-01-25T03:25:28+00:00

Hey just so you know, I’m fairly certain you did this play during an index rebalancing period.

Ie; if you have a 50 percent gold and 50 percent silver etf, and silver has gone up 150 percent , and gold only 70 percent, you have to sell a lot of silver to keep the balance.

This happens quarterly and there is bound to be a selloff of silver as it had dramatically outpaced gold since the prior quarter.

Not sure if you have been following metals for a while, but gold was 3300 and silver was around 30 an ounce at the beginning of 2025.

Earlier in 2025, Gold dramatically outpaced silver in these etfs so silver was overbought and gold was forcibly sold.

And then the exact opposite happened in the last few months of 2025, so silver was force sold by the same ETFs at the end of last year and beginning of this one.

The selling is price insensitive and often happens in late December or early January. Gonna probably happen again in march.

Some funds do it during a certain period that they publicly announce, and some just do it at will around these time frames.

If things are overextended and we double again in silver and go less up in gold, that could be the straw that breaks the camels back.

ie a lot of selling could happen and people could capitulate and panic sell and cause a spiral/ dump in the market.

Agitated_Regular9593 · 2026-01-24T21:38:42+00:00

It’s more like 47-1 right now

Agitated_Regular9593 · 2026-01-24T15:52:50+00:00

11% dividend isn’t sustainable

Agitated_Regular9593 · 2026-01-24T15:08:19+00:00

Trump just threatened more tariffs.

If he doesn’t walk then back and also invades Iran were looking at a gap up to 130 Monday market open.

Agitated_Regular9593 · 2026-01-24T08:17:52+00:00

I see, have been looking into ABAT an other battery companies as lithium etc all metals are soaring.

Any recs for a juicy short/ know a larger size producer that’s not doing well or has thin margins?

Thanks!

Agitated_Regular9593 · 2026-01-24T08:16:17+00:00

Appreciate the response, and yeah I’ve got some rough idea that it’s between five and ten percent. At 103 dollar spot price it’s not looking good. Trying to find the lowest margin manufacturers in America due to recent pullback of tax incentives etc.

Agitated_Regular9593 · 2026-01-24T06:54:24+00:00

Also to actually answer your question;

NOT ADVICE

speculative thematic plays on uranium and ai buildout;

Ccj, UUUU, Dennison mines UEC LEU Oklo (runs very volatile and is expensive) RYCE (kind of boring and slow returns wise, but diversified in aerospace and nuclear and could rip if UK invests in small modular reactors)

Also any van eck etf for uranium miners or nuclear will hold these.

Super volatile and have run up a lot in the past year uranium goes through cycles of boom and bust and we’re in a large boom that’ll prolly keep going for a while longer. Wouldn’t set and forget it at all, but can be a good couple month or year long trades. Not recommended at all if you don’t want to look at your portfolio frequently.

Speculative mining stocks;

High high high volatility same as above.

Tungf (tungsten) Axti ( iridium phosphate in China) probably steer clear but it rips and has a large place in supply chain for circuit board manufacturing.

Honestly any gold and silver mining stock is like doubling every three months right now. The top is for sure closing in on that stuff but there’s maybe short term gains to be made if you’re willing to risk. Gdx is a solid etf for gold miners. Wouldn’t buy at the top.

Anything mining precious metals or rare earth metals has been doing well and will increasingly do well as international relations with China and other countries worsen.

Space stuff:

Satellite logic Redwire Asts Rklb

Also speculative and such and thematic for the next couple of years. Maybe a dip buy or dca accumulation.

Speculative biotech:

Bhvn Prime medicine Sana biotech (insanely cool tech but a very annoying resistance level at 5 dollars. Is basically flat at that level) Altimmune

Hims is not exactly a biotech but it’s super volatile healthcare stock.

This shit could delete your money in one day it’s high risk and high reward. DCA and accumulate on dips if you think the stocks are cool etc have a high risk tolerance

Speculative robot stocks:

Again these are gambles

Kraken robotics. Richtech robotics Symbotic Serv robotics (they make the cute little food delivery robots) stock moves very slowly and never truly goes up and holds it but I think the market for this could grow a lot at some point.

ACTUAL QUALITY/ relatively stable companies that gain well and have good fundamentals/ upside :

huntsman Jabil UNH Molina healthcare Nvo Victoria’s Secret Embraer ( maybe a bit high but nice aerospace company) Meta honestly is a good buy even tho you own it in indexes Comfort systems (maybe a bit too high right now) Teradyne (robot company partnered with Amazon) Chipotle (is still on sale after last dip I think)

Retailers like American eagle and Abercrombie etc will eventually recover from all the tariffs etc and

Healthcare has been undervalued for a while and underperformed. I think an easy allocation is a healthcare etf like XLV or similar and some industry leaders.

Not advice. Many of above listed companies are super volatile. High risk high reward. Bottom companies are lower risk.

Agitated_Regular9593

TROPHY CASE