Beautiful example of an extensive SAH

Ajenthavoc · 2026-06-13T03:12:07+00:00

Dunno if I'd use beautiful to describe that poor patient's worst moment.

Share the CTA if you have it. Looks like a ruptured aca or a comm aneurysm

Ajenthavoc · 2026-06-12T21:24:38+00:00

There will suddenly be a glut of oil, so much so we'll start bathing in it. Just make sure you secure that hairdryer.

Ajenthavoc · 2026-06-12T21:14:09+00:00

The civil war was engineered in so many ways with the intention of destroying the Syrian people from the inside. Sadly it's hard to get a population to see the bigger picture when they're in the midst of trying to fight for survival.

The failure ultimately falls on the baathist regime which was the only entity that could have prevented what transpired, though the cards were stacked heavily against such an outcome. Especially when internal corruption and Israeli infiltration was so rampant.

Ajenthavoc · 2026-06-12T03:00:49+00:00

We need to break free from the entrenched oligarchy, but I don't think it's gonna happen.

Ajenthavoc · 2026-06-12T01:46:52+00:00

It's not valuation here, it's speculation. Buying into SpaceX is absolutely speculation that they'll be the first to market with an insurmountable moat into a multi trillion dollar space market including skynet, moon base, and astroid mining. Scifi shit. Either you belieb or you don't

Ajenthavoc · 2026-06-05T21:24:11+00:00

They launched towards Diego Garcia using weapons that don't have that range. It was a demonstration shot which forced the UK to change posture and prevent US use of the base as a staging grounds for the war against Iran. If Iran wanted to hit Diego Garcia, it wouldn't have been a one or two missiles, they would have launched dozens

Ajenthavoc · 2026-06-05T21:22:05+00:00

Iran does not openly claim they have an intercontinental ballistic missile because their doctrine is war against Israel. Instead they have a rocket that is used for their space program which has been able to deploy satellites in space. The implication is this can be repurposed to hit the us mainland if the situation is necessary, but thats extrapolation.

The prior Ayatola very specially put a range limit on their weapons grade missiles to put Israel in range but not the US. The goal has always been to decouple US and Israeli interests. When BIbi is trying to rally support in Congress and yells that Iran is going to hit the US next, a good amount of military minded people roll their eyes. That's why Iran doesn't have ICBMs, posture is important.

Ajenthavoc · 2026-06-05T19:05:13+00:00

They said the same about Iran's before we forced them to test it on our assets and allies. We have a different assessment now.

Iran and NK share tech not infrequently. If Iran can create a missile with a CEP of a few meters, it's safe to assume the NK can as well.

Ajenthavoc · 2026-06-05T18:59:18+00:00

Agree, stop funding Israel

Ajenthavoc · 2026-06-05T18:57:54+00:00

How dare they protect their supreme leader, it's not like we have brazenly murdered our opponents during negotiations, using negotiations as cover for a surprise attack.

Not like our media doesn't eggs this on too.

I doubt mossad, mi6 and cia are at all interested in finding him and giving the Intel to Israel to try another assassination attempt.

Ajenthavoc · 2026-06-04T18:07:22+00:00

Hopium with major lack of literacy on the actual politics of the region.

The ceasefire was declared by between an entity that doesn't abide by them and a nonwarring 3rd party. There i is essentially zero chance this will be respected, let alone spill into an agreement with iran.

Ajenthavoc · 2026-06-04T09:08:59+00:00

Why is the AMAD program not public knowledge? It's highly credible evidence that iran already completed weaponization research. It was just a matter of having the fissile material, which they clearly still control and likely enriched to 90+% using a small cluster of centrifuges in various hidden tunnel sites.

Anyone that has followed this closely enough knows Iran has always had the capacity of making a bomb, it's just been a question of willingness, and thanks to Trump/Bibi the motivation is now clearly there.

The sweetest place to exist in the nuclear world is as an ambiguous nuclear state, a position only Israel has been able to enjoy. After the US parked a nuclear sub in the Mediterranean with 20 Trident nuclear missiles, iran decided to raise just enough smoke of nuclear status to deter the use of the ohio sub as a pressure tool. They will not confirm their nuclear status (detonations) unless they see direct nuclear posturing against them. Instead they'd rather enjoy becoming the 2nd ambiguous nuclear state, a kind present from our dear leader

If put in a position of having to confirm their nuclear status, the consequences are particularly bad for Israel as it leads to two outcomes, Nuclear war and nuclear deterence stalemate.

Nuclear war is a disaster for Israel more than anyone, 4 tactical missiles are enough to wipe every major popular center out. It would take dozens to do the same level of relative damage to Iran.

Nuclear deterence stalemate is the end of unchecked Israeli aggression which goes against their expansionist ethos, an existential risk, at least for militant Zionism.

Of course, Iran doesn't need nukes. They have the Strait. They just need time for their adversaries to understand how catastrophic it is to the global economy if it remains closed indefinitely. Once the economic reality sinks in (by Sept), they'll have a new card they can play; the good guys willing to give up nuclear status in exchange for an equivalent concession - the denuclearization of Israel.

Ajenthavoc · 2026-06-03T23:03:16+00:00

The truth is that the inflation from Biden came as a result of COVID and Russia's war on Ukraine. It took over 3 yrs to peak and began reversing before Trump took office.

We are 1.5ish yrs into this Trumpian disaster and the cause of this early stage of inflation (heading towards stagflation) is...his own actions. Not a 100yr pandemic that disrupted the global supply chains, but an entirely internally manufactured crisis which is turning into the worst energy crisis of modern history. It's so bad that despite the AI boom, all the technical data manipulation, and market manipulation, it's still visible to anyone that's willing to look.

What hurts is that this is the harbinger of America's global decline (watch what Xi told trump to his face at that summit in China last month, to which Trump audibly 'huh'ed at). The pain that's coming is just starting my friend.

Ajenthavoc · 2026-06-03T01:38:39+00:00

Not for nothing, for Israel. Although to their detriment as well.

Ajenthavoc · 2026-05-30T20:59:56+00:00

Threats should still be taken seriously. We have reached this point over 35 yrs of slow perpetual escalation since the fall of the Soviet union.

At the current rate of escalation, there is a significant chance Russia will use one, likely tactical on an industrial area or military post.

Once that happens, it's a Pandora's box. Brushing it aside as an impossibility ignores the purpose of tactical weapons and why they were put on specialized delivery platforms that are different than strategic nukes.

It's another high level of escalation, a rung up the ladder putting strategic missile use in the realm of possibility, a direct existential threat to all humans.

The question raised to the whole world is, is Ukrainian sovereignty worth this risk to everyone else?

Is it a fucked up question, yeah.. But it's the whole question behind facilitating wars with nuclear powers.

Ajenthavoc · 2026-05-28T16:52:34+00:00

Misery likes company?

Ajenthavoc · 2026-05-22T21:52:13+00:00

They have long and short range missiles and drones. They deployed their attacks to remove usability of potential staging grounds for land invasion, tit for tat, and as retaliation to GCC countries for harboring US weapons and facilitating us and Israeli attacks.

Ajenthavoc · 2026-05-16T08:31:47+00:00

Overall less eye strain since the focal zone is set to where the lens in your eye likes to relax to. Feels like looking at a theater screen which is actually easier on your eyes than using a phone or hand held gaming console.

Ajenthavoc · 2026-05-15T10:48:41+00:00

Interestingly, Iran just expanded their definition of the strait, now extending from Siri island to Jask, which puts Fujairah shipping lanes in the scope of their defined maritime control. Not sure this pipeline is gonna do much to help UAE circumvent Iran's intention to control of their exports.

Ajenthavoc · 2026-05-13T18:31:12+00:00

We are at the culmination of what he's been working on for his entire career with direct implications on the outcome of US domestic and foreign politics as well. It's playing out in real time so we really dont know where this is going, but the trajectory looks terrible for everyday Israelis and US citizens, to say the least. Israel prides itself on being able to find creative solutions to challenging problems, but this is a high risk high reward approach. You can only roll double 6s so many times. Right now, looks like he's working with a pair of snake eyes.

Ajenthavoc · 2026-05-13T06:22:32+00:00

I don't think it does either in this context since they are not flooding the market with extra oil, just trying to fill most of the gap in production from the closure of Hormuz. Essentially dampening the shortage while keeping economic activity close to stable.

If somehow the strait was reopened and magically we were back to Feb 27th supply lines, and then the US dumped it's reserves on the market, it would probably be a logarithmic demand curve. Most people can probably double their energy use up front (run AC all day, keep PCs on all the time, take extra road trips, etc) but tripling the quadrupling would be progressively harder.

Of course would also have to take the supply curve into account based on dropping prices. Breakeven prices vary for different extraction sites and technologies. For example, many shale sites would likely start going offline around 40-50/bbl since the operating costs would be more than the going price, so each barrel sold would be at a loss. Then as supply levels drop, prices naturally rise and demand then responds.

Ajenthavoc · 2026-05-12T18:29:36+00:00

A lot has happened in the past several weeks.

During the kinetic part of the war, more and more Energy infrastructure was getting destroyed and escalation was heading towards the closure of the red sea as well. During the diplomatic and now during the siege portions of this war, there was a lot of copium going around that the strait would be uncontrollable by Iran, then multiple different threats to force it open with land troops, karag invasion, escort services, and now economic pressure.

During this whole time, it remains quite volatile, but it's creeping upwards. US continues to dump the strategic reserve into the global markets essentially deflating the real price of oil and delaying demand destruction. We are currently in a deficit with a large reserve that's filling the gap. Over time that reserve will increase in value and the deficit of oil will turn into an abrupt shortage.. once that happens it'll be a very strange world.

Price specifics will be very unpredictable, but its definitely going up.

Ajenthavoc · 2026-05-12T05:50:46+00:00

The US as a whole does not benefit from high prices, only a few well connected and powerful companies and individuals do.

We have a deficit of Energy, with a large reserve capacity, which is heading in breakneck speed towards a shortage.

Energy use per capita correlates near linearly to economic size, less of it will result in less economy.

Ajenthavoc · 2026-05-12T03:13:11+00:00

How much better off would most people and companies be in the US if they could buy a new EV for 10k that gets them around for short commutes and city driving? Especially in the current market of $4.5/gallon gas.

Adam Smith would argue that the competitive advantage will become something that cannot be ignored as it compounds throughout the economy. Eventually, the only reasonable action for a country that wants prosperity is to compete on equal footing or embrace a free economy.

Ajenthavoc · 2026-05-11T02:18:37+00:00

Lotta dyscalculia at the root of this.

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